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"2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.500705218617785, "surprisePct": 7.281553398058247, "immediateReturnPct": -6.750108432768165, "forward4WeekPct": -12.791510644510462, "forward13WeekPct": 14.460684494958699, "toDateReturnPct": 97.5277049571917, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 206.30371064439794, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 9.35828877005347, "surprisePct": 12.5, "immediateReturnPct": 31.999486861140912, "forward4WeekPct": 29.987210007629162, "forward13WeekPct": 41.05683391347421, "toDateReturnPct": 129.02007152193508, "weeksSince": 42, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 169.06686268614897, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 8.190709046454758, "surprisePct": 4.954954954954949, "immediateReturnPct": -5.288696907136692, "forward4WeekPct": 18.62230903438458, "forward13WeekPct": 28.021203586004482, "toDateReturnPct": 62.36013893691852, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 220.76631013273948, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 10.056497175141255, "surprisePct": 4.92424242424242, "immediateReturnPct": 0.4984076007305438, "forward4WeekPct": 9.759305085094926, "forward13WeekPct": 21.620368630902, "toDateReturnPct": 27.45494468056602, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 105.14541430416568, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.472279260780294, "surprisePct": 6.600660066006607, "immediateReturnPct": -13.919395716344496, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -9.789792774437212, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 37.933070749042486, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.472279260780294, "surprisePct": 6.600660066006607, "immediateReturnPct": -13.919395716344496, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -9.789792774437212, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 37.933070749042486, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 8 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Metal Fabrication", "population": 7, "spreadPercentile": 16.7, "qualityPercentile": 66.7, "rarityPercentile": 83.3, "currentOneYearSpread": -89.12922099999999, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2671, "symbol": "MLI", "name": "Mueller Industries Inc", "spread": -36.384936, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 1330, "symbol": "ESAB", "name": "ESAB Corp", "spread": -15.559136000000004, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 279, "symbol": "ATI", "name": "Allegheny Technologies Incorporated", "spread": -197.974592, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-25", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-14", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "base_sensitive", "label": "Starting-base sensitivity", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}