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"surprisePct": 29.100529100529105, "immediateReturnPct": -5.46128923056931, "forward4WeekPct": 4.774682580539813, "forward13WeekPct": 17.32804905367842, "toDateReturnPct": -7.038995115085822, "weeksSince": 70, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 9.546173926845839, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-06-27", "periodEnd": "2025-05-31", "earningsChangePct": -0.9957325746799417, "surprisePct": 26.24113475177306, "immediateReturnPct": 5.096478995115028, "forward4WeekPct": 1.4582410868292595, "forward13WeekPct": 3.1471741098952233, "toDateReturnPct": -13.468342997948678, "weeksSince": 58, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -10.92820387138417, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-08-31", "earningsChangePct": -2.5862068965517238, "surprisePct": -10.000000000000007, "immediateReturnPct": -10.202510195626058, "forward4WeekPct": -12.921479603951125, "forward13WeekPct": -3.5654258787224724, "toDateReturnPct": -9.771638282567574, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.791965278088995, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-01-09", "periodEnd": "2025-11-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.4424778761061954, "surprisePct": 4.054054054054058, "immediateReturnPct": 3.293438379925484, "forward4WeekPct": 10.63144902856532, "forward13WeekPct": -8.813836484026204, "toDateReturnPct": -3.601325248381082, "weeksSince": 30, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -0.1610203791094449, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-04-03", "periodEnd": "2026-02-28", "earningsChangePct": -19.11111111111111, "surprisePct": -31.952662721893493, "immediateReturnPct": -12.487257894019166, "forward4WeekPct": -5.1393135215656915, "forward13WeekPct": 4.102089471807546, "toDateReturnPct": -1.0638019644776953, "weeksSince": 18, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -1.876167235230369, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-07-03", "periodEnd": "2026-05-31", "earningsChangePct": -4.578754578754573, "surprisePct": 8.51063829787235, "immediateReturnPct": -2.1866239487384753, "forward4WeekPct": -11.237484981978374, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -7.040448538245892, "weeksSince": 5, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -22.21665247956642, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-03", "periodEnd": "2026-05-31", "earningsChangePct": -4.578754578754573, "surprisePct": 8.51063829787235, "immediateReturnPct": -2.1866239487384753, "forward4WeekPct": -11.237484981978374, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -7.040448538245892, "weeksSince": 5, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -22.21665247956642, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery", "population": 14, "spreadPercentile": 69.2, "qualityPercentile": 3.8, "rarityPercentile": 30.8, "currentOneYearSpread": -13.817184, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 3036, "symbol": "OSK", "name": "Oshkosh Corporation", "spread": -31.842705000000006, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 973, "symbol": "DE", "name": "Deere & Company", "spread": -38.226237000000005, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 776, "symbol": "CNH", "name": "CNH Industrial N.V.", "spread": -50.847684, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 3917, "symbol": "TEX", "name": "Terex Corporation", "spread": -57.92750100000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 7620, "symbol": "PCAR", "name": "PACCAR Inc", "spread": -58.689735, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 4879, "symbol": "ASTE", "name": "Astec Industries Inc", "spread": -60.877395, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4632, "symbol": "AEBI", "name": "Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock", "spread": -79.468429, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 641, "symbol": "CAT", "name": "Caterpillar Inc", "spread": -88.849926, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2024-04-05", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-06-28", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-10-25", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-06-27", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-01-09", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-03", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-07-03", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}