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"periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -11.016949152542367, "surprisePct": -17.021276595744673, "immediateReturnPct": -6.3207448570766545, "forward4WeekPct": -6.928839692848343, "forward13WeekPct": -5.132981822191818, "toDateReturnPct": 30.073761662390663, "weeksSince": 93, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -53.8774410737916, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-01-31", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -23.809523809523814, "surprisePct": -75.60975609756096, "immediateReturnPct": 4.235536615142688, "forward4WeekPct": 10.29938916999875, "forward13WeekPct": -4.6004636499736185, "toDateReturnPct": 37.11167923355077, "weeksSince": 79, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -77.77657257455431, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -8.750000000000002, "surprisePct": 7.317073170731714, "immediateReturnPct": 6.115111480128976, "forward4WeekPct": 7.435686502132666, "forward13WeekPct": 21.15473793735061, "toDateReturnPct": 53.53711844822131, "weeksSince": 67, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -70.52526941760848, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -10.273972602739722, "surprisePct": -7.317073170731701, "immediateReturnPct": 4.972976077499203, "forward4WeekPct": 8.170010238667857, "forward13WeekPct": 14.432189596124246, "toDateReturnPct": 33.03027629185713, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -92.6199182735732, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.053435114503822, "surprisePct": -10.256410256410266, "immediateReturnPct": 2.1021061466369506, "forward4WeekPct": 4.137735825297528, "forward13WeekPct": 22.774393365274005, "toDateReturnPct": 18.696246559697705, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -106.32345499337204, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 57.48031496062991, "surprisePct": 84.44444444444443, "immediateReturnPct": -2.7848178259877288, "forward4WeekPct": -3.3817530690690933, "forward13WeekPct": -4.592069575584756, "toDateReturnPct": -3.321659096651497, "weeksSince": 27, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -106.81900598924761, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -30.500000000000004, "surprisePct": -241.66666666666669, "immediateReturnPct": 1.1009120607161194, "forward4WeekPct": -6.341384430172415, "forward13WeekPct": -1.7598232296628713, "toDateReturnPct": 1.691350428299776, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -125.52445930618192, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.4388489208633004, "surprisePct": 5.263157894736847, "immediateReturnPct": -5.614973165636517, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -2.2992307776891208, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -119.96141147381101, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.4388489208633004, "surprisePct": 5.263157894736847, "immediateReturnPct": -5.614973165636517, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -2.2992307776891208, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -119.96141147381101, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 0 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Reit - Mortgage", "population": 20, "spreadPercentile": 94.7, "qualityPercentile": 42.1, "rarityPercentile": 94.7, "currentOneYearSpread": 459.25207500000005, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1141, "symbol": "DX", "name": "Dynex Capital Inc", "spread": 548.4094220000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2862, "symbol": "NLY", "name": "Annaly Capital Management, Inc.", "spread": 281.09140199999996, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4663, "symbol": "AGNCP", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 206.42584, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4661, "symbol": "AGNCM", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 206.214334, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4662, "symbol": "AGNCN", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 205.699803, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2208, "symbol": "IVR", "name": "Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc", "spread": 179.20505200000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4612, "symbol": "ADAM", "name": "New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.", "spread": 115.52714400000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3176, "symbol": "PMT", "name": "PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust", "spread": 64.474388, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 33.333333333333336}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}