{"ticker": {"uuid": "c1c6e789-12bb-47e9-b719-57846d6bf6d7", "symbol": "AMTD", "name": "AMTD IDEA Group", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Asset Management", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": null, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 7, "beats": 4, "misses": 3, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 57.1, "beat_rate_label": "57.1%", "average_surprise": 182.0, "average_surprise_label": "+182.0%", "median_surprise": 28.2, "surprise_dispersion": 411.0, "average_reaction": -1.3, "average_reaction_label": "-1.3%", "average_abs_reaction": 3.5, "positive_response_rate": 25.0, "confirmation_rate": 50.0, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "miss", "label": "1 consecutive misses"}, "profile": "Mixed earnings transmission", "profile_tone": "neutral", "profile_text": "Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern."}, "event_risk": {"score": 0, "band": "Inactive", "tone": "neutral", "days": null, "proximity_component": 0, "reaction_component": 0, "variability_component": 0, "uncertainty_component": 0, "explanation": "Event risk is inactive until a forward report date is stored."}, "evidence": {"score": 82, "band": "Strong", "exact": 12, "surprise": 7, "reaction": 12, "financial": 1, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": null, "cash_conversion": 0.43, "net_margin": 76.2, "earnings_yield": 16.6, "eps_surprise_avg": null, "sue_score": null, "pe_ratio": 1.7, "completeness": 85.7, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.7653, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -27.8, "fair_value": 1.422302, "fair_value_gap": -46.2, "relative_strength": -33.7, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "negative", "expectation_probability": 37.7}, "records": [{"period_end": "2020-03-31", "reported_date": "2020-04-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.23, "eps_estimate": 0.24, "eps_surprise": -0.01, "surprise_pct": -4.1667, "surprise_label": "-4.2%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -1.2658227848101298, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.3%", "four_week_reaction": -11.392405063291136, "four_week_reaction_label": "-11.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2020-06-30", "reported_date": "2020-07-21", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 1.09, "eps_estimate": 0.85, "eps_surprise": 0.24, "surprise_pct": 28.2353, "surprise_label": "+28.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 0.0, "one_week_reaction_label": "0.0%", "four_week_reaction": 0.0, "four_week_reaction_label": "0.0%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2020-09-30", "reported_date": "2020-12-31", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.29, "eps_estimate": 0.66, "eps_surprise": -0.37, "surprise_pct": -56.0606, "surprise_label": "-56.1%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 0.0, "one_week_reaction_label": "0.0%", "four_week_reaction": -1.5151515151515187, "four_week_reaction_label": "-1.5%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2020-12-31", "reported_date": "2021-01-01", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 1.1206, "eps_estimate": 0.66, "eps_surprise": 0.4606, "surprise_pct": 69.7879, "surprise_label": "+69.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 0.0, "one_week_reaction_label": "0.0%", "four_week_reaction": -1.5151515151515187, "four_week_reaction_label": "-1.5%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2021-03-31", "reported_date": "2021-06-29", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 1.12, "eps_estimate": 0.66, "eps_surprise": 0.46, "surprise_pct": 69.697, "surprise_label": "+69.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 386.9565217391305, "eps_yoy_label": "+387.0%", "one_week_reaction": 2.0092735703245777, "one_week_reaction_label": "+2.0%", "four_week_reaction": -7.882534775888724, "four_week_reaction_label": "-7.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2021-09-30", "reported_date": "2021-12-01", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.31, "eps_estimate": 0.18, "eps_surprise": 2.13, "surprise_pct": 1183.3333333333335, "surprise_label": "+1183.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 696.551724137931, "eps_yoy_label": "+696.6%", "one_week_reaction": -3.5608308605341192, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.6%", "four_week_reaction": -5.934718100890205, "four_week_reaction_label": "-5.9%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2022-03-31", "reported_date": "2022-04-18", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.2, "eps_estimate": 0.24, "eps_surprise": -0.04, "surprise_pct": -16.6667, "surprise_label": "-16.7%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -82.14285714285715, "eps_yoy_label": "-82.1%", "one_week_reaction": 3.9301310043668063, "one_week_reaction_label": "+3.9%", "four_week_reaction": -17.030567685589517, "four_week_reaction_label": "-17.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2022-06-30", "reported_date": "2022-09-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.0, "eps_estimate": 0.0, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -18.75000000000001, "one_week_reaction_label": "-18.8%", "four_week_reaction": -28.472222222222232, "four_week_reaction_label": "-28.5%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2022-09-30", "reported_date": "2022-11-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.0, "eps_estimate": 0.0, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": -100.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-100.0%", "one_week_reaction": -5.500000000000002, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.5%", "four_week_reaction": -18.500000000000007, "four_week_reaction_label": "-18.5%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-12-27", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.0, "eps_estimate": 0.0, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 6.249999999999986, "one_week_reaction_label": "+6.2%", "four_week_reaction": -8.464285714285733, "four_week_reaction_label": "-8.5%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-04-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.0, "eps_estimate": 0.0, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -0.00990000990000881, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.0%", "four_week_reaction": 0.0, "four_week_reaction_label": "0.0%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 24355000.0, "revenue_yoy": 183.0002323960028, "revenue_yoy_label": "+183.0%", "net_income": 8375000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 5159000.0, "free_cash_flow": 5167000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-12-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.0, "eps_estimate": 0.0, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 0.990099009900991, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.0%", "four_week_reaction": 0.00990099009900881, "four_week_reaction_label": "+0.0%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2020-03-31", "2020-06-30", "2020-09-30", "2020-12-31", "2021-03-31", "2021-09-30", "2022-03-31", "2022-06-30", "2022-09-30", "2024-09-30", "2025-03-31", "2025-09-30"], "eps_actual": [0.23, 1.09, 0.29, 1.1206, 1.12, 2.31, 0.2, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0], "eps_estimate": [0.24, 0.85, 0.66, 0.66, 0.66, 0.18, 0.24, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0], "surprise": [-4.1667, 28.2353, -56.0606, 69.7879, 69.697, 1183.3333333333335, -16.6667, null, null, null, null, null], "reaction_1w": [-1.2658227848101298, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0092735703245777, -3.5608308605341192, 3.9301310043668063, -18.75000000000001, -5.500000000000002, 6.249999999999986, -0.00990000990000881, 0.990099009900991], "reaction_4w": [-11.392405063291136, 0.0, -1.5151515151515187, -1.5151515151515187, -7.882534775888724, -5.934718100890205, -17.030567685589517, -28.472222222222232, -18.500000000000007, -8.464285714285733, 0.0, 0.00990099009900881], "revenue": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 24.36, null], "net_income": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 8.38, null], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": -4.1667, "y": -1.2658227848101298, "label": "2020-03-31"}, {"x": 28.2353, "y": 0.0, "label": "2020-06-30"}, {"x": -56.0606, "y": 0.0, "label": "2020-09-30"}, {"x": 69.7879, "y": 0.0, "label": "2020-12-31"}, {"x": 69.697, "y": 2.0092735703245777, "label": "2021-03-31"}, {"x": 1183.3333333333335, "y": -3.5608308605341192, "label": "2021-09-30"}, {"x": -16.6667, "y": 3.9301310043668063, "label": "2022-03-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power is too stale at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}