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resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-11-14", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -22.72727272727272, "surprisePct": 0.0, "immediateReturnPct": -10.672035266280133, "forward4WeekPct": -15.083294556657211, "forward13WeekPct": -7.071029879458823, "toDateReturnPct": -22.053496531431882, "weeksSince": 38, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -23.398693088185652, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-03-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -17.823529411764717, "surprisePct": -128.0654, "immediateReturnPct": -11.02620964929123, "forward4WeekPct": -14.122568139485391, "forward13WeekPct": -20.131080357168564, "toDateReturnPct": -15.847788136619801, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -27.7084022547242, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -21.47458840372225, "surprisePct": 50.0, "immediateReturnPct": -4.875103779734157, "forward4WeekPct": -0.5461671254873401, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 8.304288308295549, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -25.28594895967008, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -21.47458840372225, "surprisePct": 50.0, "immediateReturnPct": -4.875103779734157, "forward4WeekPct": -0.5461671254873401, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 8.304288308295549, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -25.28594895967008, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Utilities - Regulated Water", "population": 11, "spreadPercentile": 10.0, "qualityPercentile": 75.0, "rarityPercentile": 90.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -44.746754, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 5607, "symbol": "CWCO", "name": "Consolidated Water Co Ltd", "spread": -40.154325, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 3513, "symbol": "SBS", "name": "Companhia de Saneamento Basico do Estado de Sao Paulo SABESP ADR", "spread": -59.97828200000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 6488, "symbol": "HTO", "name": "H2O America", "spread": -24.904606, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4392, "symbol": "WTRG", "name": "Essential Utilities Inc", "spread": -21.084006, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 917, "symbol": "CWT", "name": "California Water Service Group", "spread": -13.04938, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-03-08", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-05-10", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-08-09", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-11-08", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-03-07", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 12, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}