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"immediateReturnPct": 4.181835239822784, "forward4WeekPct": 4.9099226285755915, "forward13WeekPct": 15.70497016362924, "toDateReturnPct": -0.021115222286482993, "weeksSince": 78, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -3.3082026606250565, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.137115839243499, "surprisePct": 2.2222222222222143, "immediateReturnPct": 5.49649979944975, "forward4WeekPct": 4.271454427298593, "forward13WeekPct": -4.105090260065991, "toDateReturnPct": -8.84209742256392, "weeksSince": 65, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -13.61853527422818, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.0215664018161208, "surprisePct": 3.0303030303030236, "immediateReturnPct": -15.726842499487049, "forward4WeekPct": -7.812228192607595, "forward13WeekPct": -21.964647804048344, "toDateReturnPct": -18.494110583638403, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 5.302409252029179, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.6741573033707926, "surprisePct": 4.901960784313729, "immediateReturnPct": 2.3047406493451605, "forward4WeekPct": -2.658744997788054, "forward13WeekPct": -17.36848636708701, "toDateReturnPct": 4.4473909872223105, "weeksSince": 39, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 14.00151424569384, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.0, "surprisePct": -2.7272727272727297, "immediateReturnPct": 13.568411322828155, "forward4WeekPct": -0.578207765614458, "forward13WeekPct": -1.5181438041630413, "toDateReturnPct": 26.401401106151145, "weeksSince": 25, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 25.4252342043344, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.33482142857141906, "surprisePct": -1.6877637130801704, "immediateReturnPct": -0.4600597784680249, "forward4WeekPct": 1.6790716755552992, "forward13WeekPct": 20.805251128172063, "toDateReturnPct": 20.805251128172063, "weeksSince": 13, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 36.44064152374925, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 7.452725250278092, "surprisePct": 7.773851590105998, "immediateReturnPct": 9.365802188037996, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 14.472149719553506, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 29.283589066496404, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 7.452725250278092, "surprisePct": 7.773851590105998, "immediateReturnPct": 9.365802188037996, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 14.472149719553506, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 29.283589066496404, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 5 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Auto Manufacturers", "population": 5, "spreadPercentile": 75.0, "qualityPercentile": 37.5, "rarityPercentile": 50.0, "currentOneYearSpread": 7.487457, "lead": "aligned", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 925, "symbol": "CYD", "name": "China Yuchai International Limited", "spread": 9.099793999999994, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3978, "symbol": "TM", "name": "Toyota Motor Corporation ADR", "spread": 3.988218, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 75}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-05-10", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-02-07", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "repricing_started", "label": "Repricing may be starting", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "The longstanding earnings lead is beginning to close through price confirmation."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}