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9.986320109439117, "surprisePct": 15.02590673575131, "immediateReturnPct": 3.9315348513260906, "forward4WeekPct": 13.547717936797321, "forward13WeekPct": 15.861875567035533, "toDateReturnPct": 101.1187188076251, "weeksSince": 93, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.378321548447843, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-01-24", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 21.641791044776127, "surprisePct": 12.99999999999999, "immediateReturnPct": 3.7896509735521944, "forward4WeekPct": 5.707869991078085, "forward13WeekPct": -13.641056089832404, "toDateReturnPct": 80.16316003113609, "weeksSince": 80, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 22.868387978241373, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.61145194274029, "surprisePct": 3.2608695652173822, "immediateReturnPct": 3.7318085705202897, "forward4WeekPct": 19.802934614274093, "forward13WeekPct": 48.29122853068046, "toDateReturnPct": 116.40665785874069, "weeksSince": 67, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 65.30879517640459, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -20.615671641791057, "surprisePct": 4.411764705882345, "immediateReturnPct": 1.6415232074527886, "forward4WeekPct": 1.6649735961033807, "forward13WeekPct": -0.8659380054308552, "toDateReturnPct": 48.32908564410259, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -28.768151812827455, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.8225616921269108, "surprisePct": 2.2321428571428488, "immediateReturnPct": 0.9693953898886054, "forward4WeekPct": 1.8506646665342075, "forward13WeekPct": 19.79058306182011, "toDateReturnPct": 51.075198522991116, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -23.041627879473623, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.8648018648018683, "surprisePct": 2.1097046413502034, "immediateReturnPct": 2.1020817671001613, "forward4WeekPct": -0.556433061857009, "forward13WeekPct": 13.317809035855554, "toDateReturnPct": 28.767152461516353, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -53.13157135941745, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.267734553775743, "surprisePct": 16.309012875536474, "immediateReturnPct": 3.047247596567648, "forward4WeekPct": 5.409650149846068, "forward13WeekPct": 13.952728908414812, "toDateReturnPct": 17.096339533076367, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -61.65745852364907, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.795811518324603, "surprisePct": 10.82089552238806, "immediateReturnPct": -2.2525449426034183, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.44401126272470837, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -71.24136588738216, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.795811518324603, "surprisePct": 10.82089552238806, "immediateReturnPct": -2.2525449426034183, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.44401126272470837, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -71.24136588738216, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 27, "spreadPercentile": 23.1, "qualityPercentile": 17.3, "rarityPercentile": 76.9, "currentOneYearSpread": -21.734733000000002, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2562, "symbol": "MAIN", "name": "Main Street Capital Corporation", "spread": -19.773338000000003, "lead": "price", "quality": 25}, {"tickerId": 8171, "symbol": "SEIC", "name": "SEI Investments Company", "spread": -18.556211, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 7661, "symbol": "PFG", "name": "Principal Financial Group Inc", "spread": -17.690835, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4837, "symbol": "ARCC", "name": "Ares Capital Corporation", "spread": -26.837341999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3037, "symbol": "OTF", "name": "Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.", "spread": -14.036197, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 612, "symbol": "BXSL", "name": "Blackstone Secured Lending Fund", "spread": -40.525597999999995, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 2968, "symbol": "OBDC", "name": "Blue Owl Capital Corporation", "spread": -47.025168, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3817, "symbol": "STT", "name": "State Street Corp", "spread": -48.421352, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-01-19", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-07-19", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-10-25", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-01-24", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}