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-39.06635460353881, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.022988505747138, "surprisePct": 1.4925373134328483, "immediateReturnPct": 2.3296809013899855, "forward4WeekPct": 23.775342247873944, "forward13WeekPct": 37.61618575783492, "toDateReturnPct": 139.04398559481695, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -7.88503210895297, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.198895027624294, "surprisePct": 7.203389830508472, "immediateReturnPct": -0.9583786617810786, "forward4WeekPct": 1.3782403664732712, "forward13WeekPct": 2.405173657412396, "toDateReturnPct": 72.03865790992259, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -46.76137177224324, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.51431601272534, "surprisePct": 4.905660377358487, "immediateReturnPct": 4.26506276897205, "forward4WeekPct": 2.684745259093413, "forward13WeekPct": 13.954032566817066, "toDateReturnPct": 67.99801393381057, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -53.262578784553796, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.71859296482413, "surprisePct": 4.5774647887324065, "immediateReturnPct": -1.5075774708135814, "forward4WeekPct": -0.062490681533144965, "forward13WeekPct": 18.51843651617029, "toDateReturnPct": 45.20356146879614, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -65.52892180181055, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 7.751937984496116, "surprisePct": 7.575757575757565, "immediateReturnPct": 3.6512411469435513, "forward4WeekPct": 5.336987554149775, "forward13WeekPct": 27.484012927181457, "toDateReturnPct": 26.988929381833195, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -95.98082922306679, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.07194244604317, "surprisePct": 10.606060606060609, "immediateReturnPct": 1.2651204083897527, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 2.474753079569414, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -132.33686557549981, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.07194244604317, "surprisePct": 10.606060606060609, "immediateReturnPct": 1.2651204083897527, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 2.474753079569414, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -132.33686557549981, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 5 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 27, "spreadPercentile": 7.7, "qualityPercentile": 7.7, "rarityPercentile": 92.3, "currentOneYearSpread": -48.421352, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2968, "symbol": "OBDC", "name": "Blue Owl Capital Corporation", "spread": -47.025168, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5310, "symbol": "CG", "name": "Carlyle Group Inc", "spread": -49.855052, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 612, "symbol": "BXSL", "name": "Blackstone Secured Lending Fund", "spread": -40.525597999999995, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 4837, "symbol": "ARCC", "name": "Ares Capital Corporation", "spread": -26.837341999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 7394, "symbol": "NTRS", "name": "Northern Trust Corporation", "spread": -21.734733000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 2562, "symbol": "MAIN", "name": "Main Street Capital Corporation", "spread": -19.773338000000003, "lead": "price", "quality": 25}, {"tickerId": 8171, "symbol": "SEIC", "name": "SEI Investments Company", "spread": -18.556211, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 7661, "symbol": "PFG", "name": "Principal Financial Group Inc", "spread": -17.690835, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-04-19", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-07-19", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}