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"immediateReturnPct": -8.023773658742584, "forward4WeekPct": -0.8618133163980968, "forward13WeekPct": 13.19465055101887, "toDateReturnPct": 122.03145433578642, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -67.27450194724041, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.2849002849002802, "surprisePct": 12.727272727272718, "immediateReturnPct": 2.809137557940433, "forward4WeekPct": 11.712433392676758, "forward13WeekPct": 62.04382646147049, "toDateReturnPct": 96.15013011212292, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -100.1534950126684, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.714285714285719, "surprisePct": 56.363636363636346, "immediateReturnPct": 13.581618629392178, "forward4WeekPct": 2.8857769745349815, "forward13WeekPct": 15.217213413046228, "toDateReturnPct": 37.487800424153384, "weeksSince": 27, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -184.64030880893404, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -7.5520833333333375, "surprisePct": 5.633802816901413, "immediateReturnPct": -4.789817166785593, "forward4WeekPct": 16.515649280475998, "forward13WeekPct": 17.500585054266903, "toDateReturnPct": 23.985677220227018, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -171.94094517403656, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -12.112676056338023, "surprisePct": -24.576271186440675, "immediateReturnPct": 4.87440113740687, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 10.662628973990373, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -232.34104780945734, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -12.112676056338023, "surprisePct": -24.576271186440675, "immediateReturnPct": 4.87440113740687, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 10.662628973990373, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -232.34104780945734, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 1 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Steel", "population": 10, "spreadPercentile": 0.0, "qualityPercentile": 94.4, "rarityPercentile": 100.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -148.020575, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4378, "symbol": "WS", "name": "Worthington Steel Inc", "spread": -114.915574, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 1732, "symbol": "GGB", "name": "Gerdau SA ADR", "spread": -102.663582, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 7430, "symbol": "NWPX", "name": "Northwest Pipe Company", "spread": -101.28634000000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2727, "symbol": "MSB", "name": "Mesabi Trust", "spread": -69.106545, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 8402, "symbol": "STLD", "name": "Steel Dynamics Inc", "spread": -60.970276, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4073, "symbol": "TX", "name": "Ternium SA ADR", "spread": -60.353246999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 3429, "symbol": "RS", "name": "Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co", "spread": -29.803294, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-25", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "relative_earnings_resilience", "label": "Relative earnings resilience", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-02-09", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-14", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}