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"forward13WeekPct": 61.07480754179242, "toDateReturnPct": 43.30323107528673, "weeksSince": 104, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -162.40969844988453, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-11-08", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": null, "surprisePct": 35.71428571428571, "immediateReturnPct": 43.03384950133457, "forward4WeekPct": 49.67447360853179, "forward13WeekPct": 36.93107498797048, "toDateReturnPct": 27.252753546573906, "weeksSince": 91, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -246.12020880294284, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-02-21", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 389.1891891891892, "surprisePct": -0.6622516556291449, "immediateReturnPct": -18.186722380733368, "forward4WeekPct": -25.688071867595507, "forward13WeekPct": -11.083239900207321, "toDateReturnPct": 5.018648715671303, "weeksSince": 76, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -43.24101940589097, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 14.364640883977886, "surprisePct": 63.636363636363626, "immediateReturnPct": 8.593753341603172, "forward4WeekPct": 26.06534205728428, "forward13WeekPct": 95.90778621540257, "toDateReturnPct": 37.234544856521026, "weeksSince": 65, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -24.946015964242065, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-08", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 19.32367149758456, "surprisePct": 45.83333333333333, "immediateReturnPct": 23.826712353184696, "forward4WeekPct": 43.72743316312238, "forward13WeekPct": -27.889776280676436, "toDateReturnPct": -13.2586670537722, "weeksSince": 52, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -148.64046386925972, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 6.072874493927127, "surprisePct": 9.090909090909081, "immediateReturnPct": -29.867841013120255, "forward4WeekPct": -23.303966650257767, "forward13WeekPct": -17.656005156015176, "toDateReturnPct": -15.638079607170251, "weeksSince": 39, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 10.292059529576818, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-02-27", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.2900763358778553, "surprisePct": 2.2727272727272747, "immediateReturnPct": -2.6982395267849513, "forward4WeekPct": -13.105725346854147, "forward13WeekPct": -3.368490497903409, "toDateReturnPct": 4.8764734645901475, "weeksSince": 23, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -8.511537514637268, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.223880597014907, "surprisePct": 13.636363636363635, "immediateReturnPct": -8.083832533763102, "forward4WeekPct": 7.904192078575911, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 14.056475488612685, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 32.94286481607509, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.223880597014907, "surprisePct": 13.636363636363635, "immediateReturnPct": -8.083832533763102, "forward4WeekPct": 7.904192078575911, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 14.056475488612685, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 32.94286481607509, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Footwear & Accessories", "population": 9, "spreadPercentile": 100.0, "qualityPercentile": 50.0, "rarityPercentile": 100.0, "currentOneYearSpread": 71.309962, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 5543, "symbol": "CROX", "name": "Crocs Inc", "spread": 69.307406, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 463, "symbol": "BIRK", "name": "Birkenstock Holding plc", "spread": 61.658739000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3014, "symbol": "ONON", "name": "On Holding Ltd", "spread": 39.235265, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2856, "symbol": "NKE", "name": "Nike Inc", "spread": 38.794579, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-02-21", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-27", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-15", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 12, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}