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"availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -14.51570740375034, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-01-31", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 7.639836289222379, "surprisePct": 19.10828025477707, "immediateReturnPct": 8.162379120641482, "forward4WeekPct": 6.208618018669121, "forward13WeekPct": -14.653125713602721, "toDateReturnPct": -14.37930109139649, "weeksSince": 79, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -5.263979251975357, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.802281368821281, "surprisePct": 1.0582010582010593, "immediateReturnPct": -1.1985402696794156, "forward4WeekPct": 4.924440111106199, "forward13WeekPct": 3.130660173961042, "toDateReturnPct": 1.8368905186909368, "weeksSince": 67, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 28.434193517441102, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -6.715506715506714, "surprisePct": -8.571428571428566, "immediateReturnPct": -24.926572781289824, "forward4WeekPct": -10.177499603187634, "forward13WeekPct": -23.026082530779156, "toDateReturnPct": -1.2544956592809187, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 40.911072661322194, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -14.65968586387435, "surprisePct": -2.5641025641025665, "immediateReturnPct": 2.9065868901876124, "forward4WeekPct": 3.377016332739413, "forward13WeekPct": 31.79950184413134, "toDateReturnPct": 28.28436902695506, "weeksSince": 39, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 19.673701655681995, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -17.177914110429437, "surprisePct": 4.1666666666666705, "immediateReturnPct": 0.8877883662960384, "forward4WeekPct": 9.896666086115902, "forward13WeekPct": 14.205261785767465, "toDateReturnPct": 9.685515510826237, "weeksSince": 27, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -9.087587736658264, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -15.18518518518519, "surprisePct": 2.8301886792452855, "immediateReturnPct": 7.68055513716539, "forward4WeekPct": 5.37500035987406, "forward13WeekPct": -1.7631582070280705, "toDateReturnPct": 3.419028300706972, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -33.653261509091024, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.078602620087349, "surprisePct": 9.44444444444444, "immediateReturnPct": 2.56598240469208, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 7.9765395894428215, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -18.93854562701462, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.078602620087349, "surprisePct": 9.44444444444444, "immediateReturnPct": 2.56598240469208, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 7.9765395894428215, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -18.93854562701462, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Specialty Chemicals", "population": 16, "spreadPercentile": 6.7, "qualityPercentile": 3.3, "rarityPercentile": 93.3, "currentOneYearSpread": -72.366081, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 649, "symbol": "CBT", "name": "Cabot Corporation", "spread": -70.320366, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 1333, "symbol": "ESI", "name": "Element Solutions Inc", "spread": -85.87002399999999, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 339, "symbol": "AXTA", "name": "Axalta Coating Systems Ltd", "spread": -56.268076, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3769, "symbol": "SQM", "name": "Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B", "spread": -37.091432, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-02-02", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-04-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-01-31", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "key": "relative_earnings_resilience", "label": "Relative earnings resilience", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}