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"earningsChangePct": 15.869565217391312, "surprisePct": 48.33333333333334, "immediateReturnPct": -3.0489112099989057, "forward4WeekPct": -2.8765346391637636, "forward13WeekPct": -11.753931853588472, "toDateReturnPct": 14.165334892233549, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 11.705794245525112, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.0637898686679312, "surprisePct": 4.0000000000000036, "immediateReturnPct": 1.3863108611271713, "forward4WeekPct": -0.9283330317079397, "forward13WeekPct": 6.1107365466413155, "toDateReturnPct": 31.165074842140285, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 28.598926040318787, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.492647058823528, "surprisePct": 2.2222222222222077, "immediateReturnPct": 3.110328660669026, "forward4WeekPct": -4.553990575963018, "forward13WeekPct": 5.892019556449335, "toDateReturnPct": 23.611501635827615, "weeksSince": 27, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 23.52777257015677, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.795737122557742, "surprisePct": 9.090909090909081, "immediateReturnPct": 11.342272640727336, "forward4WeekPct": 13.460332358700855, "forward13WeekPct": 25.084227308826712, "toDateReturnPct": 31.992729280731268, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 30.090300944005435, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -2.033898305084747, "surprisePct": 14.482758620689653, "immediateReturnPct": -0.03022670025188967, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 5.491183879093198, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.944837589617322, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -2.033898305084747, "surprisePct": 14.482758620689653, "immediateReturnPct": -0.03022670025188967, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 5.491183879093198, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.944837589617322, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 7 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 27, "spreadPercentile": 30.8, "qualityPercentile": 76.9, "rarityPercentile": 69.2, "currentOneYearSpread": -18.556211, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 7661, "symbol": "PFG", "name": "Principal Financial Group Inc", "spread": -17.690835, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2562, "symbol": "MAIN", "name": "Main Street Capital Corporation", "spread": -19.773338000000003, "lead": "price", "quality": 25}, {"tickerId": 7394, "symbol": "NTRS", "name": "Northern Trust Corporation", "spread": -21.734733000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 3037, "symbol": "OTF", "name": "Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.", "spread": -14.036197, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 4837, "symbol": "ARCC", "name": "Ares Capital Corporation", "spread": -26.837341999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 612, "symbol": "BXSL", "name": "Blackstone Secured Lending Fund", "spread": -40.525597999999995, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 2968, "symbol": "OBDC", "name": "Blue Owl Capital Corporation", "spread": -47.025168, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3817, "symbol": "STT", "name": "State Street Corp", "spread": -48.421352, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-02-02", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}