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"periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 19.491525423728827, "surprisePct": 7.572782378553744, "immediateReturnPct": -2.5419421036534717, "forward4WeekPct": 5.775710621014563, "forward13WeekPct": 8.685563628725657, "toDateReturnPct": 84.91612241087438, "weeksSince": 77, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -19.87680108421057, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 18.20330969267139, "surprisePct": 10.869565217391315, "immediateReturnPct": -2.4849830169425546, "forward4WeekPct": -3.21731317209627, "forward13WeekPct": 4.7313719217700445, "toDateReturnPct": 49.02704267451288, "weeksSince": 67, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -36.33296010237129, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 17.39999999999999, "surprisePct": 7.777777777777772, "immediateReturnPct": -1.2849822441346248, "forward4WeekPct": 13.653921969681338, "forward13WeekPct": 27.115007041997075, "toDateReturnPct": 42.294557915110495, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -12.178082393077261, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 17.376490630323673, "surprisePct": 10.204081632653072, "immediateReturnPct": -1.5549434334503731, "forward4WeekPct": 6.782981247059139, "forward13WeekPct": 16.89194788479389, "toDateReturnPct": 10.200959973491619, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -46.64370913424085, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 20.899854862119028, "surprisePct": 1.8867924528301987, "immediateReturnPct": 10.167853400893613, "forward4WeekPct": 5.75296463208701, "forward13WeekPct": -8.112016466802652, "toDateReturnPct": -8.649222588128247, "weeksSince": 25, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -107.94624118699812, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 22.448979591836714, "surprisePct": 5.919003115264796, "immediateReturnPct": -8.325425551899157, "forward4WeekPct": -8.530190200631793, "forward13WeekPct": -27.263531899635307, "toDateReturnPct": -10.465097916244147, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 53.154593772373744, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.882352941176476, "surprisePct": 5.536332179930785, "immediateReturnPct": 0.09646523806243756, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 23.21367050230827, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 191.1143488175028, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.882352941176476, "surprisePct": 5.536332179930785, "immediateReturnPct": 0.09646523806243756, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 23.21367050230827, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 191.1143488175028, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 7 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Gold", "population": 19, "spreadPercentile": 38.9, "qualityPercentile": 72.2, "rarityPercentile": 38.9, "currentOneYearSpread": 63.980228000000004, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2376, "symbol": "KGC", "name": "Kinross Gold Corporation", "spread": 59.707838, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 345, "symbol": "B", "name": "Barrick Mining Corporation", "spread": 72.884943, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1951, "symbol": "HMY", "name": "Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited", "spread": 76.222856, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 1587, "symbol": "FNV", "name": "Franco-Nevada Corporation", "spread": 81.91070799999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1615, "symbol": "FSM", "name": "Fortuna Silver Mines Inc", "spread": 82.84197300000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 285, "symbol": "AU", "name": "AngloGold Ashanti plc", "spread": 33.852561, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 8007, "symbol": "RGLD", "name": "Royal Gold Inc", "spread": 27.256676000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4373, "symbol": "WPM", "name": "Wheaton Precious Metals Corp", "spread": 125.831864, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-02-16", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-04-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}