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"immediateReturnPct": -4.072598446500885, "forward4WeekPct": -6.3482359365217285, "forward13WeekPct": -11.0397170525263, "toDateReturnPct": -15.4553036043106, "weeksSince": 105, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -33.97286400846472, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-11-01", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -7.4866310160427885, "surprisePct": -50.0, "immediateReturnPct": -1.6228181635893235, "forward4WeekPct": -6.083783132898624, "forward13WeekPct": -12.223226922878183, "toDateReturnPct": -6.5058170337230825, "weeksSince": 92, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -31.61525273351989, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-02-21", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.3121387283236983, "surprisePct": 0.0, "immediateReturnPct": 11.542791932705331, "forward4WeekPct": 11.610367945651511, "forward13WeekPct": 1.4827513744401832, "toDateReturnPct": 6.753473263519272, "weeksSince": 76, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -30.026310744791367, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.3898305084745894, "surprisePct": -29.230769230769234, "immediateReturnPct": -13.191174350492641, "forward4WeekPct": -9.80278304815535, "forward13WeekPct": -20.890562111331, "toDateReturnPct": -6.533563341531656, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -19.953587189830785, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.2786885245901676, "surprisePct": 7.894736842105256, "immediateReturnPct": -9.980151871116194, "forward4WeekPct": -1.2418221117682315, "forward13WeekPct": 20.805719278433088, "toDateReturnPct": 6.356898212120776, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.498548166133453, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -10.169491525423723, "surprisePct": -72.22222222222223, "immediateReturnPct": -19.97170395646406, "forward4WeekPct": -20.786762010421654, "forward13WeekPct": -9.500941319350243, "toDateReturnPct": -11.960378326965348, "weeksSince": 39, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -24.805884780024797, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-03-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -22.64150943396227, "surprisePct": -35.802469135802475, "immediateReturnPct": 1.549144780167433, "forward4WeekPct": 9.75879678417182, "forward13WeekPct": 4.049961587126649, "toDateReturnPct": -0.40510511998271825, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -42.35189528795883, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -15.44715447154471, "surprisePct": -20.58823529411765, "immediateReturnPct": -9.545877279449899, "forward4WeekPct": -9.923621876139244, "forward13WeekPct": -13.78038709887871, "toDateReturnPct": -13.78038709887871, "weeksSince": 13, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -49.49749097855454, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.576923076923062, "surprisePct": 23.80952380952382, "immediateReturnPct": -2.7726916034527704, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -2.929636411195391, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -43.133671221962715, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.576923076923062, "surprisePct": 23.80952380952382, "immediateReturnPct": -2.7726916034527704, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -2.929636411195391, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -43.133671221962715, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 1 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Aerospace & Defense", "population": 26, "spreadPercentile": 88.0, "qualityPercentile": 26.0, "rarityPercentile": 88.0, "currentOneYearSpread": 98.68076700000002, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 6853, "symbol": "KTOS", "name": "Kratos Defense & Security Solutions", "spread": 117.97195099999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3501, "symbol": "SARO", "name": "StandardAero, Inc.", "spread": 137.63835600000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 606, "symbol": "BWXT", "name": "BWX Technologies Inc", "spread": 25.331784000000003, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1906, "symbol": "HEI-A", "name": "HEICO Corporation", "spread": 23.002688, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5721, "symbol": "DRS", "name": "Leonardo DRS, Inc. Common Stock", "spread": 19.859818999999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3894, "symbol": "TDG", "name": "Transdigm Group Incorporated", "spread": 15.953915000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1905, "symbol": "HEI", "name": "Heico Corporation", "spread": 14.049762, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2877, "symbol": "NOC", "name": "Northrop Grumman Corporation", "spread": 14.031847, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-02-23", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}