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"periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 7.391304347826111, "surprisePct": 23.849372384937233, "immediateReturnPct": 5.876373466761731, "forward4WeekPct": 19.011793711814274, "forward13WeekPct": 9.86401690666916, "toDateReturnPct": 81.14229306245906, "weeksSince": 93, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -42.99892850922129, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-01-31", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 6.882591093117396, "surprisePct": 4.3478260869565135, "immediateReturnPct": -8.254498891879269, "forward4WeekPct": -8.86663012653861, "forward13WeekPct": -15.758510066426245, "toDateReturnPct": 64.87863648417449, "weeksSince": 79, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -27.341174507818067, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.5151515151515138, "surprisePct": 4.1198501872659135, "immediateReturnPct": -3.8420709145057685, "forward4WeekPct": 5.306730240061341, "forward13WeekPct": 11.857332053441706, "toDateReturnPct": 88.20165986213873, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -13.046954115507475, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -4.944029850746279, "surprisePct": 2.0161290322580574, "immediateReturnPct": 0.33821761167451836, "forward4WeekPct": 9.676812322760009, "forward13WeekPct": 31.22758382734836, "toDateReturnPct": 66.07012827883976, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -44.718816781353084, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -1.5701668302257166, "surprisePct": 20.689655172413794, "immediateReturnPct": 19.32168553354412, "forward4WeekPct": 20.469338153109383, "forward13WeekPct": 36.754298216608625, "toDateReturnPct": 51.00306692435925, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -97.31973044645555, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.882352941176472, "surprisePct": 10.572687224669593, "immediateReturnPct": 5.42168717231184, "forward4WeekPct": -1.217369051005457, "forward13WeekPct": -4.679541986307356, "toDateReturnPct": 10.41924743395024, "weeksSince": 27, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -135.2365177306492, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 8.662900188323919, "surprisePct": 40.15151515151515, "immediateReturnPct": -2.9212046465507013, "forward4WeekPct": 6.649582960293343, "forward13WeekPct": 14.099675427127423, "toDateReturnPct": 12.456105940893769, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -99.45659574646766, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 9.012131715771243, "surprisePct": 14.057507987220447, "immediateReturnPct": 8.636781911397406, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 15.130800578414627, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -109.11148263140882, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 9.012131715771243, "surprisePct": 14.057507987220447, "immediateReturnPct": 8.636781911397406, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 15.130800578414627, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -109.11148263140882, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Auto Manufacturers", "population": 5, "spreadPercentile": 0.0, "qualityPercentile": 0.0, "rarityPercentile": 100.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -124.911493, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8636, "symbol": "TSLA", "name": "Tesla Inc", "spread": -36.692899000000004, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-02-02", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-07-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}