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"Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.7027027027026973, "surprisePct": 3.703703703703707, "immediateReturnPct": -19.47440376727936, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -20.978277381133214, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 241.06957256251414, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Restaurants", "population": 24, "spreadPercentile": 91.3, "qualityPercentile": 54.3, "rarityPercentile": 91.3, "currentOneYearSpread": 78.81186, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 238, "symbol": "ARCO", "name": "Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc", "spread": 64.363866, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4520, "symbol": "YUM", "name": "Yum! Brands Inc", "spread": 52.93101300000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8938, "symbol": "WING", "name": "Wingstop Inc", "spread": 30.247826999999994, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3595, "symbol": "SHAK", "name": "Shake Shack Inc", "spread": 129.711692, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3292, "symbol": "QSR", "name": "Restaurant Brands International Inc", "spread": 25.987376, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 763, "symbol": "CMG", "name": "Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc", "spread": 15.989746999999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2585, "symbol": "MCD", "name": "McDonald\u2019s Corporation", "spread": 14.248077, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 6194, "symbol": "FWRG", "name": "First Watch Restaurant Group Inc", "spread": 595.204043, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-25", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-02-14", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-14", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "improvement_awaiting_confirmation", "label": "Fresh improvement awaiting confirmation", "tone": "opportunity", "explanation": "Earnings improved at the latest reported update, but market price remains below its pre-update level."}, {"key": "base_sensitive", "label": "Starting-base sensitivity", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}