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"neutral"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.7017543859649145, "surprisePct": 7.6923076923076845, "immediateReturnPct": -3.5160132728442983, "forward4WeekPct": -2.4056933732671593, "forward13WeekPct": -12.53407776678369, "toDateReturnPct": -0.7582069895795351, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 8.432031066235623, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 6.0070671378091856, "surprisePct": 18.571428571428573, "immediateReturnPct": 2.800603511605382, "forward4WeekPct": 7.580076853062123, "forward13WeekPct": -1.1140263602941292, "toDateReturnPct": 16.641040928402397, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 25.59893479653506, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 17.666666666666654, "surprisePct": 16.04938271604937, "immediateReturnPct": -4.010108135394419, "forward4WeekPct": 2.561078901529923, "forward13WeekPct": -10.792600844609234, "toDateReturnPct": 13.224965013609214, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 51.24559859071431, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -2.5495750708215303, "surprisePct": 6.410256410256402, "immediateReturnPct": -10.521856130027574, "forward4WeekPct": -10.945442442272036, "forward13WeekPct": 9.48416479177392, "toDateReturnPct": 13.56860311007171, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 54.21244198956684, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.29069767441859407, "surprisePct": 16.901408450704224, "immediateReturnPct": 0.5684586649342238, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.320285853500083, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 34.13792785187519, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.29069767441859407, "surprisePct": 16.901408450704224, "immediateReturnPct": 0.5684586649342238, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.320285853500083, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 34.13792785187519, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Insurance - Property & Casualty", "population": 29, "spreadPercentile": 60.7, "qualityPercentile": 14.3, "rarityPercentile": 60.7, "currentOneYearSpread": 30.861813000000005, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 771, "symbol": "CNA", "name": "CNA Financial Corporation", "spread": 33.679355, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 7700, "symbol": "PLMR", "name": "Palomar Holdings Inc", "spread": 22.322716, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2400, "symbol": "KNSL", "name": "Kinsale Capital Group Inc", "spread": 41.959921, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3129, "symbol": "PGR", "name": "Progressive Corp", "spread": 19.070321, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2445, "symbol": "L", "name": "Loews Corp", "spread": 18.976836000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 268, "symbol": "ASIC", "name": "Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings", "spread": 46.865667, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3800, "symbol": "STC", "name": "Stewart Information Services Corp", "spread": 49.119778, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8241, "symbol": "SKWD", "name": "Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock", "spread": 11.694215000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-10-25", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-01-24", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}