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"weeksSince": 23, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 75.6861888540061, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 11.946902654867264, "surprisePct": 7.575757575757565, "immediateReturnPct": -3.144651157225631, "forward4WeekPct": 31.27797449882315, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -0.33453423082631106, "weeksSince": 10, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 277.1971081055089, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 11.946902654867264, "surprisePct": 7.575757575757565, "immediateReturnPct": -3.144651157225631, "forward4WeekPct": 31.27797449882315, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -0.33453423082631106, "weeksSince": 10, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 277.1971081055089, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": true, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 7 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Gold", "population": 18, "spreadPercentile": 52.9, "qualityPercentile": 55.9, "rarityPercentile": 52.9, "currentOneYearSpread": 107.889543, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 345, "symbol": "B", "name": "Barrick Mining Corporation", "spread": 108.63527500000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1615, "symbol": "FSM", "name": "Fortuna Silver Mines Inc", "spread": 117.115268, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 1093, "symbol": "DRD", "name": "DRDGOLD Limited ADR", "spread": 94.39452, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4373, "symbol": "WPM", "name": "Wheaton Precious Metals Corp", "spread": 127.87070599999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 96, "symbol": "AEM", "name": "Agnico Eagle Mines Limited", "spread": 81.325998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 285, "symbol": "AU", "name": "AngloGold Ashanti plc", "spread": 74.59319400000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3052, "symbol": "PAAS", "name": "Pan American Silver Corp.", "spread": 142.748288, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1587, "symbol": "FNV", "name": "Franco-Nevada Corporation", "spread": 67.91554599999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": true, "sampleSize": 12, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": [{"weeks": 13, "observations": 12, "medianReturn": 23.29678914203467, "positiveRate": 100.0, "downsideDecile": 11.098398169336377, "bestReturn": 47.854004731328146, "worstReturn": 10.694374049670552}], "note": "Comparable outcomes use the available three-year peer history, are descriptive, include overlapping periods and are not a forecast."}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-05-10", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-08-02", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-10-09", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "improvement_confirmation_reversed", "label": "Price confirmation reversed", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "The latest earnings improvement initially received a positive price response, but price is now below its pre-update level."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}