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"toDateReturnPct": 167.67958486098874, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 10.102796484348673, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -12.903225806451601, "surprisePct": 212.49999999999994, "immediateReturnPct": 2.5587862747785683, "forward4WeekPct": 14.868607944941736, "forward13WeekPct": 17.99815872774577, "toDateReturnPct": 120.69361705095538, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -10.522788117571707, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 23.148148148148138, "surprisePct": 61.76470588235294, "immediateReturnPct": 3.0732860947848106, "forward4WeekPct": 8.21512990600841, "forward13WeekPct": 22.573370020680805, "toDateReturnPct": 87.0314074647184, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -9.13022514502012, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-20", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 13.187969924812037, "surprisePct": 29.528535980148877, "immediateReturnPct": 2.7777775217151968, "forward4WeekPct": 14.839644348754867, "forward13WeekPct": 37.70675503406466, "toDateReturnPct": 42.92900572020226, "weeksSince": 25, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -27.55928186045317, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 20.592533545901404, "surprisePct": 18.181818181818176, "immediateReturnPct": -2.9723278211369886, "forward4WeekPct": -3.5872899465858477, "forward13WeekPct": -2.9258559370907267, "toDateReturnPct": 6.558202031533322, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -41.07862742472669, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 47.37247989423818, "surprisePct": 0.0, "immediateReturnPct": 3.1079234972677616, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 5.908469945355188, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 6.038733626757477, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 47.37247989423818, "surprisePct": 0.0, "immediateReturnPct": 3.1079234972677616, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 5.908469945355188, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 6.038733626757477, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "population": 14, "spreadPercentile": 46.2, "qualityPercentile": 7.7, "rarityPercentile": 46.2, "currentOneYearSpread": 36.86574199999999, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1153, "symbol": "E", "name": "Eni SpA ADR", "spread": 49.067192000000006, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3934, "symbol": "TGS", "name": "Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR", "spread": 53.63069899999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 907, "symbol": "CVX", "name": "Chevron Corp", "spread": 17.015620000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3081, "symbol": "PBR", "name": "Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR", "spread": 57.759924, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3598, "symbol": "SHEL", "name": "Shell PLC ADR", "spread": 61.459569, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2835, "symbol": "NFG", "name": "National Fuel Gas Company", "spread": 181.77622, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3082, "symbol": "PBR-A", "name": "Petr\u00f3leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras", "spread": 227.897655, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 542, "symbol": "BP", "name": "BP PLC ADR", "spread": 845.6920690000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-25", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-02-21", "key": "relative_earnings_resilience", "label": "Relative earnings resilience", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-02-20", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-14", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}