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"tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-17", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.8000000000000034, "surprisePct": 1.449275362318842, "immediateReturnPct": 1.3108220980829755, "forward4WeekPct": 2.731753243868895, "forward13WeekPct": 15.370920564882095, "toDateReturnPct": 38.30451827374324, "weeksSince": 42, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -20.15281257147379, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.046242774566466, "surprisePct": 0.0, "immediateReturnPct": 0.67685001689064, "forward4WeekPct": 10.898198184421371, "forward13WeekPct": 4.592000651311401, "toDateReturnPct": 19.878143986866938, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -33.70771289146167, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -0.6481481481481532, "surprisePct": 0.7462686567164185, "immediateReturnPct": -1.7948502679890566, "forward4WeekPct": -4.92745118867809, "forward13WeekPct": 6.7319804748301015, "toDateReturnPct": 9.347133331864343, "weeksSince": 16, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -43.94121799832985, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.2115563839701693, "surprisePct": 2.1126760563380302, "immediateReturnPct": -1.5331932446104868, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.8794458712740205, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -55.47952123249071, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.2115563839701693, "surprisePct": 2.1126760563380302, "immediateReturnPct": -1.5331932446104868, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.8794458712740205, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -55.47952123249071, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "population": 15, "spreadPercentile": 28.6, "qualityPercentile": 46.4, "rarityPercentile": 71.4, "currentOneYearSpread": -60.467889, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8310, "symbol": "SNY", "name": "Sanofi ADR", "spread": -53.99547, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3118, "symbol": "PFE", "name": "Pfizer Inc", "spread": -74.21427299999999, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 2938, "symbol": "NVS", "name": "Novartis AG ADR", "spread": -44.451754, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 5052, "symbol": "BIIB", "name": "Biogen Inc", "spread": -104.57054700000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4760, "symbol": "AMGN", "name": "Amgen Inc", "spread": -14.768099000000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2986, "symbol": "OGN", "name": "Organon & Co", "spread": -118.972721, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 2719, "symbol": "MRK", "name": "Merck & Company Inc", "spread": -145.372458, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-04-19", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-07-19", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-10-18", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-17", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "expectations_elevated", "label": "Expectations elevated", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}