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2.5454545454545396, "surprisePct": 1.8181818181818195, "immediateReturnPct": 10.294115720747676, "forward4WeekPct": -11.558307806602775, "forward13WeekPct": -12.171263713713444, "toDateReturnPct": -0.9983941253143946, "weeksSince": 34, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.954182059347573, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.4822695035461084, "surprisePct": 2.469135802469124, "immediateReturnPct": 0.35364362515006853, "forward4WeekPct": -7.671381531372223, "forward13WeekPct": 24.374358755985103, "toDateReturnPct": 3.552636388741681, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 5.627234312338487, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.536332179930792, "surprisePct": 7.865168539325837, "immediateReturnPct": 24.968554515418507, "forward4WeekPct": 18.70508259911894, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.047356828193838, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -16.764770396949388, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.536332179930792, "surprisePct": 7.865168539325837, "immediateReturnPct": 24.968554515418507, "forward4WeekPct": 18.70508259911894, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.047356828193838, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -16.764770396949388, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Specialty Chemicals", "population": 19, "spreadPercentile": 77.8, "qualityPercentile": 2.8, "rarityPercentile": 77.8, "currentOneYearSpread": 17.017122, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 6507, "symbol": "HWKN", "name": "Hawkins Inc", "spread": 17.005833, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1648, "symbol": "FUL", "name": "H B Fuller Company", "spread": 31.527779, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 37.5}, {"tickerId": 3190, "symbol": "PPG", "name": "PPG Industries Inc", "spread": 47.843609, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3769, "symbol": "SQM", "name": "Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B", "spread": 131.995892, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 6664, "symbol": "IOSP", "name": "Innospec Inc", "spread": 496.987223, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": true, "sampleSize": 5, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": [{"weeks": 13, "observations": 5, "medianReturn": 0.4817621494413782, "positiveRate": 60.0, "downsideDecile": -12.418300653594772, "bestReturn": 5.899115623976403, "worstReturn": -12.418300653594772}], "note": "Comparable outcomes use the available three-year peer history, are descriptive, include overlapping periods and are not a forecast."}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-02-16", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-08", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-10-09", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": []}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}