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"immediateReturnPct": 5.686298924998967, "forward4WeekPct": 13.99714993289891, "forward13WeekPct": 18.720513565489295, "toDateReturnPct": 2.574745085017782, "weeksSince": 94, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -1.5999129012865012, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-01-24", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 12.5, "surprisePct": 2.380952380952383, "immediateReturnPct": 13.924950471972952, "forward4WeekPct": 16.903624286213727, "forward13WeekPct": 28.36848852115139, "toDateReturnPct": -13.59981354154528, "weeksSince": 80, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -31.02239478333405, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 7.070707070707072, "surprisePct": 15.789473684210542, "immediateReturnPct": 5.961079833168181, "forward4WeekPct": 29.75530605799912, "forward13WeekPct": 31.68389070990647, "toDateReturnPct": -19.262977926363124, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.001543687946707, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.849056603773576, "surprisePct": 1.4084507042253533, "immediateReturnPct": -2.8808699632964063, "forward4WeekPct": -0.4947354049039787, "forward13WeekPct": -3.67437415168137, "toDateReturnPct": -40.45506019548474, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -48.92467802140749, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.127659574468077, "surprisePct": -15.714285714285714, "immediateReturnPct": -8.72715448239062, "forward4WeekPct": -13.028615261472787, "forward13WeekPct": -28.19503735325507, "toDateReturnPct": -38.18369797225187, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.288716982303015, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.41666666666667, "surprisePct": 1.8181818181818195, "immediateReturnPct": -2.1363636363636362, "forward4WeekPct": -10.602272727272721, "forward13WeekPct": 5.045454545454553, "toDateReturnPct": -15.749999999999996, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 56.259904454394444, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 22.529644268774707, "surprisePct": -6.818181818181824, "immediateReturnPct": -5.533443355014079, "forward4WeekPct": -15.522764780118447, "forward13WeekPct": -33.06475099504903, "toDateReturnPct": -28.026405203378314, "weeksSince": 16, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 89.23647142915004, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.580645161290329, "surprisePct": 1.2658227848101276, "immediateReturnPct": -6.024260596974241, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 1.0494752623688042, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 167.8531587221525, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.580645161290329, "surprisePct": 1.2658227848101276, "immediateReturnPct": -6.024260596974241, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 1.0494752623688042, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 167.8531587221525, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 5 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Entertainment", "population": 15, "spreadPercentile": 92.9, "qualityPercentile": 78.6, "rarityPercentile": 92.9, "currentOneYearSpread": 72.004996, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 7431, "symbol": "NWS", "name": "News Corp B", "spread": 24.336612000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8949, "symbol": "WMG", "name": "Warner Music Group", "spread": 141.017523, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-04-19", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-10-18", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-01-24", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}