{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "0154H0",
    "name": "Samsungactive Koact China Biohealthcare Active Etf",
    "exchange": "KSC"
  },
  "latest_week": "2026-08-07",
  "latest_close": 8765.0,
  "latest_open": 8250.0,
  "latest_high": 8765.0,
  "latest_low": 8050.0,
  "bar_count": 28,
  "analysis_bar_count": 28,
  "reversal_percent": 6.653465346534654,
  "model": {
    "version": "ewc-2.1.0",
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes",
    "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "repainting_policy": "only the final active pivot is provisional; confirmed pivots are retained"
  },
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    {
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      "date": "2026-08-07",
      "price": 8765.0,
      "kind": "low",
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      "weeks": 0,
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    "slope": 4.818473635834719,
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        "date": "2026-02-20",
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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  "hurst": {
    "status": "mixed",
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    "alignment_score": 25,
    "risk_score": 75,
    "trough_alignment": 0,
    "crest_alignment": 0,
    "nearest_trough_window": null,
    "nearest_crest_window": 17,
    "method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "explanation": "Nominal cycles are starting bands, not fixed clocks. Each period adapts to the strongest nearby repeat in detrended weekly prices; projected turns are future intervals and require price confirmation.",
    "cycles": [
      {
        "period": 10,
        "label": "10w",
        "estimated_period": 10,
        "period_range": [
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          12
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        "period_strength": 0,
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        "slope": -0.32318376338818616,
        "amplitude": 5.669,
        "weeks_since_trough": 1,
        "weeks_since_crest": 3,
        "projected_trough_window": 9,
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          "end": 11
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          "midpoint": 7,
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          "state": "crossed up",
          "weeks_since_cross": 5,
          "displacement": 5,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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        "vtl": {
          "available": true,
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          "state": "price above",
          "slope": 80.71428571428571,
          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
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          19,
          26
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            "value": 0.4558830955494441
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      {
        "period": 20,
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          25
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        "period_strength": 0,
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          "displacement": 10,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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        "vtl": {
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        "period": 40,
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 63,
      "rules": [
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          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 9065.00; Wave 2 8765.00.",
          "hard": true
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        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 63% of Wave 1.",
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      "labels": [
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          "date": "2026-07-17",
          "price": 9065.0,
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      "confirmation": 8250.0,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 60
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 7780.00; Wave B 8250.00.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 1285.00; C length 515.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.40\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 21,
            "date": "2026-06-26",
            "price": 7780.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -23.122529644268774,
            "weeks": 10,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 24,
            "date": "2026-07-17",
            "price": 9065.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 16.516709511568124,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 26,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 8250.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -8.990623276337562,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 27,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 8765.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 6.242424242424242,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 8765.0,
        "confirmation": 8250.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 40
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 10.645544554455448,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 10.6% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 6.653465346534654,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 6.7% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 4.657425742574257,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 9065.00; Wave 2 8765.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 63% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 24,
              "date": "2026-07-17",
              "price": 9065.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 16.516709511568124,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 26,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 8250.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -8.990623276337562,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 8765.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 6.242424242424242,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 9065.0,
          "confirmation": 8250.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 60
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 4.7% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": null,
      "observations": 0,
      "label": "Unavailable"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "warming",
    "title": "Needs more weekly history",
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 20,
    "labels": [],
    "notes": [
      "At least 65 weekly bars gives the wave and cycle model enough context."
    ],
    "metrics": {}
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as needs more weekly history. 1 of 3 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -2.448525319977741
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -4.728260869565218
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -8.745445080687142
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": null
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 10375.0,
      "low_52": 7530.0,
      "position_52": 43.40949033391916,
      "drawdown": -15.518072289156626
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 33.00594194906462,
      "average_weekly_range": 6.411336206915697,
      "active_drawdown": -13.389328063241107
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": null,
      "resistance": null,
      "decisive": null,
      "decisive_label": "Nearest confirmed structure level",
      "trend": null,
      "fair_value": 8998.571429,
      "trend_gap": null,
      "fair_value_gap": -2.5956501078300174
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": null,
      "to": {
        "index": 27,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 8765.0,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": null,
        "weeks": 0,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": null,
      "weeks": 0,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The 30-week trend line is not available."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Troughing",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "+0.0",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        }
      ],
      "positive": 1,
      "negative": 0,
      "neutral": 2,
      "observed": 3,
      "agreement": 33,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "neutral"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 21,
      "history_score": 11,
      "indicator_coverage": 38,
      "structure_score": 0,
      "weekly_observations": 28,
      "confirmed_pivots": 0
    },
    "volume_ratio": 76.21459304410183,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest is the highest-ranked admissible tactical count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close through 8250.00, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 9065.00; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 10,
      "constructive_percent": 42,
      "rising_cycle_count": 1,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 4,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^KS11",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 3.4227039361095266,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 21,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 0.0% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 43% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is troughing."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 75,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 10,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100.",
        "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
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      "2026-02-06",
      "2026-02-13",
      "2026-02-20",
      "2026-02-27",
      "2026-03-06",
      "2026-03-13",
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      "2026-04-03",
      "2026-04-10",
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      "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "date": "2026-08-07",
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