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        "label": "10w",
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  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 63,
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        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 15.48; Wave 2 14.80.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
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        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 68% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 252,
          "date": "2026-05-01",
          "price": 15.484229,
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          "weeks": 4,
          "confirmed": true,
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        {
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          "weeks": 8,
          "confirmed": true,
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        {
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          "price": 14.8,
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          "weeks": 15,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
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      "invalidation": 15.484229,
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      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 20
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-wave3",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 20.49; Wave 2 19.46.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 16.94; Wave 3 14.80.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 71% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.32\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
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            "confirmed": true,
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            "label": "3"
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        ],
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        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 51
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 67,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 20.49; Wave B 19.46.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 3.54; C length 4.66.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 1.32\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 181,
            "date": "2024-12-13",
            "price": 20.485258,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": null,
            "weeks": 0,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 185,
            "date": "2025-01-10",
            "price": 16.944414,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -17.28483966372307,
            "weeks": 4,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 188,
            "date": "2025-01-31",
            "price": 19.459888,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 14.845447000999865,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 14.8,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -23.946119319905637,
            "weeks": 87,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 14.8,
        "confirmation": 19.459888,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 29
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 12.862454265811849,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-wave3",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 20.49; Wave 2 19.46.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 16.94; Wave 3 14.80.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 71% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.32\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 181,
              "date": "2024-12-13",
              "price": 20.485258,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": null,
              "weeks": 0,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 185,
              "date": "2025-01-10",
              "price": 16.944414,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -17.28483966372307,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 188,
              "date": "2025-01-31",
              "price": 19.459888,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 14.845447000999865,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 14.8,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -23.946119319905637,
              "weeks": 87,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 19.459888,
          "confirmation": 14.8,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 51
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 12.9% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 8.039033916132405,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 15.48; Wave 2 14.80.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 68% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 252,
              "date": "2026-05-01",
              "price": 15.484229,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 11.178980217197891,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 260,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 13.33,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -13.912407262899556,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 14.8,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 11.027756939234813,
              "weeks": 15,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 15.484229,
          "confirmation": 13.33,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 20
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 5.627323741292684,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 15.48; Wave 2 14.80.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 68% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 252,
              "date": "2026-05-01",
              "price": 15.484229,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 11.178980217197891,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 260,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 13.33,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -13.912407262899556,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 14.8,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 11.027756939234813,
              "weeks": 15,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 15.484229,
          "confirmation": 13.33,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements."
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 5.6% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 52,
      "changes": 3,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Moderate"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "cycle_rollover",
    "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 55,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 252,
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "price": 15.484229,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.178980217197891,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 260,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 13.33,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.912407262899556,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 14.8,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.027756939234813,
        "weeks": 15,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Market Activity has fallen below zero.",
      "30-week price rate of change is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 1.971691556027381,
      "fair_value_gap": 2.4130592704508835,
      "market_activity": -3.902525,
      "market_dynamics": 0.850163,
      "relative_strength": 3.943998,
      "roc30": -1.7188444420479125,
      "hurst_alignment": 75,
      "hurst_risk": 25
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible bearish wave 2 crest. Price is 2.0% above its 30-week trend. 5 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 4.593639575971733
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 5.413105413105424
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 4.353714530401596
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -2.050875966296233
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 17.27087,
      "low_52": 13.3,
      "position_52": 37.77509714495818,
      "drawdown": -14.306575175425431
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 22.34265511109699,
      "average_weekly_range": 2.6712578132821627,
      "active_drawdown": -27.752923590222785
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 260,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 13.33,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.912407262899556,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 252,
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "price": 15.484229,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.178980217197891,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 252,
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "price": 15.484229,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.178980217197891,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 14.513832,
      "fair_value": 14.451282,
      "trend_gap": 1.971691556027381,
      "fair_value_gap": 2.4130592704508835
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 260,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 13.33,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.912407262899556,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 14.8,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.027756939234813,
        "weeks": 15,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 11.027756939234813,
      "weeks": 15,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "2.0% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+3.9",
          "explanation": "Outperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-3.9",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.9",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-1.7",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 5,
      "negative": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 71,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bearish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 18
    },
    "volume_ratio": 102.45318428750518,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 53,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 53,
          "positive_rate": 54.7,
          "median_return": 1.21,
          "bar_width": 6.05,
          "average_return": 1.32,
          "best_return": 20.72,
          "worst_return": -17.28
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 52,
          "positive_rate": 59.6,
          "median_return": 3.69,
          "bar_width": 18.45,
          "average_return": 4.89,
          "best_return": 44.71,
          "worst_return": -13.08
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 50,
          "positive_rate": 68.0,
          "median_return": 6.54,
          "bar_width": 32.7,
          "average_return": 6.38,
          "best_return": 42.99,
          "worst_return": -19.68
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 13.33, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 15.48; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 9,
      "constructive_percent": 38,
      "rising_cycle_count": 4,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 17,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 191,
          "positive_rate": 47.6,
          "median_return": -0.43,
          "average_return": 1.17,
          "median_excess_return": -1.03,
          "excess_observations": 191,
          "p10": -11.34,
          "p90": 14.99
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 103,
          "positive_rate": 47.6,
          "median_return": -0.63,
          "average_return": 1.51,
          "median_excess_return": -2.41,
          "excess_observations": 103,
          "p10": -26.04,
          "p90": 22.94
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 91,
          "positive_rate": 48.4,
          "median_return": -2.57,
          "average_return": 3.23,
          "median_excess_return": -5.77,
          "excess_observations": 91,
          "p10": -22.21,
          "p90": 36.09
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "000001.SS",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 4.623168918918908,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 9,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 2.0% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 38% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 4,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 25,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 25/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 5,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 48,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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      "2026-04-03",
      "2026-04-10",
      "2026-04-17",
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