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        "date": "2026-10-02",
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "correction",
      "stage": "wave_c",
      "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 75,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 7.60; Wave B 7.50.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "A length 1.10; C length 1.05.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave C is 0.95\u00d7 Wave A.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 253,
          "date": "2026-05-08",
          "price": 7.6,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 20.634920634920633,
          "weeks": 8,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "5"
        },
        {
          "index": 258,
          "date": "2026-06-12",
          "price": 6.5,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -14.473684210526313,
          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "A"
        },
        {
          "index": 263,
          "date": "2026-07-17",
          "price": 7.5,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "B"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 6.45,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
          "weeks": 12,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "C"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 6.45,
      "confirmation": 7.5,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
      "evidence_weight": 34
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 7.60; Wave 2 7.50.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 6.50; Wave 3 6.45.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 91% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.95\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
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            "index": 253,
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            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
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            "index": 258,
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            "price": 6.5,
            "kind": "low",
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            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
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          {
            "index": 263,
            "date": "2026-07-17",
            "price": 7.5,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 6.45,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
            "weeks": 12,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 7.5,
        "confirmation": 6.45,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 32
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 75,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 7.60; Wave B 7.50.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 1.10; C length 1.05.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.95\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 253,
            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "price": 7.6,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 20.634920634920633,
            "weeks": 8,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 258,
            "date": "2026-06-12",
            "price": 6.5,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -14.473684210526313,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 263,
            "date": "2026-07-17",
            "price": 7.5,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 6.45,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
            "weeks": 12,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 6.45,
        "confirmation": 7.5,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 34
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 18.433915684099727,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 18.4% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 11.521197302562328,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 75,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.60; Wave B 7.50.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 1.10; C length 1.05.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.95\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 253,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 7.6,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 20.634920634920633,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 258,
              "date": "2026-06-12",
              "price": 6.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -14.473684210526313,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 263,
              "date": "2026-07-17",
              "price": 7.5,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 6.45,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
              "weeks": 12,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 6.45,
          "confirmation": 7.5,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 34
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 11.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 8.064838111793629,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-abc",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 75,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.60; Wave B 7.50.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 1.10; C length 1.05.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.95\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 253,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 7.6,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 20.634920634920633,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 258,
              "date": "2026-06-12",
              "price": 6.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -14.473684210526313,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 263,
              "date": "2026-07-17",
              "price": 7.5,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 6.45,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
              "weeks": 12,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 6.45,
          "confirmation": 7.5,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 34
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 8.1% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 52,
      "changes": 3,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Moderate"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "abc_reset",
    "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 60,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-abc",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 253,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 7.6,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 20.634920634920633,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "5"
      },
      {
        "index": 258,
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "price": 6.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -14.473684210526313,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "A"
      },
      {
        "index": 263,
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "price": 7.5,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "B"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 6.45,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
        "weeks": 12,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "C"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Close remains below Fair Value, leaving valuation room if the turn holds.",
      "30-week price rate of change is positive."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": -6.961393738516219,
      "fair_value_gap": -3.338899214392524,
      "market_activity": -15.037103,
      "market_dynamics": -0.914534,
      "relative_strength": -16.107832,
      "roc30": 2.3809523809523867,
      "hurst_alignment": 0,
      "hurst_risk": 100
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as a/b/c reset may be completing. Price is 7.0% below its 30-week trend. 1 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -10.416666666666666
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -11.643835616438352
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -4.444444444444442
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -28.31781812330046
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 9.094804,
      "low_52": 5.3,
      "position_52": 30.30459544155641,
      "drawdown": -29.08038479993631
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 31.841845449087753,
      "average_weekly_range": 3.3030585293778723,
      "active_drawdown": -47.29155403130539
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 245,
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "price": 6.3,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -21.54927969163637,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 263,
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "price": 7.5,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 245,
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "price": 6.3,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -21.54927969163637,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 6.932606,
      "fair_value": 6.672798,
      "trend_gap": -6.961393738516219,
      "fair_value_gap": -3.338899214392524
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 263,
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "price": 7.5,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 15.384615384615385,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 6.45,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
        "weeks": 12,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -13.999999999999998,
      "weeks": 12,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "7.0% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-16.1",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-15.0",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-0.9",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+2.4",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 1,
      "negative": 6,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 86,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 11
    },
    "volume_ratio": 52.109009524916104,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 88,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 88,
          "positive_rate": 52.3,
          "median_return": 1.02,
          "bar_width": 5.1,
          "average_return": 2.93,
          "best_return": 30.56,
          "worst_return": -12.7
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 86,
          "positive_rate": 53.5,
          "median_return": 1.75,
          "bar_width": 8.75,
          "average_return": 2.44,
          "best_return": 54.62,
          "worst_return": -23.7
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 79,
          "positive_rate": 54.4,
          "median_return": 1.67,
          "bar_width": 8.35,
          "average_return": -1.09,
          "best_return": 37.72,
          "worst_return": -32.04
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "A/B/C reset may be completing is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is falling stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 7.50, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 6.45; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 20,
      "constructive_percent": 83,
      "rising_cycle_count": 6,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 25,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 140,
          "positive_rate": 40.0,
          "median_return": -0.68,
          "average_return": 0.38,
          "median_excess_return": -0.45,
          "excess_observations": 140,
          "p10": -7.08,
          "p90": 9.61
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 84,
          "positive_rate": 41.7,
          "median_return": -1.1,
          "average_return": 0.69,
          "median_excess_return": -2.34,
          "excess_observations": 84,
          "p10": -13.89,
          "p90": 18.0
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 71,
          "positive_rate": 40.8,
          "median_return": -4.35,
          "average_return": 1.85,
          "median_excess_return": -4.49,
          "excess_observations": 71,
          "p10": -27.03,
          "p90": 19.41
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 0.0,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 31,
      "label": "Watch",
      "tone": "watch",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 7.0% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 30% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 15,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 5,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 48,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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      "2025-02-28",
      "2025-03-07",
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      "2025-03-21",
      "2025-03-28",
      "2025-04-04",
      "2025-04-11",
      "2025-04-18",
      "2025-04-25",
      "2025-05-02",
      "2025-05-09",
      "2025-05-16",
      "2025-05-23",
      "2025-05-30",
      "2025-06-06",
      "2025-06-13",
      "2025-06-20",
      "2025-06-27",
      "2025-07-04",
      "2025-07-11",
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      "2025-07-25",
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      "2025-08-08",
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      "2025-08-29",
      "2025-09-05",
      "2025-09-12",
      "2025-09-19",
      "2025-09-26",
      "2025-10-03",
      "2025-10-10",
      "2025-10-17",
      "2025-10-24",
      "2025-10-31",
      "2025-11-07",
      "2025-11-14",
      "2025-11-21",
      "2025-11-28",
      "2025-12-05",
      "2025-12-12",
      "2025-12-19",
      "2025-12-26",
      "2026-01-02",
      "2026-01-09",
      "2026-01-16",
      "2026-01-23",
      "2026-01-30",
      "2026-02-06",
      "2026-02-13",
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