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    "risk_score": 75,
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        "label": "10w",
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        "date": "2026-09-25",
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        "date": "2026-10-02",
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        "date": "2026-10-09",
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 58,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 17.35; Wave 2 17.43.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Retraced 96% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 260,
          "date": "2026-06-26",
          "price": 17.35,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -23.430274283790606,
          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 268,
          "date": "2026-08-21",
          "price": 19.5,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
          "weeks": 8,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 17.43,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -10.615384615384617,
          "weeks": 7,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 17.35,
      "confirmation": 19.5,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 33
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 22.66; Wave B 19.50.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 5.31; C length 2.07.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.39\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 255,
            "date": "2026-05-22",
            "price": 22.659086,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 22.614095096639858,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 260,
            "date": "2026-06-26",
            "price": 17.35,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -23.430274283790606,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 268,
            "date": "2026-08-21",
            "price": 19.5,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
            "weeks": 8,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 17.43,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.615384615384617,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 17.43,
        "confirmation": 19.5,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 33
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 19.50; Wave 2 17.43.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Retraced 17% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 268,
            "date": "2026-08-21",
            "price": 19.5,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
            "weeks": 8,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 272,
            "date": "2026-09-18",
            "price": 17.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -12.820512820512821,
            "weeks": 4,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 17.43,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 2.5294117647058805,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 19.5,
        "confirmation": 17.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 33
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 11.861192048539412,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 58,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 19.50; Wave 2 17.43.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 17% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 268,
              "date": "2026-08-21",
              "price": 19.5,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 272,
              "date": "2026-09-18",
              "price": 17.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -12.820512820512821,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 17.43,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 2.5294117647058805,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 19.5,
          "confirmation": 17.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 11.9% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 7.413245030337132,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 58,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 17.35; Wave 2 17.43.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 96% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 260,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 17.35,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -23.430274283790606,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 268,
              "date": "2026-08-21",
              "price": 19.5,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 17.43,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.615384615384617,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 17.35,
          "confirmation": 19.5,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 7.4% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 5.189271521235992,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 5.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 36,
      "changes": 4,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Low"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave2_trough",
    "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 42,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 260,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 17.35,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -23.430274283790606,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 268,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 19.5,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 17.43,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.615384615384617,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Close remains below Fair Value, leaving valuation room if the turn holds."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": -9.146706177163916,
      "fair_value_gap": -0.37033882658779316,
      "market_activity": -30.13514,
      "market_dynamics": -0.944826,
      "relative_strength": -8.193885,
      "roc30": -14.474971269625684,
      "hurst_alignment": 25,
      "hurst_risk": 75
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible wave 2 trough. Price is 9.1% below its 30-week trend. 0 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 0.8680497182841663
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -6.189451022604945
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -5.681823285615632
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -17.15779861417307
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 23.959999,
      "low_52": 16.75,
      "position_52": 9.431346661767911,
      "drawdown": -27.253753224280185
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 33.79595705883457,
      "average_weekly_range": 2.915732024866628,
      "active_drawdown": -23.077215029767746
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 260,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 17.35,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -23.430274283790606,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 268,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 19.5,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 260,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 17.35,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -23.430274283790606,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 19.184775,
      "fair_value": 17.49479,
      "trend_gap": -9.146706177163916,
      "fair_value_gap": -0.37033882658779316
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 268,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 19.5,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 12.391930835734861,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 17.43,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.615384615384617,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -10.615384615384617,
      "weeks": 7,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "9.1% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-8.2",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-30.1",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-0.9",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-14.5",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 7,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 100,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 33
    },
    "volume_ratio": 118.75804813884083,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 59,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 58,
          "positive_rate": 70.7,
          "median_return": 3.84,
          "bar_width": 19.2,
          "average_return": 4.64,
          "best_return": 20.21,
          "worst_return": -12.82
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 49,
          "positive_rate": 75.5,
          "median_return": 2.49,
          "bar_width": 12.450000000000001,
          "average_return": 8.08,
          "best_return": 47.64,
          "worst_return": -13.18
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 42,
          "positive_rate": 81.0,
          "median_return": 11.71,
          "bar_width": 58.550000000000004,
          "average_return": 10.19,
          "best_return": 35.82,
          "worst_return": -14.87
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible Wave 2 trough is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is falling stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 19.50, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 17.35; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 23,
      "constructive_count": 6,
      "constructive_percent": 26,
      "rising_cycle_count": 11,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 48,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 487,
          "positive_rate": 58.7,
          "median_return": 1.24,
          "average_return": 1.9,
          "median_excess_return": 0.02,
          "excess_observations": 487,
          "p10": -5.94,
          "p90": 9.38
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 205,
          "positive_rate": 58.5,
          "median_return": 2.64,
          "average_return": 4.77,
          "median_excess_return": 0.93,
          "excess_observations": 205,
          "p10": -8.24,
          "p90": 17.7
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 117,
          "positive_rate": 63.2,
          "median_return": 5.42,
          "average_return": 13.51,
          "median_excess_return": 1.77,
          "excess_observations": 117,
          "p10": -11.62,
          "p90": 35.0
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "000001.SS",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 0.4589787722317745,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 28,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 9.1% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 9% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 75,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 6,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 64,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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