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    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "correction",
      "stage": "wave_c",
      "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
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        {
          "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
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        {
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        {
          "index": 274,
          "date": "2026-10-02",
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      "evidence_weight": 33
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    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-abc",
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        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
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          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
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            "detail": "Origin 0.008; Wave B 0.009.",
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          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
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            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
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            "detail": "Wave C is 0.50\u00d7 Wave A.",
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            "price": 0.009,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 0.01,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 0.01,
        "confirmation": 0.009,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 33
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 67,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 0.008; Wave B 0.009.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.00; C length 0.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.50\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 272,
            "date": "2026-09-18",
            "price": 0.008,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -27.27272727272727,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 273,
            "date": "2026-09-25",
            "price": 0.01,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 25.0,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 274,
            "date": "2026-10-02",
            "price": 0.009,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 0.01,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 0.01,
        "confirmation": 0.009,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 33
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 8.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-abc",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 67,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 0.008; Wave B 0.009.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.00; C length 0.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.50\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 272,
              "date": "2026-09-18",
              "price": 0.008,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -27.27272727272727,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 273,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 0.01,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 25.0,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 274,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 0.009,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 0.01,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 0.01,
          "confirmation": 0.009,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 5.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 67,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 0.008; Wave B 0.009.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.00; C length 0.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.50\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 272,
              "date": "2026-09-18",
              "price": 0.008,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -27.27272727272727,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 273,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 0.01,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 25.0,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 274,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 0.009,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 0.01,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 0.01,
          "confirmation": 0.009,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 3.5,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-abc",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 67,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 0.008; Wave B 0.009.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.00; C length 0.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.50\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 272,
              "date": "2026-09-18",
              "price": 0.008,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -27.27272727272727,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 273,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 0.01,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 25.0,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 274,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 0.009,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 0.01,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 0.01,
          "confirmation": 0.009,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": 7,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Low"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "cycle_rollover",
    "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 62,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-abc",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 272,
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "price": 0.008,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -27.27272727272727,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "5"
      },
      {
        "index": 273,
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "price": 0.01,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 25.0,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "A"
      },
      {
        "index": 274,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 0.009,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "B"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 0.01,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "C"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "30-week price rate of change is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 10.901630253964726,
      "fair_value_gap": -89.36283374109138,
      "market_activity": 2.409476,
      "market_dynamics": 1.466319,
      "relative_strength": -47.658514,
      "roc30": -9.090909090909085,
      "hurst_alignment": 100,
      "hurst_risk": 0
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as bearish a/b/c rebound may be completing. Price is 10.9% above its 30-week trend. 4 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 0.0
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 25.0
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 11.111111111111121
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -82.14285714285714
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 0.104,
      "low_52": 0.007,
      "position_52": 3.0927835051546393,
      "drawdown": -90.38461538461539
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 99.17439592422807,
      "average_weekly_range": 9.56043956043956,
      "active_drawdown": -99.87373737373737
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 274,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 0.009,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 269,
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "price": 0.011,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 57.14285714285713,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 269,
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "price": 0.011,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 57.14285714285713,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 0.009017,
      "fair_value": 0.09401,
      "trend_gap": 10.901630253964726,
      "fair_value_gap": -89.36283374109138
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 274,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 0.009,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.000000000000009,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 0.01,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 11.111111111111121,
      "weeks": 1,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "10.9% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Cresting",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-47.7",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+2.4",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+1.5",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-9.1",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 4,
      "negative": 3,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 57,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bearish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 80
    },
    "volume_ratio": 176.06028235947636,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 42,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 41,
          "positive_rate": 14.6,
          "median_return": 0.0,
          "bar_width": 0.0,
          "average_return": -4.28,
          "best_return": 100.0,
          "worst_return": -50.0
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 34,
          "positive_rate": 23.5,
          "median_return": -10.56,
          "bar_width": 52.800000000000004,
          "average_return": -7.23,
          "best_return": 85.71,
          "worst_return": -60.0
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 30,
          "positive_rate": 0.0,
          "median_return": -50.0,
          "bar_width": 100.0,
          "average_return": -54.86,
          "best_return": -20.0,
          "worst_return": -83.93
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 0.009, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 0.01; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 23,
      "constructive_count": 11,
      "constructive_percent": 48,
      "rising_cycle_count": 4,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 17,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 135,
          "positive_rate": 57.0,
          "median_return": 2.03,
          "average_return": 2.17,
          "median_excess_return": 1.37,
          "excess_observations": 135,
          "p10": -11.82,
          "p90": 15.96
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 79,
          "positive_rate": 58.2,
          "median_return": 4.02,
          "average_return": 7.24,
          "median_excess_return": 2.88,
          "excess_observations": 79,
          "p10": -16.48,
          "p90": 30.86
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 65,
          "positive_rate": 66.2,
          "median_return": 8.34,
          "average_return": 16.89,
          "median_excess_return": 5.94,
          "excess_observations": 65,
          "p10": -17.76,
          "p90": 58.31
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^AXJO",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 0.0,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 33,
      "label": "Watch",
      "tone": "watch",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 8,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 38,
          "explanation": "Price is 10.9% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 3% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 15,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is cresting."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 0/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 10,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is cresting.",
        "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
      "2023-10-20",
      "2023-10-27",
      "2023-11-03",
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      "2023-11-17",
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      "2023-12-01",
      "2023-12-08",
      "2023-12-15",
      "2023-12-22",
      "2023-12-29",
      "2024-01-05",
      "2024-01-12",
      "2024-01-19",
      "2024-01-26",
      "2024-02-02",
      "2024-02-09",
      "2024-02-16",
      "2024-02-23",
      "2024-03-01",
      "2024-03-08",
      "2024-03-15",
      "2024-03-22",
      "2024-03-29",
      "2024-04-05",
      "2024-04-12",
      "2024-04-19",
      "2024-04-26",
      "2024-05-03",
      "2024-05-10",
      "2024-05-17",
      "2024-05-24",
      "2024-05-31",
      "2024-06-07",
      "2024-06-14",
      "2024-06-21",
      "2024-06-28",
      "2024-07-05",
      "2024-07-12",
      "2024-07-19",
      "2024-07-26",
      "2024-08-02",
      "2024-08-09",
      "2024-08-16",
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      "2024-08-30",
      "2024-09-06",
      "2024-09-13",
      "2024-09-20",
      "2024-09-27",
      "2024-10-04",
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      "2024-10-18",
      "2024-10-25",
      "2024-11-01",
      "2024-11-08",
      "2024-11-15",
      "2024-11-22",
      "2024-11-29",
      "2024-12-06",
      "2024-12-13",
      "2024-12-20",
      "2024-12-27",
      "2025-01-03",
      "2025-01-10",
      "2025-01-17",
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}