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1.374863521596208 }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "value": 1.9976156523078343 }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "value": 2.3118539130275058 }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "value": 2.4962306620805643 }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "value": 2.617754018931409 }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "value": 2.7040134913924305 }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "value": 2.767938549678308 }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "value": 2.8165163804993987 }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "value": 2.214015360788786 }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "value": 2.0299441580278073 }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "value": 1.9818551629570664 }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "value": 1.9763834095919788 }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "value": 1.0229992604694842 }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "value": 0.7119774609066717 }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "value": 1.5737567728030268 }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "value": 0.9054194678748319 }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "value": 0.6862035445967481 }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "value": 1.2560207550177926 }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "value": 0.808306275065501 }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "value": 0.660976318663626 }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "value": 0.6134198446265292 }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "value": 0.5988335773899068 }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "value": 0.5950037744403637 }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "value": 0.5945694760745712 }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "value": -0.08488766344359888 }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "value": -0.5374784597535565 }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "value": -0.8389943722384567 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "value": -1.0398654908110165 } ] }, "scenario": { "setup": "wave5_risk", "title": "Five-wave advance mature", "direction": "risk", "confidence": 90, "labels": [ { "index": 322, "date": "2026-03-20", "price": 16.247, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -44.89553469324158, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 326, "date": "2026-04-17", "price": 21.674999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 33.409238628669904, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 328, "date": "2026-05-01", "price": 17.166, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -20.80276451223827, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 329, "date": "2026-05-08", "price": 20.414, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 18.921123150413614, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 338, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 9.49, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -53.51229548349172, "weeks": 9, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 339, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 10.523, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 10.885142255005263, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "notes": [ "Hurst rhythm shows a falling stack.", "Hurst risk alignment is elevated.", "Market Activity has fallen below zero.", "Market Dynamics is negative." ], "metrics": { "trend_gap": -46.27741763617983, "fair_value_gap": 27.921666183652878, "market_activity": -52.440394, "market_dynamics": -0.510557, "relative_strength": -29.456688, "roc30": 90.59952907082051, "hurst_alignment": 25, "hurst_risk": 75 } }, "detail": { "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as five-wave advance mature. Price is 46.3% below its 30-week trend. 1 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.", "returns": [ { "weeks": 4, "label": "4-week return", "value": -18.728761198640722 }, { "weeks": 13, "label": "13-week return", "value": -51.45097815229427 }, { "weeks": 26, "label": "26-week return", "value": -71.73060315201492 }, { "weeks": 52, "label": "52-week return", "value": 90.59952907082051 } ], "range": { "high_52": 64.932999, "low_52": 5.521, "position_52": 8.419174719234746, "drawdown": -83.79406440167656 }, "risk": { "annualised_volatility": 121.10702424886838, "average_weekly_range": 17.637031685981217, "active_drawdown": -77.80051474621325 }, "levels": { "support": { "index": 338, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 9.49, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -53.51229548349172, "weeks": 9, "confirmed": true }, "resistance": { "index": 329, "date": "2026-05-08", "price": 20.414, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 18.921123150413614, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": true }, "decisive": { "index": 329, "date": "2026-05-08", "price": 20.414, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 18.921123150413614, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": true }, "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above", "trend": 19.587666, "fair_value": 8.226128, "trend_gap": -46.27741763617983, "fair_value_gap": 27.921666183652878 }, "active_swing": { "from": { "index": 338, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 9.49, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -53.51229548349172, "weeks": 9, "confirmed": true }, "to": { "index": 339, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 10.523, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 10.885142255005263, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false }, "move_percent": 10.885142255005263, "weeks": 1, "status": "Forming" }, "confirmation": { "rows": [ { "label": "Trend", "status": "negative", "value": "46.3% below trend", "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend." }, { "label": "Cycle pressure", "status": "negative", "value": "Falling", "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising." }, { "label": "Cycle 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