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        "label": "10w",
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-wave3",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave3",
      "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 74,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 7.69; Wave 2 7.72.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 8.20; Wave 3 8.92.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 93% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 2.34\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 262,
          "date": "2026-07-10",
          "price": 7.69,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -10.581395348837201,
          "weeks": 9,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 265,
          "date": "2026-07-31",
          "price": 8.2,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 6.631989596879048,
          "weeks": 3,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 266,
          "date": "2026-08-07",
          "price": 7.725,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 8.92,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
          "weeks": 9,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "3"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 7.725,
      "confirmation": 8.92,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 44
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 7.69; Wave B 7.72.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.51; C length 1.20.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave C is 2.34\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 262,
            "date": "2026-07-10",
            "price": 7.69,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.581395348837201,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 265,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 8.2,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 6.631989596879048,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 266,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 7.725,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 8.92,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 8.92,
        "confirmation": 7.725,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 12
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bullish-wave3",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 7.69; Wave 2 7.72.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 8.20; Wave 3 8.92.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 93% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 2.34\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 262,
            "date": "2026-07-10",
            "price": 7.69,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.581395348837201,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 265,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 8.2,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 6.631989596879048,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 266,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 7.725,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 8.92,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 7.725,
        "confirmation": 8.92,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 44
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 8.0,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 5.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-wave3",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.69; Wave 2 7.72.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 8.20; Wave 3 8.92.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 93% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 2.34\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 262,
              "date": "2026-07-10",
              "price": 7.69,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.581395348837201,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 265,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 8.2,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 6.631989596879048,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 266,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 7.725,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 8.92,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 7.725,
          "confirmation": 8.92,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 44
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 3.5,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-wave3",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.69; Wave 2 7.72.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 8.20; Wave 3 8.92.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 93% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 2.34\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 262,
              "date": "2026-07-10",
              "price": 7.69,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.581395348837201,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 265,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 8.2,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 6.631989596879048,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 266,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 7.725,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 8.92,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 7.725,
          "confirmation": 8.92,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 44
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 52,
      "changes": 3,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Moderate"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave3_continuation",
    "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 95,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-wave3",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 262,
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "price": 7.69,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.581395348837201,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 265,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 8.2,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 6.631989596879048,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 7.725,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "2"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 8.92,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "3"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Hurst rhythm shows a rising stack.",
      "Hurst cycle alignment is strong.",
      "Price is above the 30-week trend line.",
      "Market Activity is positive.",
      "Market Dynamics supports the setup."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 10.116659465465089,
      "fair_value_gap": 40.06413744123234,
      "market_activity": 39.706149,
      "market_dynamics": 1.138198,
      "relative_strength": 17.475753,
      "roc30": 7.099650221187189,
      "hurst_alignment": 100,
      "hurst_risk": 0
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible wave 3 advancing. Price is 10.1% above its 30-week trend. 7 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 14.06649616368286
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 15.994798439531854
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 8.780487804878057
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 24.55805976524716
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 9.257328,
      "low_52": 6.993016,
      "position_52": 85.10240638215937,
      "drawdown": -3.643902430593357
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 19.663069327369655,
      "average_weekly_range": 2.627569624853049,
      "active_drawdown": -2.213376113885026
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 7.725,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 241,
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "price": 9.121902,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 56.871445547551204,
        "weeks": 44,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 7.725,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 8.1005,
      "fair_value": 6.368511,
      "trend_gap": 10.116659465465089,
      "fair_value_gap": 40.06413744123234
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 7.725,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.792682926829264,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 8.92,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 15.469255663430426,
      "weeks": 9,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "10.1% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+17.5",
          "explanation": "Outperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+39.7",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+1.1",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+7.1",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 7,
      "negative": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 100,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 26
    },
    "volume_ratio": 288.51922277994436,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 118,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 118,
          "positive_rate": 53.4,
          "median_return": 0.17,
          "bar_width": 0.8500000000000001,
          "average_return": 0.26,
          "best_return": 21.66,
          "worst_return": -23.85
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 118,
          "positive_rate": 61.0,
          "median_return": 1.92,
          "bar_width": 9.6,
          "average_return": 2.53,
          "best_return": 29.23,
          "worst_return": -24.18
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 114,
          "positive_rate": 69.3,
          "median_return": 9.47,
          "bar_width": 47.35,
          "average_return": 8.75,
          "best_return": 39.51,
          "worst_return": -20.01
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible Wave 3 advancing is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 8.92, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 7.72; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 22,
      "constructive_count": 13,
      "constructive_percent": 59,
      "rising_cycle_count": 6,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 27,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 586,
          "positive_rate": 48.5,
          "median_return": -0.24,
          "average_return": 0.81,
          "median_excess_return": 0.49,
          "excess_observations": 586,
          "p10": -10.51,
          "p90": 13.2
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 211,
          "positive_rate": 47.9,
          "median_return": -0.52,
          "average_return": 3.59,
          "median_excess_return": 0.93,
          "excess_observations": 211,
          "p10": -15.15,
          "p90": 25.3
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 121,
          "positive_rate": 57.0,
          "median_return": 5.66,
          "average_return": 7.92,
          "median_excess_return": 2.65,
          "excess_observations": 121,
          "p10": -17.8,
          "p90": 38.55
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^HSI",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 13.396860986547088,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 17,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 6,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 32,
          "explanation": "Price is 10.1% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 6,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 40,
          "explanation": "Price is 85% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 0/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 5,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 48,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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      "2026-09-04",
      "2026-09-11",
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