{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "9406",
    "name": "Ping An of China Trust - Ping An Technology Select ETF",
    "exchange": "HKG"
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          "displacement": 6,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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            "date": "2026-07-17",
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            "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "period": 80,
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      {
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        "value": 0.2796700132318388
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "value": 0.429396340853986
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "value": 0.45675454906864227
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": 0.5062155747957536
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": 0.561767351607793
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": 0.3066776423546578
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -0.6732259703061987
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": -0.6975123422940327
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": -0.7652653435546826
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "value": -0.6661675645127648
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      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "value": -0.30389368608932027
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "correction",
      "stage": "wave_c",
      "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 77,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 1.78; Wave B 1.82.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "A length 0.23; C length 0.14.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave C is 0.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 25,
          "date": "2026-04-03",
          "price": 1.778,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -15.65464895635674,
          "weeks": 11,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "5"
        },
        {
          "index": 30,
          "date": "2026-05-08",
          "price": 2.012,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 13.160854893138357,
          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "A"
        },
        {
          "index": 37,
          "date": "2026-06-26",
          "price": 1.824,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
          "weeks": 7,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "B"
        },
        {
          "index": 43,
          "date": "2026-08-07",
          "price": 1.966,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
          "weeks": 6,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "C"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 1.966,
      "confirmation": 1.824,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
      "evidence_weight": 43
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 63,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 2.01; Wave 2 1.97.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 76% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 30,
            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "price": 2.012,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 13.160854893138357,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 37,
            "date": "2026-06-26",
            "price": 1.824,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 43,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 1.966,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 2.012,
        "confirmation": 1.824,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 13
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 77,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 1.78; Wave B 1.82.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.23; C length 0.14.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 25,
            "date": "2026-04-03",
            "price": 1.778,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -89.41603666884933,
            "weeks": 23,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 30,
            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "price": 2.012,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 13.160854893138357,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 37,
            "date": "2026-06-26",
            "price": 1.824,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 43,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 1.966,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 1.966,
        "confirmation": 1.824,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 43
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 8.78027867095386,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-abc",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 77,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 1.78; Wave B 1.82.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.23; C length 0.14.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 25,
              "date": "2026-04-03",
              "price": 1.778,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -89.41603666884933,
              "weeks": 23,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 30,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 2.012,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 13.160854893138357,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 37,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 1.824,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 43,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 1.966,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 1.966,
          "confirmation": 1.824,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 43
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.8% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 5.487674169346162,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 77,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 1.78; Wave B 1.82.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.23; C length 0.14.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 25,
              "date": "2026-04-03",
              "price": 1.778,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -15.65464895635674,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 30,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 2.012,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 13.160854893138357,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 37,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 1.824,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 43,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 1.966,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 1.966,
          "confirmation": 1.824,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 43
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 3.8413719185423134,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-abc",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 77,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 1.78; Wave B 1.82.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.23; C length 0.14.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 25,
              "date": "2026-04-03",
              "price": 1.778,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -15.65464895635674,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 30,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 2.012,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 13.160854893138357,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 37,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 1.824,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 43,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 1.966,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 1.966,
          "confirmation": 1.824,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent."
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.8% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": null,
      "observations": 0,
      "label": "Unavailable"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "warming",
    "title": "Needs more weekly history",
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 20,
    "labels": [],
    "notes": [
      "At least 65 weekly bars gives the wave and cycle model enough context."
    ],
    "metrics": {}
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as needs more weekly history. Price is 2.1% above its 30-week trend. 4 of 6 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 2.3958333333333357
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -2.2862823061630237
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 0.5112474437627816
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": null
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 16.799,
      "low_52": 1.736,
      "position_52": 1.5269202682068646,
      "drawdown": -88.29692243585927
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 19.395200520402273,
      "average_weekly_range": 1.4860592116356182,
      "active_drawdown": -88.29692243585927
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 37,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 1.824,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 30,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 2.012,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 13.160854893138357,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 37,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 1.824,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Nearest confirmed structure level",
      "trend": 1.926,
      "fair_value": 2.310386,
      "trend_gap": 2.076843198338527,
      "fair_value_gap": -14.905994063329672
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 37,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 1.824,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -9.343936381709739,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 43,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 1.966,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 7.78508771929824,
      "weeks": 6,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "2.1% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-3.9",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.4",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-4.5",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 4,
      "negative": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 6,
      "agreement": 67,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "neutral"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 44,
      "history_score": 17,
      "indicator_coverage": 41,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 44,
      "confirmed_pivots": 8
    },
    "volume_ratio": null,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close through 1.82, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 1.97; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 22,
      "constructive_count": 6,
      "constructive_percent": 27,
      "rising_cycle_count": 8,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 36,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 30,
          "positive_rate": 50.0,
          "median_return": -0.04,
          "average_return": -0.55,
          "median_excess_return": 0.21,
          "excess_observations": 30,
          "p10": -6.14,
          "p90": 5.5
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 24,
          "positive_rate": 41.7,
          "median_return": -4.6,
          "average_return": -3.45,
          "median_excess_return": -0.61,
          "excess_observations": 24,
          "p10": -12.7,
          "p90": 7.89
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 17,
          "positive_rate": 23.5,
          "median_return": -3.32,
          "average_return": -2.46,
          "median_excess_return": 0.13,
          "excess_observations": 17,
          "p10": -18.2,
          "p90": 13.4
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^HSI",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 0.0,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 12,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 2.1% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 2% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 2,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 12,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 12/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 10,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
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