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  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 63,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 850.00; Wave 2 665.00.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
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        }
      ],
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        {
          "index": 246,
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          "weeks": 52,
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        {
          "index": 262,
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          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-09-25",
          "price": 665.0,
          "kind": "high",
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          "weeks": 13,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
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      ],
      "invalidation": 850.0,
      "confirmation": 530.0,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 38
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 353.60; Wave B 530.00.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 496.40; C length 135.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.27\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 194,
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          },
          {
            "index": 246,
            "date": "2026-03-06",
            "price": 850.0,
            "kind": "high",
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            "weeks": 52,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 262,
            "date": "2026-06-26",
            "price": 530.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -37.64705882352941,
            "weeks": 16,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-09-25",
            "price": 665.0,
            "kind": "high",
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            "weeks": 13,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 665.0,
        "confirmation": 530.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 25
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 63,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 850.00; Wave 2 665.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 246,
            "date": "2026-03-06",
            "price": 850.0,
            "kind": "high",
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            "weeks": 0,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 262,
            "date": "2026-06-26",
            "price": 530.0,
            "kind": "low",
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            "weeks": 16,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-09-25",
            "price": 665.0,
            "kind": "high",
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            "weeks": 13,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 850.0,
        "confirmation": 530.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 38
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 15.209411764705884,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 850.00; Wave 2 665.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 246,
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              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
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            {
              "index": 262,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 530.0,
              "kind": "low",
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              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 665.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 25.471698113207548,
              "weeks": 13,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
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          ],
          "invalidation": 850.0,
          "confirmation": 530.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 38
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 15.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
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        "reversal_percent": 9.505882352941176,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 850.00; Wave 2 665.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 246,
              "date": "2026-03-06",
              "price": 850.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 140.38550323378738,
              "weeks": 52,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 262,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 530.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -37.64705882352941,
              "weeks": 16,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 665.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 25.471698113207548,
              "weeks": 13,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 850.0,
          "confirmation": 530.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 38
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 9.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 6.654117647058823,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-wave2",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 530.00; Wave 2 665.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 32% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 262,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 530.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -7.882145076879,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 272,
              "date": "2026-09-04",
              "price": 730.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 37.735849056603776,
              "weeks": 10,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 665.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -8.904109589041095,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 530.0,
          "confirmation": 730.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements."
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 6.7% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 100,
      "changes": 0,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "High"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "cycle_rollover",
    "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 45,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "price": 850.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 140.38550323378738,
        "weeks": 52,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 262,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 530.0,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -37.64705882352941,
        "weeks": 16,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "price": 665.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 25.471698113207548,
        "weeks": 13,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "30-week price rate of change is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": -0.4523789696617873,
      "fair_value_gap": 38.719248690875155,
      "market_activity": 18.174708,
      "market_dynamics": 0.771547,
      "relative_strength": 22.128372,
      "roc30": -21.764705882352942,
      "hurst_alignment": 75,
      "hurst_risk": 25
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible bearish wave 2 crest. Price is 0.5% below its 30-week trend. 5 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -3.6231884057971016
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      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 25.471698113207548
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -8.904109589041095
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 35.16260162601626
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 1050.0,
      "low_52": 476.0,
      "position_52": 32.926829268292686,
      "drawdown": -36.666666666666664
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    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 41.634606543237794,
      "average_weekly_range": 5.850352673728793,
      "active_drawdown": -21.764705882352942
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    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 262,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 530.0,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -37.64705882352941,
        "weeks": 16,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "price": 850.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 140.38550323378738,
        "weeks": 52,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "price": 850.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 140.38550323378738,
        "weeks": 52,
        "confirmed": true
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      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 668.021991,
      "fair_value": 479.385526,
      "trend_gap": -0.4523789696617873,
      "fair_value_gap": 38.719248690875155
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    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 262,
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "price": 530.0,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -37.64705882352941,
        "weeks": 16,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "price": 665.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 25.471698113207548,
        "weeks": 13,
        "confirmed": false
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      "move_percent": 25.471698113207548,
      "weeks": 13,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "0.5% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+22.1",
          "explanation": "Outperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+18.2",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.8",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-21.8",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 5,
      "negative": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 71,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bearish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 93,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 67,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 4
    },
    "volume_ratio": 127.0675485665405,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 9,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 9,
          "positive_rate": 100.0,
          "median_return": 8.91,
          "bar_width": 44.55,
          "average_return": 6.94,
          "best_return": 16.94,
          "worst_return": 0.64
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 9,
          "positive_rate": 100.0,
          "median_return": 32.94,
          "bar_width": 100.0,
          "average_return": 29.13,
          "best_return": 37.49,
          "worst_return": 14.46
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 9,
          "positive_rate": 100.0,
          "median_return": 40.31,
          "bar_width": 100.0,
          "average_return": 33.86,
          "best_return": 44.66,
          "worst_return": 8.87
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      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 530.00, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 850.00; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 12,
      "constructive_percent": 50,
      "rising_cycle_count": 13,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 54,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 143,
          "positive_rate": 49.0,
          "median_return": 0.0,
          "average_return": 0.43,
          "median_excess_return": -0.89,
          "excess_observations": 143,
          "p10": -9.65,
          "p90": 13.88
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 81,
          "positive_rate": 61.7,
          "median_return": 4.96,
          "average_return": 13.87,
          "median_excess_return": 1.79,
          "excess_observations": 81,
          "p10": -19.67,
          "p90": 50.56
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 67,
          "positive_rate": 62.7,
          "median_return": 7.27,
          "average_return": 23.93,
          "median_excess_return": 8.27,
          "excess_observations": 67,
          "p10": -18.03,
          "p90": 45.3
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      ],
      "benchmark": "^JKSE",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 27.81954887218045,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 4,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 0.5% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 33% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 4,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 25,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 25/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has high recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
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