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    ]
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  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-wave3",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave3",
      "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 74,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 1,351.00; Wave 2 1,434.50.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 1,590.50; Wave 3 1,643.00.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 65% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.87\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 258,
          "date": "2026-06-12",
          "price": 1351.0,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -25.455517194372465,
          "weeks": 20,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 265,
          "date": "2026-07-31",
          "price": 1590.5,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 17.72760917838638,
          "weeks": 7,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 266,
          "date": "2026-08-07",
          "price": 1434.5,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 1643.0,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
          "weeks": 9,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "3"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 1434.5,
      "confirmation": 1643.0,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 36
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 71,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 1,351.00; Wave B 1,434.50.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 239.50; C length 208.50.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.87\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
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            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -25.455517194372465,
            "weeks": 20,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 265,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 1590.5,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 17.72760917838638,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 266,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 1434.5,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 1643.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 1643.0,
        "confirmation": 1434.5,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 28
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bullish-wave3",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 1,351.00; Wave 2 1,434.50.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 1,590.50; Wave 3 1,643.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 65% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.87\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 258,
            "date": "2026-06-12",
            "price": 1351.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.618590803837249,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 265,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 1590.5,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 17.72760917838638,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 266,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 1434.5,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 1643.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 1434.5,
        "confirmation": 1643.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 36
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 11.249799453472827,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 1,812.34; Wave 2 1,643.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 63% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 238,
              "date": "2026-01-23",
              "price": 1812.340698,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 18.193541752908388,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 258,
              "date": "2026-06-12",
              "price": 1351.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -25.455517194372465,
              "weeks": 20,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 1643.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 21.61361954108068,
              "weeks": 17,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 1812.340698,
          "confirmation": 1351.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements."
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 11.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 7.0311246584205165,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-wave3",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 1,351.00; Wave 2 1,434.50.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 1,590.50; Wave 3 1,643.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 65% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.87\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 258,
              "date": "2026-06-12",
              "price": 1351.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -25.455517194372465,
              "weeks": 20,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 265,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 1590.5,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 17.72760917838638,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 266,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 1434.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 1643.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 1434.5,
          "confirmation": 1643.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 36
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 7.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 4.921787260894361,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-wave3",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 1,351.00; Wave 2 1,434.50.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 1,590.50; Wave 3 1,643.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 65% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.87\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 258,
              "date": "2026-06-12",
              "price": 1351.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.618590803837249,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 265,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 1590.5,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 17.72760917838638,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 266,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 1434.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 1643.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 1434.5,
          "confirmation": 1643.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 36
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 4.9% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 36,
      "changes": 4,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Low"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave3_continuation",
    "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 95,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-wave3",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 258,
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "price": 1351.0,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -25.455517194372465,
        "weeks": 20,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 265,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 1590.5,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 17.72760917838638,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 1434.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "2"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 1643.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "3"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Hurst rhythm shows a rising stack.",
      "Hurst cycle alignment is strong.",
      "Price is above the 30-week trend line.",
      "Close remains below Fair Value, leaving valuation room if the turn holds.",
      "Market Activity is positive."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 9.883851611822175,
      "fair_value_gap": -9.607006370069083,
      "market_activity": 68.866795,
      "market_dynamics": 1.456664,
      "relative_strength": -12.033345,
      "roc30": 10.097601449974292,
      "hurst_alignment": 100,
      "hurst_risk": 0
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible wave 3 advancing. Price is 9.9% above its 30-week trend. 6 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 7.755524996811555
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 9.569856618872958
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 7.280444009141364
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -7.98768242137092
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 1865.266667,
      "low_52": 1342.5,
      "position_52": 57.482624461211095,
      "drawdown": -11.916079932821749
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 25.639768619538327,
      "average_weekly_range": 3.5409481602875585,
      "active_drawdown": -30.258966269160286
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 1434.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 238,
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "price": 1812.340698,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 18.193541752908388,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 1434.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 1495.215153,
      "fair_value": 1817.618749,
      "trend_gap": 9.883851611822175,
      "fair_value_gap": -9.607006370069083
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 1434.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -9.808236403646651,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 1643.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 14.534681073544789,
      "weeks": 9,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "9.9% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-12.0",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+68.9",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+1.5",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+10.1",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 6,
      "negative": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 86,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 26
    },
    "volume_ratio": 154.78914578261055,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 81,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 80,
          "positive_rate": 37.5,
          "median_return": -2.73,
          "bar_width": 13.65,
          "average_return": -1.63,
          "best_return": 20.01,
          "worst_return": -21.81
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 78,
          "positive_rate": 38.5,
          "median_return": -2.34,
          "bar_width": 11.7,
          "average_return": -2.29,
          "best_return": 20.17,
          "worst_return": -23.2
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 78,
          "positive_rate": 44.9,
          "median_return": -2.07,
          "bar_width": 10.35,
          "average_return": -1.6,
          "best_return": 29.94,
          "worst_return": -27.57
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "setup",
      "label": "Setup in timing window",
      "now": "Possible Wave 3 advancing is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 1,643.00, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 1434.50; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 10,
      "constructive_percent": 42,
      "rising_cycle_count": 3,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 12,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 677,
          "positive_rate": 50.4,
          "median_return": 0.11,
          "average_return": 0.8,
          "median_excess_return": -0.45,
          "excess_observations": 677,
          "p10": -8.39,
          "p90": 10.22
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 243,
          "positive_rate": 55.6,
          "median_return": 2.29,
          "average_return": 2.94,
          "median_excess_return": -3.11,
          "excess_observations": 243,
          "p10": -13.74,
          "p90": 19.63
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 140,
          "positive_rate": 55.7,
          "median_return": 3.17,
          "average_return": 5.39,
          "median_excess_return": -6.02,
          "excess_observations": 140,
          "p10": -15.94,
          "p90": 35.71
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^N225",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 12.690200852099817,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 12,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 6,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 30,
          "explanation": "Price is 9.9% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 57% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 0/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 6,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 64,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
      "2023-10-20",
      "2023-10-27",
      "2023-11-03",
      "2023-11-10",
      "2023-11-17",
      "2023-11-24",
      "2023-12-01",
      "2023-12-08",
      "2023-12-15",
      "2023-12-22",
      "2023-12-29",
      "2024-01-05",
      "2024-01-12",
      "2024-01-19",
      "2024-01-26",
      "2024-02-02",
      "2024-02-09",
      "2024-02-16",
      "2024-02-23",
      "2024-03-01",
      "2024-03-08",
      "2024-03-15",
      "2024-03-22",
      "2024-03-29",
      "2024-04-05",
      "2024-04-12",
      "2024-04-19",
      "2024-04-26",
      "2024-05-03",
      "2024-05-10",
      "2024-05-17",
      "2024-05-24",
      "2024-05-31",
      "2024-06-07",
      "2024-06-14",
      "2024-06-21",
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