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        "label": "10w",
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        "timing_available": false,
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave3",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 74,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 12.92; Wave 2 12.57.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 11.87; Wave 3 11.27.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 66% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.24\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 214,
          "date": "2025-08-08",
          "price": 12.921393,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 14.119593802772961,
          "weeks": 18,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 247,
          "date": "2026-03-27",
          "price": 11.874134,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -8.104845971328327,
          "weeks": 33,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 253,
          "date": "2026-05-08",
          "price": 12.568393,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
          "weeks": 6,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 11.27,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
          "weeks": 22,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "3"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 12.568393,
      "confirmation": 11.27,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 35
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 65,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 12.92; Wave B 12.57.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 1.05; C length 1.30.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 1.24\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 214,
            "date": "2025-08-08",
            "price": 12.921393,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 14.119593802772961,
            "weeks": 18,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 247,
            "date": "2026-03-27",
            "price": 11.874134,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -8.104845971328327,
            "weeks": 33,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 253,
            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "price": 12.568393,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 11.27,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
            "weeks": 22,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 11.27,
        "confirmation": 12.568393,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 16
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 78,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 12.67; Wave B 12.57.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.80; C length 1.30.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 1.63\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 242,
            "date": "2026-02-20",
            "price": 12.671098,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 4.861545927446077,
            "weeks": 18,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 247,
            "date": "2026-03-27",
            "price": 11.874134,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -6.289620678492116,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 253,
            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "price": 12.568393,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 11.27,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
            "weeks": 22,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 11.27,
        "confirmation": 12.568393,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 49
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 8.0,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 5.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 12.92; Wave 2 12.57.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 11.87; Wave 3 11.27.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 66% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.24\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 214,
              "date": "2025-08-08",
              "price": 12.921393,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 14.119593802772961,
              "weeks": 18,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 247,
              "date": "2026-03-27",
              "price": 11.874134,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -8.104845971328327,
              "weeks": 33,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 253,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 12.568393,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 11.27,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
              "weeks": 22,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 12.568393,
          "confirmation": 11.27,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 35
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 3.5,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-abc",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 78,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 12.67; Wave B 12.57.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.80; C length 1.30.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 1.63\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 242,
              "date": "2026-02-20",
              "price": 12.671098,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 4.861545927446077,
              "weeks": 18,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 247,
              "date": "2026-03-27",
              "price": 11.874134,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -6.289620678492116,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 253,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 12.568393,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 11.27,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
              "weeks": 22,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 11.27,
          "confirmation": 12.568393,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 49
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 20,
      "changes": 5,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Low"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave3_continuation",
    "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 95,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 214,
        "date": "2025-08-08",
        "price": 12.921393,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 14.119593802772961,
        "weeks": 18,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 247,
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "price": 11.874134,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -8.104845971328327,
        "weeks": 33,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 253,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 12.568393,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "2"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 11.27,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
        "weeks": 22,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "3"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Hurst rhythm shows a falling stack.",
      "Hurst risk alignment is elevated.",
      "Market Activity has fallen below zero.",
      "Market Dynamics is negative.",
      "30-week price rate of change is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": -6.690784104580505,
      "fair_value_gap": -6.179194741106615,
      "market_activity": -26.562681,
      "market_dynamics": -1.037787,
      "relative_strength": -16.055717,
      "roc30": -7.137921527506219,
      "hurst_alignment": 0,
      "hurst_risk": 100
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible bearish wave 3 declining. Price is 6.7% below its 30-week trend. 0 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -2.804340566691226
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -8.011346518808995
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -9.030091263724595
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -7.625729619445058
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 12.800646,
      "low_52": 11.03,
      "position_52": 13.554375069889751,
      "drawdown": -11.95756839147025
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 8.187199769692548,
      "average_weekly_range": 2.011590880554647,
      "active_drawdown": -12.780301628469937
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": null,
      "resistance": {
        "index": 253,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 12.568393,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 253,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 12.568393,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 12.078121,
      "fair_value": 12.012261,
      "trend_gap": -6.690784104580505,
      "fair_value_gap": -6.179194741106615
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 253,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 12.568393,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.846817965840715,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 11.27,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
        "weeks": 22,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -10.330620629065313,
      "weeks": 22,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "6.7% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-16.1",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-26.6",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-1.0",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-7.1",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 7,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 100,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "bearish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 17
    },
    "volume_ratio": 160.18060758042117,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 51,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 50,
          "positive_rate": 66.0,
          "median_return": 0.84,
          "bar_width": 4.2,
          "average_return": 1.24,
          "best_return": 7.94,
          "worst_return": -5.09
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 41,
          "positive_rate": 82.9,
          "median_return": 3.17,
          "bar_width": 15.85,
          "average_return": 3.23,
          "best_return": 13.63,
          "worst_return": -8.53
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 37,
          "positive_rate": 78.4,
          "median_return": 3.34,
          "bar_width": 16.7,
          "average_return": 3.28,
          "best_return": 17.23,
          "worst_return": -6.87
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "setup",
      "label": "Setup in timing window",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is falling stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 11.27, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 12.57; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 17,
      "constructive_count": 6,
      "constructive_percent": 35,
      "rising_cycle_count": 2,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 12,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 204,
          "positive_rate": 52.0,
          "median_return": 0.17,
          "average_return": 1.38,
          "median_excess_return": -0.82,
          "excess_observations": 204,
          "p10": -6.5,
          "p90": 10.49
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 79,
          "positive_rate": 57.0,
          "median_return": 1.13,
          "average_return": 2.34,
          "median_excess_return": -2.37,
          "excess_observations": 79,
          "p10": -12.54,
          "p90": 21.01
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 48,
          "positive_rate": 56.2,
          "median_return": 2.31,
          "average_return": 5.57,
          "median_excess_return": -7.5,
          "excess_observations": 48,
          "p10": -13.18,
          "p90": 21.82
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "SPY",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 11.520789707187232,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 34,
      "label": "Watch",
      "tone": "watch",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 6.7% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 14% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 15,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 8,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 80,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100.",
        "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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      "2026-06-12",
      "2026-06-19",
      "2026-06-26",
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