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    "risk_score": 0,
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    "crest_alignment": 0,
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        "label": "10w",
        "estimated_period": 8,
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        "timing_available": false,
        "timing_note": "No measurable positive repeat",
        "history_cycles": 26.5,
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": 1.378481267660809
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": 1.0689687549722795
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": 0.7009803328683122
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": 0.41122734447896886
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": 0.09899038867196586
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": -0.26360348089911756
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -0.5427541606698619
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": -0.8440347699223532
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": -1.108060387905895
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "value": -1.1723547079343462
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "value": -1.1217665391964013
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "value": -1.0650499129155118
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "value": -1.1256994745320656
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "value": -1.0781306864995226
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-04",
        "value": -0.8284635091602355
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-11",
        "value": -0.643879936156408
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "value": -0.6798964029873167
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "value": -0.6298250158942805
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "value": -0.357104714264332
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "value": -0.08813216513302158
      }
    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 63,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 9.32; Wave 2 6.97.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 52% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 191,
          "date": "2026-05-22",
          "price": 9.32,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
          "weeks": 7,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 200,
          "date": "2026-07-24",
          "price": 4.47,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
          "weeks": 9,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 211,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 6.97,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
          "weeks": 11,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 9.32,
      "confirmation": 4.47,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 33
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 63,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 9.32; Wave 2 6.97.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 52% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 191,
            "date": "2026-05-22",
            "price": 9.32,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 200,
            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "price": 4.47,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 211,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 6.97,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
            "weeks": 11,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 9.32,
        "confirmation": 4.47,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 33
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-wave2",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 63,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 9.32; Wave 2 6.97.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 52% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 191,
            "date": "2026-05-22",
            "price": 9.32,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 200,
            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "price": 4.47,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 211,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 6.97,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
            "weeks": 11,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 9.32,
        "confirmation": 4.47,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 33
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 24.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 9.32; Wave 2 6.97.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 52% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 191,
              "date": "2026-05-22",
              "price": 9.32,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 200,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 4.47,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 211,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 6.97,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 9.32,
          "confirmation": 4.47,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 24.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 16.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 9.32; Wave 2 6.97.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 52% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 191,
              "date": "2026-05-22",
              "price": 9.32,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 200,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 4.47,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 211,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 6.97,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 9.32,
          "confirmation": 4.47,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 16.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 11.2,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 9.32; Wave 2 6.97.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 52% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 191,
              "date": "2026-05-22",
              "price": 9.32,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 200,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 4.47,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 211,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 6.97,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 9.32,
          "confirmation": 4.47,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 33
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 11.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 20,
      "changes": 5,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Low"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "cycle_rollover",
    "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 55,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 191,
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "price": 9.32,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 200,
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "price": 4.47,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 211,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 6.97,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Market Activity has fallen below zero.",
      "30-week price rate of change is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 5.8037693769281296,
      "fair_value_gap": 11.687244948075039,
      "market_activity": -17.793983,
      "market_dynamics": 0.78183,
      "relative_strength": 6.13687,
      "roc30": -3.9944903581267224,
      "hurst_alignment": 100,
      "hurst_risk": 0
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible bearish wave 2 crest. Price is 5.8% above its 30-week trend. 5 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 18.94197952218429
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 31.01503759398495
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -3.1944444444444504
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 7.727975270479135
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 13.72,
      "low_52": 4.45,
      "position_52": 27.18446601941747,
      "drawdown": -49.19825072886298
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 58.834274549879865,
      "average_weekly_range": 8.890386776942467,
      "active_drawdown": -47.79026217228465
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 200,
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "price": 4.47,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 191,
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "price": 9.32,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 191,
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "price": 9.32,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 41.212121212121225,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 6.587667,
      "fair_value": 6.240641,
      "trend_gap": 5.8037693769281296,
      "fair_value_gap": 11.687244948075039
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 200,
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "price": 4.47,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -52.03862660944206,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 211,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 6.97,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 55.928411633109626,
      "weeks": 11,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "5.8% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+6.1",
          "explanation": "Outperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-17.8",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.8",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-4.0",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 5,
      "negative": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 71,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bearish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 94,
      "history_score": 82,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 212,
      "confirmed_pivots": 14
    },
    "volume_ratio": 166.10465479867145,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 31,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 31,
          "positive_rate": 61.3,
          "median_return": 3.65,
          "bar_width": 18.25,
          "average_return": 5.51,
          "best_return": 88.56,
          "worst_return": -40.07
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 31,
          "positive_rate": 48.4,
          "median_return": -5.26,
          "bar_width": 26.299999999999997,
          "average_return": 1.71,
          "best_return": 80.37,
          "worst_return": -49.06
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 31,
          "positive_rate": 45.2,
          "median_return": -2.91,
          "bar_width": 14.55,
          "average_return": 15.4,
          "best_return": 171.7,
          "worst_return": -48.76
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 4.47, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 9.32; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 7,
      "constructive_percent": 29,
      "rising_cycle_count": 8,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 33,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 151,
          "positive_rate": 53.6,
          "median_return": 1.65,
          "average_return": 3.6,
          "median_excess_return": 1.52,
          "excess_observations": 151,
          "p10": -10.45,
          "p90": 18.69
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 93,
          "positive_rate": 53.8,
          "median_return": 1.3,
          "average_return": 12.03,
          "median_excess_return": 1.44,
          "excess_observations": 93,
          "p10": -21.21,
          "p90": 46.86
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 79,
          "positive_rate": 55.7,
          "median_return": 8.24,
          "average_return": 24.23,
          "median_excess_return": 7.09,
          "excess_observations": 79,
          "p10": -22.27,
          "p90": 89.59
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 33.71592539454807,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 8,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 5.8% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 27% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
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        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 8,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 80,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
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