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        "label": "10w",
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 58,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 7.95; Wave 2 8.30.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Retraced 12% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 267,
          "date": "2026-07-31",
          "price": 7.95,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
          "weeks": 11,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 270,
          "date": "2026-08-21",
          "price": 8.35,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 5.031446540880496,
          "weeks": 3,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-09-25",
          "price": 8.3,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -0.5988023952095681,
          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 7.95,
      "confirmation": 8.35,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 17
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 8.39; Wave B 8.35.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.44; C length 0.05.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.11\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 256,
            "date": "2026-05-15",
            "price": 8.392559,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 6.790110968046671,
            "weeks": 14,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 267,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 7.95,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
            "weeks": 11,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 270,
            "date": "2026-08-21",
            "price": 8.35,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 5.031446540880496,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-09-25",
            "price": 8.3,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -0.5988023952095681,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 8.3,
        "confirmation": 8.35,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 17
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 7.86; Wave B 7.95.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.53; C length 0.35.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.66\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 242,
            "date": "2026-02-06",
            "price": 7.858929,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -14.285709611451939,
            "weeks": 36,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 256,
            "date": "2026-05-15",
            "price": 8.392559,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 6.790110968046671,
            "weeks": 14,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 267,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 7.95,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
            "weeks": 11,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-09-25",
            "price": 8.3,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 4.402515723270447,
            "weeks": 8,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 8.3,
        "confirmation": 7.95,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 65
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 8.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bullish-wave2",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.74; Wave 2 8.30.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 61% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 199,
              "date": "2025-04-11",
              "price": 7.743226,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -19.60784558013867,
              "weeks": 46,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 206,
              "date": "2025-05-30",
              "price": 9.16875,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 18.40994954815989,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 8.3,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.475119291070197,
              "weeks": 69,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 7.743226,
          "confirmation": 9.16875,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements."
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 5.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 58,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.95; Wave 2 8.30.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 12% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 267,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 7.95,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 270,
              "date": "2026-08-21",
              "price": 8.35,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.031446540880496,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 8.3,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -0.5988023952095681,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 7.95,
          "confirmation": 8.35,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 17
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 3.5,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-abc",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.86; Wave B 7.95.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 0.53; C length 0.35.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.66\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 242,
              "date": "2026-02-06",
              "price": 7.858929,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -14.285709611451939,
              "weeks": 36,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 256,
              "date": "2026-05-15",
              "price": 8.392559,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 6.790110968046671,
              "weeks": 14,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 267,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 7.95,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 8.3,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 4.402515723270447,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 8.3,
          "confirmation": 7.95,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 65
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 52,
      "changes": 3,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Moderate"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave_hurst_confluence",
    "title": "Wave + Hurst trough confluence",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 95,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 267,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 7.95,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 270,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 8.35,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.031446540880496,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "price": 8.3,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -0.5988023952095681,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Hurst rhythm shows a rising stack.",
      "Hurst cycle alignment is strong.",
      "Price is above the 30-week trend line.",
      "Close remains below Fair Value, leaving valuation room if the turn holds.",
      "Market Activity is positive."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 1.3129177632060927,
      "fair_value_gap": -4.021687860720882,
      "market_activity": 28.872941,
      "market_dynamics": 0.917406,
      "relative_strength": -1.093794,
      "roc30": 1.2378831670918038,
      "hurst_alignment": 75,
      "hurst_risk": 25
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as wave + hurst trough confluence. Price is 1.3% above its 30-week trend. 6 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 0.0
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 2.469135802469149
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 1.8404907975460165
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 1.2378831670918038
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 8.538095,
      "low_52": 7.761905,
      "position_52": 69.32516523016281,
      "drawdown": -2.788619709665909
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 9.410575523769085,
      "average_weekly_range": 0.6064364380648379,
      "active_drawdown": -44.02691293925807
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 267,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 7.95,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 270,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 8.35,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.031446540880496,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 267,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 7.95,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.27323072736218,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 8.19244,
      "fair_value": 8.647787,
      "trend_gap": 1.3129177632060927,
      "fair_value_gap": -4.021687860720882
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 270,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 8.35,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.031446540880496,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "price": 8.3,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -0.5988023952095681,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -0.5988023952095681,
      "weeks": 5,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "1.3% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-1.1",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+28.9",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.9",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+1.2",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 6,
      "negative": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 86,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 21
    },
    "volume_ratio": 55.145655768986124,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 32,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 31,
          "positive_rate": 19.4,
          "median_return": -2.59,
          "bar_width": 12.95,
          "average_return": -2.05,
          "best_return": 2.2,
          "worst_return": -5.35
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 30,
          "positive_rate": 6.7,
          "median_return": -5.73,
          "bar_width": 28.650000000000002,
          "average_return": -5.13,
          "best_return": 2.45,
          "worst_return": -10.11
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 22,
          "positive_rate": 9.1,
          "median_return": -10.36,
          "bar_width": 51.8,
          "average_return": -9.89,
          "best_return": 2.45,
          "worst_return": -15.03
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible Wave 2 trough is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 8.35, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 7.95; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 13,
      "constructive_percent": 54,
      "rising_cycle_count": 2,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 8,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 605,
          "positive_rate": 44.6,
          "median_return": -0.09,
          "average_return": -0.6,
          "median_excess_return": -1.34,
          "excess_observations": 595,
          "p10": -10.37,
          "p90": 8.9
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 233,
          "positive_rate": 46.8,
          "median_return": -0.09,
          "average_return": -0.8,
          "median_excess_return": -3.12,
          "excess_observations": 229,
          "p10": -19.47,
          "p90": 15.98
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 139,
          "positive_rate": 43.2,
          "median_return": -2.18,
          "average_return": -0.67,
          "median_excess_return": -6.51,
          "excess_observations": 137,
          "p10": -23.96,
          "p90": 25.35
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 4.216867469879524,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 9,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 1.3% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 69% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 4,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 25,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 25/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 5,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 48,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
      "2023-10-06",
      "2023-10-13",
      "2023-10-20",
      "2023-10-27",
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      "2023-11-17",
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      "2023-12-01",
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      "2024-01-05",
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      "2024-04-19",
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      "2024-05-03",
      "2024-05-10",
      "2024-05-17",
      "2024-05-24",
      "2024-05-31",
      "2024-06-07",
      "2024-06-14",
      "2024-06-21",
      "2024-06-28",
      "2024-07-05",
      "2024-07-12",
      "2024-07-19",
      "2024-07-26",
      "2024-08-02",
      "2024-08-09",
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      "2024-09-27",
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      "2024-10-18",
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      "2024-11-15",
      "2024-11-22",
      "2024-11-29",
      "2024-12-06",
      "2024-12-13",
      "2024-12-20",
      "2024-12-27",
      "2025-01-03",
      "2025-01-10",
      "2025-01-17",
      "2025-01-24",
      "2025-01-31",
      "2025-02-07",
      "2025-02-14",
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