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1.273994251891163 }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "value": 1.4347420552325194 }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "value": 1.3182989012368078 }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "value": 1.1900439673332281 }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "value": 0.9964983063990579 }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "value": 0.8582502779661765 }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "value": 0.9046267346750297 }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "value": 0.8982766019229919 }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "value": 0.8077811544434751 }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "value": 0.7976188470088452 }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "value": 0.7554601705330334 }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "value": 0.7945164152834192 }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "value": 0.9164094763183191 }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "value": 0.8854568809317029 }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "value": 0.8900037513487236 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "value": 0.9582168124925707 } ] }, "scenario": { "setup": "wave3_continuation", "title": "Possible Wave 3 continuation", "direction": "bullish", "confidence": 67, "labels": [ { "index": 73, "date": "2025-04-11", "price": 5.152657, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -8.367756249475402, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 119, "date": "2026-02-27", "price": 7.247, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 40.645884249621126, "weeks": 46, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 122, "date": "2026-03-20", "price": 6.627, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -8.555264247274737, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 140, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 7.22, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.948242040138826, "weeks": 18, "confirmed": false, "label": "3" } ], "notes": [ "Price is above the 30-week trend line.", "Market Activity is positive.", "30-week price rate of change is positive." ], "metrics": { "trend_gap": 3.8948929040795415, "fair_value_gap": 25.268820469133463, "market_activity": 42.02433, "market_dynamics": -0.198568, "relative_strength": -1.313665, "roc30": 10.533117145661368, "hurst_alignment": 50, "hurst_risk": 51 } }, "detail": { "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible wave 3 continuation. Price is 3.9% above its 30-week trend. 4 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.", "returns": [ { "weeks": 4, "label": "4-week return", "value": 2.020630210541187 }, { "weeks": 13, "label": "13-week return", "value": 3.3051938760909985 }, { "weeks": 26, "label": "26-week return", "value": 7.288818974488295 }, { "weeks": 52, "label": "52-week return", "value": 22.290697861521863 } ], "range": { "high_52": 7.247, "low_52": 5.948308, "position_52": 97.92098511425341, "drawdown": -0.3725679591555145 }, "risk": { "annualised_volatility": 14.143859599094451, "average_weekly_range": 1.0363331806471, "active_drawdown": -0.3725679591555145 }, "levels": { "support": { "index": 122, "date": "2026-03-20", "price": 6.627, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -8.555264247274737, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": true }, "resistance": { "index": 119, "date": "2026-02-27", "price": 7.247, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 40.645884249621126, "weeks": 46, "confirmed": true }, "decisive": { "index": 122, "date": "2026-03-20", "price": 6.627, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -8.555264247274737, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": true }, "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below", "trend": 6.949331, "fair_value": 5.763605, "trend_gap": 3.8948929040795415, "fair_value_gap": 25.268820469133463 }, "active_swing": { "from": { "index": 122, "date": "2026-03-20", "price": 6.627, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -8.555264247274737, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": true }, "to": { "index": 140, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 7.22, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.948242040138826, "weeks": 18, "confirmed": false }, "move_percent": 8.948242040138826, "weeks": 18, "status": "Forming" }, "confirmation": { "rows": [ { "label": "Trend", "status": "positive", "value": "3.9% above trend", "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend." }, { "label": "Cycle pressure", "status": "positive", "value": "Rising", "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher." }, { "label": "Cycle 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