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        "label": "10w",
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "value": 0.7969872138975067
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        "date": "2026-09-18",
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        "date": "2026-09-25",
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "tactical-bullish-wave3",
      "degree": "tactical",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave3",
      "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 74,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 3.56; Wave 2 3.92.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 4.15; Wave 3 4.34.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 39% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.73\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 246,
          "date": "2026-03-06",
          "price": 3.560106,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -15.291942623896713,
          "weeks": 11,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 252,
          "date": "2026-04-17",
          "price": 4.146317,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 16.466110840519903,
          "weeks": 6,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 259,
          "date": "2026-06-05",
          "price": 3.918,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -5.506501311887144,
          "weeks": 7,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-09-25",
          "price": 4.344,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 10.872894333843801,
          "weeks": 16,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "3"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 3.918,
      "confirmation": 4.344,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 62
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 68,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 3.56; Wave B 3.92.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.59; C length 0.43.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.73\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 246,
            "date": "2026-03-06",
            "price": 3.560106,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -15.291942623896713,
            "weeks": 11,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 252,
            "date": "2026-04-17",
            "price": 4.146317,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 16.466110840519903,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 259,
            "date": "2026-06-05",
            "price": 3.918,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -5.506501311887144,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-09-25",
            "price": 4.344,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 10.872894333843801,
            "weeks": 16,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 4.344,
        "confirmation": 3.918,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 38
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 10.690247810269916,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 10.7% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 6.681404881418698,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 6.7% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 4.676983416993088,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-wave3",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 3.56; Wave 2 3.92.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 4.15; Wave 3 4.34.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 39% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.73\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 246,
              "date": "2026-03-06",
              "price": 3.560106,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -15.291942623896713,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 252,
              "date": "2026-04-17",
              "price": 4.146317,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 16.466110840519903,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 259,
              "date": "2026-06-05",
              "price": 3.918,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.506501311887144,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 4.344,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 10.872894333843801,
              "weeks": 16,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 3.918,
          "confirmation": 4.344,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 62
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 4.7% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 68,
      "changes": 2,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Moderate"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave3_continuation",
    "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 83,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "tactical-bullish-wave3",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "price": 3.560106,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -15.291942623896713,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 252,
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "price": 4.146317,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 16.466110840519903,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 259,
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "price": 3.918,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.506501311887144,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "2"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "price": 4.344,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 10.872894333843801,
        "weeks": 16,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "3"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Price is above the 30-week trend line.",
      "Market Activity is positive.",
      "Market Dynamics supports the setup.",
      "30-week price rate of change is positive."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 4.612939349058998,
      "fair_value_gap": 48.808300379009005,
      "market_activity": 27.666802,
      "market_dynamics": 0.274192,
      "relative_strength": -2.325149,
      "roc30": 12.936918855187793,
      "hurst_alignment": 0,
      "hurst_risk": 100
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible wave 3 advancing. Price is 4.6% above its 30-week trend. 4 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -3.208556149732623
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 0.7421150278293142
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 19.469975742974544
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 14.202278419581383
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 4.566,
      "low_52": 3.427674,
      "position_52": 80.49767816952266,
      "drawdown": -4.862023653088032
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 17.937089015879096,
      "average_weekly_range": 2.592364726108148,
      "active_drawdown": -3.68070953436806
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "price": 3.560106,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -15.291942623896713,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": null,
      "decisive": {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "price": 3.560106,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -15.291942623896713,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 4.15245,
      "fair_value": 2.919192,
      "trend_gap": 4.612939349058998,
      "fair_value_gap": 48.808300379009005
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "price": 3.560106,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -15.291942623896713,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "price": 4.344,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 22.01883876491318,
        "weeks": 29,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 22.01883876491318,
      "weeks": 29,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "4.6% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Cresting",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-2.3",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+27.7",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.3",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+12.9",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 4,
      "negative": 3,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 57,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 14
    },
    "volume_ratio": 131.03311266828456,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 106,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 105,
          "positive_rate": 73.3,
          "median_return": 2.5,
          "bar_width": 12.5,
          "average_return": 3.12,
          "best_return": 22.13,
          "worst_return": -10.07
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 97,
          "positive_rate": 85.6,
          "median_return": 7.38,
          "bar_width": 36.9,
          "average_return": 8.18,
          "best_return": 30.43,
          "worst_return": -10.68
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 90,
          "positive_rate": 95.6,
          "median_return": 14.64,
          "bar_width": 73.2,
          "average_return": 16.35,
          "best_return": 55.06,
          "worst_return": -4.57
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible Wave 3 advancing is the highest-ranked admissible tactical count; cycle status is falling stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 4.34, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 3.92; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 13,
      "constructive_count": 9,
      "constructive_percent": 69,
      "rising_cycle_count": 2,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 15,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 486,
          "positive_rate": 55.1,
          "median_return": 1.01,
          "average_return": 0.34,
          "median_excess_return": 0.49,
          "excess_observations": 486,
          "p10": -8.03,
          "p90": 13.92
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 163,
          "positive_rate": 64.4,
          "median_return": 5.11,
          "average_return": 2.94,
          "median_excess_return": 0.89,
          "excess_observations": 163,
          "p10": -10.86,
          "p90": 30.04
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 85,
          "positive_rate": 71.8,
          "median_return": 11.44,
          "average_return": -168.86,
          "median_excess_return": 5.7,
          "excess_observations": 85,
          "p10": -16.43,
          "p90": 51.15
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^IBEX",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 9.806629834254146,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 36,
      "label": "Watch",
      "tone": "watch",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 4.6% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 3,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 22,
          "explanation": "Price is 80% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 15,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is cresting."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 15,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 3,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 32,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is cresting.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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