{ "ticker": { "symbol": "6968", "name": "Wonder Pets Enterprises Corporation", "exchange": "TWO" }, "latest_week": "2026-08-14", "latest_close": 43.700001, "latest_open": 45.799999, "latest_high": 45.799999, "latest_low": 43.200001, "bar_count": 153, "analysis_bar_count": 153, "reversal_percent": 5.0, "model": { "version": "ewc-2.1.0", "as_of": "2026-08-14", "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes", "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration", "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation", "repainting_policy": "only the final active pivot is provisional; confirmed pivots are retained" }, "pivots": [ { "index": 78, "date": "2025-03-07", "price": 65.773438, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 15.816329234755381, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true }, { "index": 85, "date": "2025-04-25", "price": 57.756996, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -12.187962563246272, "weeks": 7, 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{ "date": "2025-11-07", "value": -0.9015298921771184 }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "value": -0.9310610640011221 }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "value": -1.1357572153465727 }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "value": -1.1340743989421531 }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "value": -1.096201211112874 }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "value": -1.068725259512303 }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "value": -1.0732732931237912 }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "value": -0.7359696912792755 }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "value": -0.4848241939374119 }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "value": -0.6576038685703622 }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "value": -0.7483386934615228 }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "value": -0.9139810242673613 }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "value": -1.273562483576097 }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "value": -1.464100873390301 }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "value": -1.4984872954668278 }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "value": -1.4856725682892535 }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "value": -1.5533744526185556 }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "value": -1.5755202684233616 }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "value": -1.4814217963609437 }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "value": -1.482998434540503 }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "value": -1.5896788573351759 }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "value": -1.5643282313845566 }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "value": -1.439736454951668 }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "value": -1.5178525394744327 }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "value": -1.5713279335840311 }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "value": -1.6245081612157966 }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "value": -1.5805973590146347 }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "value": -1.3937499791607122 }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "value": -1.4004591719652146 }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "value": -1.3700744119608166 }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "value": -1.3254336547515435 }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "value": -1.2602464287297281 }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "value": -1.2841712361306796 }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "value": -1.2912729638443832 }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "value": -1.2310899748400816 }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "value": -1.190091191358833 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "value": -1.050219344682542 }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "value": -0.9817175097441695 }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "value": -0.7451995475288324 }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "value": -0.7593329510736312 } ] }, "structure": { "primary": { "id": "primary-bullish-wave2", "degree": "primary", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave2", "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough", "direction": "bullish", "score": 63, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 42.40; Wave 2 43.70.", "hard": true } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 62% of Wave 1.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.777773333333332, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "2" } ], "invalidation": 42.400002, "confirmation": 45.799999, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 6 }, "alternates": [ { "id": "strategic-bearish-wave5", "degree": "strategic", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave5", "title": "Five-wave decline mature", "direction": "bearish", "score": 95, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 66.60; Wave 2 58.30.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 52.80; Wave 3 42.40.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 52.80; Wave 4 45.80.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave", "passed": true, "detail": "Motive lengths: 13.80, 15.90, 2.10.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress", "passed": false, "detail": "Wave 3 42.40; Wave 5 43.70.", "hard": false } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 40% of Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.15\u00d7 Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 21% of Wave 3.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 6w; Wave 4 lasted 5w.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 98, "date": "2025-07-25", "price": 66.599998, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 15.310702793476308, "weeks": 13, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 115, "date": "2025-11-21", "price": 52.799999, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -20.72071984146306, "weeks": 17, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 121, "date": "2026-01-02", "price": 58.299999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 10.416666863952024, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -27.272722594729373, "weeks": 25, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "invalidation": 45.799999, "confirmation": 43.700001, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 88 }, { "id": "strategic-bullish-wave2", "degree": "strategic", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave2", "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough", "direction": "bullish", "score": 63, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 42.40; Wave 2 43.70.", "hard": true } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 62% of Wave 1.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -27.272722594729373, "weeks": 25, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "2" } ], "invalidation": 42.400002, "confirmation": 45.799999, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 6 } ], "degrees": [ { "key": "strategic", "label": "Strategic", "reversal_percent": 8.0, "primary": { "id": "strategic-bearish-wave5", "degree": "strategic", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave5", "title": "Five-wave decline mature", "direction": "bearish", "score": 95, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 66.60; Wave 2 58.30.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 52.80; Wave 3 42.40.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 52.80; Wave 4 45.80.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave", "passed": true, "detail": "Motive lengths: 13.80, 15.90, 2.10.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress", "passed": false, "detail": "Wave 3 42.40; Wave 5 43.70.", "hard": false } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 40% of Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.15\u00d7 Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 21% of Wave 3.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 6w; Wave 4 lasted 5w.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 98, "date": "2025-07-25", "price": 66.599998, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 15.310702793476308, "weeks": 13, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 115, "date": "2025-11-21", "price": 52.799999, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -20.72071984146306, "weeks": 17, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 121, "date": "2026-01-02", "price": 58.299999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 10.416666863952024, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -27.272722594729373, "weeks": 25, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "invalidation": 45.799999, "confirmation": 43.700001, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 88 }, "candidate_count": 3, "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold." }, { "key": "primary", "label": "Primary", "reversal_percent": 5.0, "primary": { "id": "primary-bullish-wave2", "degree": "primary", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave2", "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough", "direction": "bullish", "score": 63, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 42.40; Wave 2 43.70.", "hard": true } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 62% of Wave 1.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.777773333333332, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "2" } ], "invalidation": 42.400002, "confirmation": 45.799999, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 6 }, "candidate_count": 1, "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold." }, { "key": "tactical", "label": "Tactical", "reversal_percent": 3.5, "primary": { "id": "tactical-bullish-wave2", "degree": "tactical", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave2", "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough", "direction": "bullish", "score": 63, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 42.40; Wave 2 43.70.", "hard": true } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 62% of Wave 1.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.777773333333332, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "2" } ], "invalidation": 42.400002, "confirmation": 45.799999, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements." }, "candidate_count": 1, "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold." } ], "stability": { "score": 52, "changes": 3, "observations": 9, "label": "Moderate" }, "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration", "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities." }, "scenario": { "setup": "wave_hurst_confluence", "title": "Wave + Hurst trough confluence", "direction": "bullish", "confidence": 75, "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.", "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-wave2", "labels": [ { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.777773333333332, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "2" } ], "notes": [ "Hurst rhythm shows a rising stack.", "Hurst cycle alignment is strong.", "Close remains below Fair Value, leaving valuation room if the turn holds.", "Market Dynamics supports the setup." ], "metrics": { "trend_gap": -4.271629791894848, "fair_value_gap": -31.29809418245009, "market_activity": -49.925485, "market_dynamics": 0.888978, "relative_strength": -41.064829, "roc30": -18.621973582458594, "hurst_alignment": 100, "hurst_risk": 0 } }, "detail": { "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as wave + hurst trough confluence. Price is 4.3% below its 30-week trend. 3 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.", "returns": [ { "weeks": 4, "label": "4-week return", "value": 2.102808460345994 }, { "weeks": 13, "label": "13-week return", "value": 1.0404647398843938 }, { "weeks": 26, "label": "26-week return", "value": -10.633948440329306 }, { "weeks": 52, "label": "52-week return", "value": -31.181100787401576 } ], "range": { "high_52": 64.5, "low_52": 41.549999, "position_52": 9.368200027529413, "drawdown": -32.248060465116275 }, "risk": { "annualised_volatility": 19.30438012713258, "average_weekly_range": 5.150998089985766, "active_drawdown": -51.50506792558472 }, "levels": { "support": { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.777773333333332, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true }, "resistance": { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true }, "decisive": { "index": 146, "date": "2026-07-03", "price": 42.400002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.777773333333332, "weeks": 6, "confirmed": true }, "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below", "trend": 45.65, "fair_value": 63.608135, "trend_gap": -4.271629791894848, "fair_value_gap": -31.29809418245009 }, "active_swing": { "from": { "index": 151, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 45.799999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.018860470808466, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true }, "to": { "index": 152, "date": "2026-08-14", "price": 43.700001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false }, "move_percent": -4.5851485717281335, "weeks": 1, "status": "Forming" }, "confirmation": { "rows": [ { "label": "Trend", "status": "negative", "value": "4.3% below trend", "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend." }, { "label": "Cycle pressure", "status": "positive", "value": "Rising", "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher." }, { "label": "Cycle alignment", "status": "positive", "value": "Rising Stack", "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together." }, { "label": "Relative strength", "status": "negative", "value": "-41.1", "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark" }, { "label": "Market activity", "status": "negative", "value": "-49.9", "explanation": "Participation is weak" }, { "label": "Market dynamics", "status": "positive", "value": "+0.9", "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive" }, { "label": "30-week momentum", "status": "negative", "value": "-18.6", "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative" } ], "positive": 3, "negative": 4, "neutral": 0, "observed": 7, "agreement": 57, "direction": "defensive", "scenario_direction": "bullish" }, "evidence": { "score": 86, "history_score": 59, "indicator_coverage": 100, "structure_score": 100, "weekly_observations": 153, "confirmed_pivots": 23 }, "volume_ratio": 100.25338905915065, "historical": { "available": true, "matches": 30, "horizons": [ { "weeks": 4, "observations": 29, "positive_rate": 34.5, "median_return": -2.35, "bar_width": 11.75, "average_return": -1.59, "best_return": 13.5, "worst_return": -16.21 }, { "weeks": 13, "observations": 21, "positive_rate": 47.6, "median_return": -1.17, "bar_width": 5.85, "average_return": -3.47, "best_return": 8.33, "worst_return": -22.89 }, { "weeks": 26, "observations": 21, "positive_rate": 23.8, "median_return": -5.03, "bar_width": 25.150000000000002, "average_return": -8.3, "best_return": 9.58, "worst_return": -27.02 } ], "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast." }, "lifecycle": { "state": "watching", "label": "Watching", "now": "Possible Wave 2 trough is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is rising stack.", "next": "A weekly close through 45.80, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.", "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 42.40; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.", "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.", "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation." }, "peer_evidence": { "available": true, "peers": 24, "constructive_count": 10, "constructive_percent": 42, "rising_cycle_count": 6, "rising_cycle_percent": 25, "horizons": [ { "weeks": 4, "observations": 185, "positive_rate": 41.1, "median_return": -0.77, "average_return": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -1.88, "excess_observations": 185, "p10": -5.94, "p90": 5.8 }, { "weeks": 13, "observations": 112, "positive_rate": 46.4, "median_return": -0.03, "average_return": -0.37, "median_excess_return": -3.79, "excess_observations": 112, "p10": -9.42, "p90": 7.52 }, { "weeks": 26, "observations": 85, "positive_rate": 49.4, "median_return": 0.0, "average_return": -0.49, "median_excess_return": -12.81, "excess_observations": 85, "p10": -16.25, "p90": 16.02 } ], "benchmark": "^TWII", "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count." }, "event_positioning": { "earnings_date": null, "earnings_weeks": null, "options_available": false, "options_direction": null, "options_conviction": null, "expected_move": null, "invalidation_distance": 2.974826018882699, "collision": false, "flags": [], "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure." }, "downside_vulnerability": { "score": 5, "label": "Contained", "tone": "contained", "components": [ { "key": "wave", "label": "Wave maturity", "score": 0, "maximum": 25, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5." }, { "key": "extension", "label": "Trend extension", "score": 0, "maximum": 20, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "Price is 4.3% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability." }, { "key": "range", "label": "Range position", "score": 0, "maximum": 15, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "Price is 9% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range." }, { "key": "cycle", "label": "Cycle rollover", "score": 0, "maximum": 15, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising." }, { "key": "hurst", "label": "Multi-cycle risk", "score": 0, "maximum": 15, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 0/100." }, { "key": "stability", "label": "Count instability", "score": 5, "maximum": 10, "bar_width": 48, "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability." }, { "key": "event", "label": "Event proximity", "score": 0, "maximum": 10, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available." } ], "warnings": [], "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. 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