{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "NOT",
    "name": "NOVARTIS AG                   N",
    "exchange": "GER"
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  "latest_open": 128.0,
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    "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes",
    "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "repainting_policy": "the last swing is provisional; adaptive thresholds and cycle periods can revise earlier labels between reports"
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  "hurst": {
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
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        "date": "2026-02-20",
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "value": 2.0814148924213987
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "value": 1.8277340585515418
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "value": 0.7562271297368489
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "value": 0.5963191379644923
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "value": 0.2770745278384
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": 0.0830787163636735
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": 0.38998384664091323
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": 0.3758566145086028
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": 0.5009659513775138
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": 0.3688301794436685
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": 0.7685064378004628
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": 0.7310187250680037
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": 0.760098124082921
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        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "value": 0.7279443441958279
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        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "value": 0.6736747321253463
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        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "value": 0.3704222457838889
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      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "value": 0.45084774972815916
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      {
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "value": 0.3403511147529008
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      {
        "date": "2026-09-04",
        "value": 0.5287113060189603
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      {
        "date": "2026-09-11",
        "value": -0.3087235224051835
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      {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "value": -0.7366940222851627
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      {
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "value": -0.678345412520149
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      {
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "value": -0.6687247758886355
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 63,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 137.76; Wave 2 124.76.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 32% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 70,
          "date": "2026-09-04",
          "price": 137.759995,
          "kind": "high",
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          "weeks": 0,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 71,
          "date": "2026-09-11",
          "price": 118.559998,
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          "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 74,
          "date": "2026-10-02",
          "price": 124.760002,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 5.229423165138724,
          "weeks": 3,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 137.759995,
      "confirmation": 118.559998,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 6
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-wave5",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave5",
        "title": "Five-wave decline mature",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 95,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 138.66; Wave 2 137.76.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 130.44; Wave 3 118.56.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 130.44; Wave 4 126.82.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Motive lengths: 8.22, 19.20, 2.06.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave 3 118.56; Wave 5 124.76.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 89% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 2.34\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 43% of Wave 3.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 3w; Wave 4 lasted 2w.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 61,
            "date": "2026-07-03",
            "price": 138.660004,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 12.786726650614483,
            "weeks": 10,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 67,
            "date": "2026-08-14",
            "price": 130.440002,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -5.9281708949034755,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 70,
            "date": "2026-09-04",
            "price": 137.759995,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 5.6117700764831415,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 71,
            "date": "2026-09-11",
            "price": 118.559998,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "3"
          },
          {
            "index": 73,
            "date": "2026-09-25",
            "price": 126.82,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 6.966938376635262,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "4"
          },
          {
            "index": 74,
            "date": "2026-10-02",
            "price": 124.760002,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -1.6243478946538348,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "5"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 126.82,
        "confirmation": 124.760002,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 88
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 63,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 137.76; Wave 2 124.76.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 32% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 70,
            "date": "2026-09-04",
            "price": 137.759995,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": null,
            "weeks": 0,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 71,
            "date": "2026-09-11",
            "price": 118.559998,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 74,
            "date": "2026-10-02",
            "price": 124.760002,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 5.229423165138724,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 137.759995,
        "confirmation": 118.559998,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 6
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 11.278976483439752,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 137.76; Wave 2 124.76.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 32% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 70,
              "date": "2026-09-04",
              "price": 137.759995,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": null,
              "weeks": 0,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 71,
              "date": "2026-09-11",
              "price": 118.559998,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 74,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 124.760002,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.229423165138724,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 137.759995,
          "confirmation": 118.559998,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 6
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 11.3% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 7.049360302149845,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 137.76; Wave 2 124.76.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 32% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 70,
              "date": "2026-09-04",
              "price": 137.759995,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": null,
              "weeks": 0,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 71,
              "date": "2026-09-11",
              "price": 118.559998,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 74,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 124.760002,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.229423165138724,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 137.759995,
          "confirmation": 118.559998,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 6
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 7.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 4.934552211504891,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-wave5",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave5",
          "title": "Five-wave decline mature",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 95,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 138.66; Wave 2 137.76.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 130.44; Wave 3 118.56.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 130.44; Wave 4 126.82.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Motive lengths: 8.22, 19.20, 2.06.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 118.56; Wave 5 124.76.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 89% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 2.34\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 43% of Wave 3.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 3w; Wave 4 lasted 2w.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 61,
              "date": "2026-07-03",
              "price": 138.660004,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 12.786726650614483,
              "weeks": 10,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 67,
              "date": "2026-08-14",
              "price": 130.440002,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.9281708949034755,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 70,
              "date": "2026-09-04",
              "price": 137.759995,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.6117700764831415,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 71,
              "date": "2026-09-11",
              "price": 118.559998,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "3"
            },
            {
              "index": 73,
              "date": "2026-09-25",
              "price": 126.82,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 6.966938376635262,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "4"
            },
            {
              "index": 74,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 124.760002,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -1.6243478946538348,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "5"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 126.82,
          "confirmation": 124.760002,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 88
        },
        "candidate_count": 3,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 4.9% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 20,
      "changes": 5,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Low"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "cycle_rollover",
    "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 78,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 70,
        "date": "2026-09-04",
        "price": 137.759995,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": null,
        "weeks": 0,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 71,
        "date": "2026-09-11",
        "price": 118.559998,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 74,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 124.760002,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.229423165138724,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Market Activity has fallen below zero.",
      "Market Dynamics is negative.",
      "30-week price rate of change is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": -4.434105022305586,
      "fair_value_gap": 6.470595895843635,
      "market_activity": -9.413624,
      "market_dynamics": -0.742318,
      "relative_strength": -2.556525,
      "roc30": -5.981882296040569,
      "hurst_alignment": 38,
      "hurst_risk": 62
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible bearish wave 2 crest. Price is 4.4% below its 30-week trend. 0 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -9.436696771076395
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -10.024521562829312
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -6.4767559134972625
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 13.410506776059504
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 141.320007,
      "low_52": 101.698021,
      "position_52": 58.20501021831667,
      "drawdown": -11.718089569582318
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 28.919075801556787,
      "average_weekly_range": 3.46937144500011,
      "active_drawdown": -10.907502972790782
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 71,
        "date": "2026-09-11",
        "price": 118.559998,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 70,
        "date": "2026-09-04",
        "price": 137.759995,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": null,
        "weeks": 0,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 70,
        "date": "2026-09-04",
        "price": 137.759995,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": null,
        "weeks": 0,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 130.548667,
      "fair_value": 117.177894,
      "trend_gap": -4.434105022305586,
      "fair_value_gap": 6.470595895843635
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 71,
        "date": "2026-09-11",
        "price": 118.559998,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -13.937280558118493,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 74,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 124.760002,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.229423165138724,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 5.229423165138724,
      "weeks": 3,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "4.4% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-2.6",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-9.4",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-0.7",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-6.0",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 6,
      "neutral": 1,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 86,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "bearish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 56,
      "history_score": 29,
      "indicator_coverage": 87,
      "structure_score": 33,
      "weekly_observations": 75,
      "confirmed_pivots": 2
    },
    "volume_ratio": 236.66601481128788,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 118.56, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 137.76; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 16,
      "constructive_percent": 67,
      "rising_cycle_count": 8,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 33,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 486,
          "positive_rate": 55.1,
          "median_return": 0.83,
          "average_return": 0.91,
          "median_excess_return": -0.84,
          "excess_observations": 486,
          "p10": -8.36,
          "p90": 10.34
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 183,
          "positive_rate": 54.1,
          "median_return": 0.68,
          "average_return": 1.41,
          "median_excess_return": -3.47,
          "excess_observations": 183,
          "p10": -15.21,
          "p90": 16.73
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 107,
          "positive_rate": 56.1,
          "median_return": 1.44,
          "average_return": 2.09,
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          "excess_observations": 107,
          "p10": -21.32,
          "p90": 27.44
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      ],
      "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 10.42000063449823,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 28,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 4.4% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 58% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 9,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 62,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 62/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 8,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 80,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "The primary interpretation has low recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
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