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1.2182563716326866 }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "value": 1.4059705484078617 }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "value": 1.4993537021412195 }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "value": 1.5279177431500506 }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "value": 2.0110419253918717 }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "value": 2.2787323554528562 }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "value": 2.3932082695732735 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "value": 2.376335195743543 } ] }, "scenario": { "setup": "wave3_continuation", "title": "Impulse advance still supported", "direction": "bullish", "confidence": 95, "labels": [ { "index": 186, "date": "2025-04-11", "price": 33.759998, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -15.652726263449026, "weeks": 5, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 193, "date": "2025-05-30", "price": 39.174999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 16.039695855432207, "weeks": 7, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 210, "date": "2025-09-26", "price": 37.150002, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.169105428694457, "weeks": 17, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 232, "date": "2026-02-27", "price": 41.82, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 12.570653428228615, "weeks": 22, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 234, "date": "2026-03-13", "price": 39.084999, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.539935437589663, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 253, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 42.974998, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 9.952664959771383, "weeks": 19, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "notes": [ "Hurst rhythm shows a rising stack.", "Hurst cycle alignment is strong.", "Price is above the 30-week trend line.", "Market Activity is positive.", "Market Dynamics supports the setup." ], "metrics": { "trend_gap": 5.5741119245320006, "fair_value_gap": 14.429915195113862, "market_activity": 93.135304, "market_dynamics": 1.302045, "relative_strength": -2.280056, "roc30": 10.051214085818541, "hurst_alignment": 75, "hurst_risk": 25 } }, "detail": { "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as impulse advance still supported. Price is 5.6% above its 30-week trend. 6 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.", "returns": [ { "weeks": 4, "label": "4-week return", "value": 3.6291221695412927 }, { "weeks": 13, "label": "13-week return", "value": 5.693551401869166 }, { "weeks": 26, "label": "26-week return", "value": 7.263194989721575 }, { "weeks": 52, "label": "52-week return", "value": 12.441122123466181 } ], "range": { "high_52": 43.529999, "low_52": 37.075001, "position_52": 91.40199578683064, "drawdown": -1.2749850970591505 }, "risk": { "annualised_volatility": 12.707999907096578, "average_weekly_range": 0.8743862857401479, "active_drawdown": -1.2749850970591505 }, "levels": { "support": { "index": 234, "date": "2026-03-13", "price": 39.084999, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.539935437589663, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true }, "resistance": null, "decisive": { "index": 234, "date": "2026-03-13", "price": 39.084999, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.539935437589663, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true }, "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below", "trend": 40.706, "fair_value": 37.555737, "trend_gap": 5.5741119245320006, "fair_value_gap": 14.429915195113862 }, "active_swing": { "from": { "index": 234, "date": "2026-03-13", "price": 39.084999, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.539935437589663, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true }, "to": { "index": 253, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 42.974998, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 9.952664959771383, "weeks": 19, "confirmed": false }, "move_percent": 9.952664959771383, "weeks": 19, "status": "Forming" }, "confirmation": { "rows": [ { "label": "Trend", "status": "positive", "value": "5.6% above trend", "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend." }, { "label": "Cycle pressure", "status": "positive", "value": "Rising", "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher." }, { "label": "Cycle alignment", "status": "positive", "value": "Rising Stack", "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are improving together." }, { "label": "Relative strength", "status": "negative", "value": "-2.3", "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark" }, { "label": "Market activity", "status": "positive", "value": "+93.1", "explanation": "Participation is supportive" }, { "label": "Market dynamics", "status": "positive", "value": "+1.3", "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive" }, { "label": "30-week momentum", "status": "positive", "value": "+10.1", "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive" } ], "positive": 6, "negative": 1, "neutral": 0, "observed": 7, "agreement": 86, "direction": "constructive", "scenario_direction": "bullish" }, "evidence": { "score": 99, "history_score": 98, "indicator_coverage": 100, "structure_score": 100, "weekly_observations": 254, "confirmed_pivots": 18 }, "volume_ratio": 3.3472803347280333, "historical": { "available": true, "matches": 106, "horizons": [ { "weeks": 4, "observations": 105, "positive_rate": 55.2, "median_return": 0.35, "bar_width": 1.75, 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