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    "risk_score": 75,
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        "label": "10w",
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    ]
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  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave3",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 69,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 227.94; Wave 2 168.26.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 113.44; Wave 3 109.90.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 48% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.51\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 220,
          "date": "2025-09-12",
          "price": 227.940002,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 35.30808057012606,
          "weeks": 4,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 248,
          "date": "2026-03-27",
          "price": 113.440002,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -50.232516888369595,
          "weeks": 28,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 254,
          "date": "2026-05-08",
          "price": 168.259995,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
          "weeks": 6,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-02",
          "price": 109.900002,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
          "weeks": 21,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "3"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 168.259995,
      "confirmation": 109.900002,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 34
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 68,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 227.94; Wave B 168.26.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 114.50; C length 58.36.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.51\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
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            "label": "5"
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          {
            "index": 248,
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            "kind": "low",
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            "weeks": 28,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
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            "price": 168.259995,
            "kind": "high",
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            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-02",
            "price": 109.900002,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
            "weeks": 21,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 109.900002,
        "confirmation": 168.259995,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 32
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-wave3",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 69,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 227.94; Wave 2 168.26.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 113.44; Wave 3 109.90.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 48% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.51\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 220,
            "date": "2025-09-12",
            "price": 227.940002,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 35.30808057012606,
            "weeks": 4,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 248,
            "date": "2026-03-27",
            "price": 113.440002,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -50.232516888369595,
            "weeks": 28,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 254,
            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "price": 168.259995,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-02",
            "price": 109.900002,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
            "weeks": 21,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 168.259995,
        "confirmation": 109.900002,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 34
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 23.23537996455881,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bearish-wave3",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 69,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 227.94; Wave 2 168.26.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 113.44; Wave 3 109.90.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 48% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.51\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 220,
              "date": "2025-09-12",
              "price": 227.940002,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 35.30808057012606,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 248,
              "date": "2026-03-27",
              "price": 113.440002,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -50.232516888369595,
              "weeks": 28,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 254,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 168.259995,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 109.900002,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
              "weeks": 21,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 168.259995,
          "confirmation": 109.900002,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 34
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 23.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 14.522112477849255,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 69,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 227.94; Wave 2 168.26.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 113.44; Wave 3 109.90.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 48% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.51\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 220,
              "date": "2025-09-12",
              "price": 227.940002,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 35.30808057012606,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 248,
              "date": "2026-03-27",
              "price": 113.440002,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -50.232516888369595,
              "weeks": 28,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 254,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 168.259995,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 109.900002,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
              "weeks": 21,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 168.259995,
          "confirmation": 109.900002,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 34
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 14.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 10.165478734494478,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 10.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 68,
      "changes": 2,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Moderate"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave3_continuation",
    "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 95,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 220,
        "date": "2025-09-12",
        "price": 227.940002,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 35.30808057012606,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 248,
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "price": 113.440002,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -50.232516888369595,
        "weeks": 28,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 254,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 168.259995,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "2"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 109.900002,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
        "weeks": 21,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "3"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Hurst rhythm shows a falling stack.",
      "Hurst risk alignment is elevated.",
      "Market Activity has fallen below zero.",
      "Market Dynamics is negative.",
      "30-week price rate of change is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": -20.73864799320214,
      "fair_value_gap": -45.03157880721619,
      "market_activity": -13.552414,
      "market_dynamics": -1.037257,
      "relative_strength": -19.032053,
      "roc30": -14.066773899966957,
      "hurst_alignment": 25,
      "hurst_risk": 75
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible bearish wave 3 declining. Price is 20.7% below its 30-week trend. 0 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -11.385256685661751
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -27.45124018735958
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -8.164114785060834
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -45.771242558546476
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 205.899994,
      "low_52": 103.980003,
      "position_52": 5.808476768801917,
      "drawdown": -46.62457250970099
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 42.85963913630136,
      "average_weekly_range": 5.26988663630263,
      "active_drawdown": -69.79943995302035
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": null,
      "resistance": {
        "index": 254,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 168.259995,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 254,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 168.259995,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 138.65522,
      "fair_value": 199.932979,
      "trend_gap": -20.73864799320214,
      "fair_value_gap": -45.03157880721619
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 254,
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "price": 168.259995,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 48.325098760135766,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 109.900002,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
        "weeks": 21,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -34.68441384418204,
      "weeks": 21,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "20.7% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-19.0",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-13.6",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-1.0",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-14.1",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 7,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 100,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "bearish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 9
    },
    "volume_ratio": 81.2095530495213,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 96,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 95,
          "positive_rate": 51.6,
          "median_return": 0.38,
          "bar_width": 1.9,
          "average_return": 3.01,
          "best_return": 47.4,
          "worst_return": -28.2
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 89,
          "positive_rate": 57.3,
          "median_return": 3.32,
          "bar_width": 16.599999999999998,
          "average_return": 12.1,
          "best_return": 106.56,
          "worst_return": -30.64
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 85,
          "positive_rate": 67.1,
          "median_return": 16.51,
          "bar_width": 82.55000000000001,
          "average_return": 34.84,
          "best_return": 203.42,
          "worst_return": -30.12
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is falling stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 109.90, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 168.26; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 22,
      "constructive_count": 17,
      "constructive_percent": 77,
      "rising_cycle_count": 0,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 0,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 303,
          "positive_rate": 58.1,
          "median_return": 2.17,
          "average_return": 1.69,
          "median_excess_return": 0.86,
          "excess_observations": 303,
          "p10": -9.98,
          "p90": 13.27
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 122,
          "positive_rate": 63.1,
          "median_return": 5.98,
          "average_return": 6.02,
          "median_excess_return": 2.85,
          "excess_observations": 122,
          "p10": -16.13,
          "p90": 27.43
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 77,
          "positive_rate": 74.0,
          "median_return": 16.13,
          "average_return": 14.84,
          "median_excess_return": 11.48,
          "excess_observations": 77,
          "p10": -12.82,
          "p90": 45.45
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^NSEI",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 53.10281341032187,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 25,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 20.7% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 6% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 75,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 3,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 32,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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      "2025-10-03",
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      "2025-10-17",
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      "2025-11-14",
      "2025-11-21",
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