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        "label": "10w",
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        {
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          "detail": "Origin 8.90; Wave 2 9.37.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
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        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
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      "evidence_weight": 4
    },
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      {
        "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
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        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 58,
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          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 9.78; Wave B 9.38.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 0.88; C length 0.01.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
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          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.01\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
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        ],
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      },
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        "id": "tactical-bullish-wave5",
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        "title": "Five-wave advance mature",
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            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
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            "detail": "Origin 7.24; Wave 2 8.00.",
            "hard": true
          },
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            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
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            "detail": "Wave 1 8.81; Wave 3 9.78.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
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            "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 8.81; Wave 4 8.90.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave",
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            "detail": "Motive lengths: 1.57, 1.78, 0.47.",
            "hard": true
          },
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            "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress",
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            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
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          },
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            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
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            "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.13\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
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            "detail": "Retraced 49% of Wave 3.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
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            "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 9w; Wave 4 lasted 3w.",
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        "evidence_weight": 92
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        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
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        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 5.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 58,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 8.90; Wave 2 9.37.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 2% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 262,
              "date": "2026-07-10",
              "price": 8.903703,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -8.96009202453987,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 268,
              "date": "2026-08-21",
              "price": 9.38,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.349425963556968,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 9.37,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -0.10660980810236208,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 8.903703,
          "confirmation": 9.38,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 4
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 3.5,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-wave5",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave5",
          "title": "Five-wave advance mature",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 95,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.24; Wave 2 8.00.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 8.81; Wave 3 9.78.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 8.81; Wave 4 8.90.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Motive lengths: 1.57, 1.78, 0.47.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 9.78; Wave 5 9.37.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 52% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.13\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 49% of Wave 3.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 9w; Wave 4 lasted 3w.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 193,
              "date": "2025-03-07",
              "price": 7.240996,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -4.802950807775213,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 212,
              "date": "2025-07-18",
              "price": 8.81,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 21.66834507297063,
              "weeks": 19,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 221,
              "date": "2025-09-19",
              "price": 8.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.194097616345069,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 259,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 9.78,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 22.249999999999993,
              "weeks": 38,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "3"
            },
            {
              "index": 262,
              "date": "2026-07-10",
              "price": 8.903703,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -8.96009202453987,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "4"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 9.37,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 5.237113142700279,
              "weeks": 13,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "5"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 8.903703,
          "confirmation": 9.37,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 92
        },
        "candidate_count": 3,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 84,
      "changes": 1,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "High"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "wave2_trough",
    "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 73,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 262,
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "price": 8.903703,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -8.96009202453987,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 268,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 9.38,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.349425963556968,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 9.37,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -0.10660980810236208,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Price is above the 30-week trend line.",
      "Market Activity is positive.",
      "30-week price rate of change is positive.",
      "Relative Strength is positive."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 1.8428225048073608,
      "fair_value_gap": 25.185473568496757,
      "market_activity": 5.025954,
      "market_dynamics": -0.449115,
      "relative_strength": 16.069,
      "roc30": 4.927211646136612,
      "hurst_alignment": 25,
      "hurst_risk": 75
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as possible wave 2 trough. Price is 1.8% above its 30-week trend. 4 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 1.737242128121589
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 5.237113142700279
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 5.280898876404481
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 13.851761846901566
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 9.82,
      "low_52": 8.13,
      "position_52": 73.37278106508869,
      "drawdown": -4.582484725050927
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 13.479814816052949,
      "average_weekly_range": 1.1709157788073918,
      "active_drawdown": -4.192229038854808
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 262,
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "price": 8.903703,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -8.96009202453987,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 268,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 9.38,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.349425963556968,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 262,
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "price": 8.903703,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -8.96009202453987,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 9.200452,
      "fair_value": 7.484894,
      "trend_gap": 1.8428225048073608,
      "fair_value_gap": 25.185473568496757
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 268,
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "price": 9.38,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 5.349425963556968,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 9.37,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -0.10660980810236208,
        "weeks": 7,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -0.10660980810236208,
      "weeks": 7,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "1.8% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+16.1",
          "explanation": "Outperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+5.0",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-0.4",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+4.9",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 4,
      "negative": 3,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 57,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 97,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 83,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 5
    },
    "volume_ratio": 112.60821951809095,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 80,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 79,
          "positive_rate": 69.6,
          "median_return": 1.65,
          "bar_width": 8.25,
          "average_return": 1.39,
          "best_return": 8.36,
          "worst_return": -7.13
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 73,
          "positive_rate": 91.8,
          "median_return": 6.98,
          "bar_width": 34.900000000000006,
          "average_return": 7.47,
          "best_return": 20.58,
          "worst_return": -8.36
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 73,
          "positive_rate": 100.0,
          "median_return": 11.93,
          "bar_width": 59.65,
          "average_return": 11.81,
          "best_return": 22.28,
          "worst_return": 2.61
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible Wave 2 trough is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is falling stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 9.38, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 8.90; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 10,
      "constructive_percent": 42,
      "rising_cycle_count": 2,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 8,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 617,
          "positive_rate": 45.1,
          "median_return": -0.88,
          "average_return": 0.84,
          "median_excess_return": -0.43,
          "excess_observations": 617,
          "p10": -11.06,
          "p90": 13.45
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 243,
          "positive_rate": 45.7,
          "median_return": -1.36,
          "average_return": 2.15,
          "median_excess_return": -2.08,
          "excess_observations": 243,
          "p10": -19.13,
          "p90": 23.86
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 144,
          "positive_rate": 52.8,
          "median_return": 1.38,
          "average_return": 5.15,
          "median_excess_return": -1.4,
          "excess_observations": 144,
          "p10": -26.35,
          "p90": 35.26
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 4.97648879402347,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 24,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 1.8% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 73% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 75,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 2,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 16,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has high recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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