{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "USAX",
    "name": "Tradr 2X Long USAR Daily ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE"
  },
  "latest_week": "2026-07-24",
  "latest_close": 7.86,
  "latest_open": 9.95,
  "latest_high": 10.54,
  "latest_low": 7.83,
  "bar_count": 28,
  "analysis_bar_count": 28,
  "reversal_percent": 16.0,
  "model": {
    "version": "ewc-2.1.0",
    "as_of": "2026-07-24",
    "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes",
    "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "repainting_policy": "only the final active pivot is provisional; confirmed pivots are retained"
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      "date": "2026-01-23",
      "price": 45.49,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": null,
      "weeks": 0,
      "confirmed": true
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      "index": 5,
      "date": "2026-02-20",
      "price": 19.07,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -58.078698615080235,
      "weeks": 4,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 6,
      "date": "2026-02-27",
      "price": 22.3,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 16.937598321971684,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 7,
      "date": "2026-03-06",
      "price": 18.72,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -16.05381165919283,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 8,
      "date": "2026-03-13",
      "price": 22.66,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 21.047008547008556,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 10,
      "date": "2026-03-27",
      "price": 13.78,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -39.18799646954987,
      "weeks": 2,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 16,
      "date": "2026-05-08",
      "price": 36.1,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 161.97387518142236,
      "weeks": 6,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 17,
      "date": "2026-05-15",
      "price": 29.25,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -18.975069252077564,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 19,
      "date": "2026-05-29",
      "price": 36.35,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 24.273504273504276,
      "weeks": 2,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 21,
      "date": "2026-06-12",
      "price": 20.71,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -43.0261348005502,
      "weeks": 2,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 22,
      "date": "2026-06-19",
      "price": 25.57,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 27,
      "date": "2026-07-24",
      "price": 7.86,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
      "weeks": 5,
      "confirmed": false
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  "cycle": {
    "phase": "falling",
    "trend_bias": "bearish",
    "oscillator": -47.8275692331763,
    "slope": -35.46419690866578,
    "dominant_period_weeks": 8,
    "period_basis": "median confirmed trough-to-trough and crest-to-crest spacing",
    "weeks_since_turn": 5,
    "estimated_weeks_to_next_turn": 0,
    "series": [
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "value": 0.0
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        "value": 10.167302516005238
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": 6.31315288349581
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": 2.4671628605072957
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": 4.155405567582273
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": -12.363372324510522
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": -16.98392569263904
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -22.80282771026817
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": -38.397366128837305
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": -47.8275692331763
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  "hurst": {
    "status": "mixed",
    "phase": "falling",
    "alignment_score": 25,
    "risk_score": 75,
    "trough_alignment": 0,
    "crest_alignment": 0,
    "nearest_trough_window": 14,
    "nearest_crest_window": 15,
    "method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "explanation": "Nominal cycles are starting bands, not fixed clocks. Each period adapts to the strongest nearby repeat in detrended weekly prices; projected turns are future intervals and require price confirmation.",
    "cycles": [
      {
        "period": 10,
        "label": "10w",
        "estimated_period": 10,
        "period_range": [
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          12
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        "period_strength": 0,
        "phase": "falling",
        "value": -1.4165965481841112,
        "slope": -0.4357576421302327,
        "amplitude": 38.42,
        "weeks_since_trough": 9,
        "weeks_since_crest": 11,
        "projected_trough_window": 1,
        "projected_crest_window": 9,
        "trough_window": {
          "start": 0,
          "midpoint": 1,
          "end": 3
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        "crest_window": {
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          "midpoint": 9,
          "end": 11
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        "fld": {
          "value": 22.795,
          "state": "crossed down",
          "weeks_since_cross": 7,
          "displacement": 5,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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        "vtl": {
          "available": true,
          "value": 23.218337499999997,
          "state": "price below",
          "slope": 0.5931374999999999,
          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
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          18
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            "date": "2026-01-16",
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          "displacement": 10,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": 0.9911788424786275
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": 0.5268445166730079
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": 0.021947177774195928
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": 0.060569394291724796
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": -0.6214411426025122
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": -1.2616330264118505
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -1.6940282487151492
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": -1.9052844570281935
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": -1.9721245726209147
      }
    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave3",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 74,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 36.35; Wave 2 25.57.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 20.71; Wave 3 7.86.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 31% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.13\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 19,
          "date": "2026-05-29",
          "price": 36.35,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 24.273504273504276,
          "weeks": 2,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 21,
          "date": "2026-06-12",
          "price": 20.71,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -43.0261348005502,
          "weeks": 2,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 22,
          "date": "2026-06-19",
          "price": 25.57,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 27,
          "date": "2026-07-24",
          "price": 7.86,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "3"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 25.57,
      "confirmation": 7.86,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 37
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 70,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 36.35; Wave B 25.57.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 15.64; C length 17.71.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 1.13\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 19,
            "date": "2026-05-29",
            "price": 36.35,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 24.273504273504276,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 21,
            "date": "2026-06-12",
            "price": 20.71,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -43.0261348005502,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 22,
            "date": "2026-06-19",
            "price": 25.57,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 27,
            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "price": 7.86,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 7.86,
        "confirmation": 25.57,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 26
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-wave3",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 36.35; Wave 2 25.57.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 20.71; Wave 3 7.86.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 31% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.13\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 19,
            "date": "2026-05-29",
            "price": 36.35,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 24.273504273504276,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 21,
            "date": "2026-06-12",
            "price": 20.71,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -43.0261348005502,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 22,
            "date": "2026-06-19",
            "price": 25.57,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 27,
            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "price": 7.86,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 25.57,
        "confirmation": 7.86,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 37
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 24.0,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 24.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 16.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 36.35; Wave 2 25.57.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 20.71; Wave 3 7.86.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 31% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.13\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 19,
              "date": "2026-05-29",
              "price": 36.35,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 24.273504273504276,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 21,
              "date": "2026-06-12",
              "price": 20.71,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -43.0261348005502,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 22,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 25.57,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 7.86,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 25.57,
          "confirmation": 7.86,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 37
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 16.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 11.2,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-wave3",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 36.35; Wave 2 25.57.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 20.71; Wave 3 7.86.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 31% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.13\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 19,
              "date": "2026-05-29",
              "price": 36.35,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 24.273504273504276,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 21,
              "date": "2026-06-12",
              "price": 20.71,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -43.0261348005502,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 22,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 25.57,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 7.86,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 25.57,
          "confirmation": 7.86,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 37
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 11.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": null,
      "observations": 0,
      "label": "Unavailable"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "warming",
    "title": "Needs more weekly history",
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 20,
    "labels": [],
    "notes": [
      "At least 65 weekly bars gives the wave and cycle model enough context."
    ],
    "metrics": {}
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as needs more weekly history. 0 of 3 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -54.618937644341806
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -68.62275449101797
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -82.72147724774676
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": null
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 73.35,
      "low_52": 7.83,
      "position_52": 0.04578754578754617,
      "drawdown": -89.2842535787321
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 161.75566119264914,
      "average_weekly_range": 44.51523942209944,
      "active_drawdown": -82.72147724774676
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": null,
      "resistance": {
        "index": 22,
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "price": 25.57,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 22,
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "price": 25.57,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Nearest confirmed structure level",
      "trend": null,
      "fair_value": 23.162868,
      "trend_gap": null,
      "fair_value_gap": -66.06637830859287
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 22,
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "price": 25.57,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 23.46692419121197,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 27,
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "price": 7.86,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -69.26085256159561,
      "weeks": 5,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The 30-week trend line is not available."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "+0.0",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 1,
      "neutral": 2,
      "observed": 3,
      "agreement": 33,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "neutral"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 41,
      "history_score": 11,
      "indicator_coverage": 38,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 28,
      "confirmed_pivots": 11
    },
    "volume_ratio": 64.44230811599053,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close through 7.86, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 25.57; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 17,
      "constructive_count": 8,
      "constructive_percent": 47,
      "rising_cycle_count": 7,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 41,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "SPY",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": true,
      "options_direction": "volatility",
      "options_conviction": 60.91,
      "expected_move": 37.84987277,
      "invalidation_distance": 225.3180661577608,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 32,
      "label": "Watch",
      "tone": "watch",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 0.0% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 0% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 75,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 10,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100.",
        "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
      "2026-01-16",
      "2026-01-23",
      "2026-01-30",
      "2026-02-06",
      "2026-02-13",
      "2026-02-20",
      "2026-02-27",
      "2026-03-06",
      "2026-03-13",
      "2026-03-20",
      "2026-03-27",
      "2026-04-03",
      "2026-04-10",
      "2026-04-17",
      "2026-04-24",
      "2026-05-01",
      "2026-05-08",
      "2026-05-15",
      "2026-05-22",
      "2026-05-29",
      "2026-06-05",
      "2026-06-12",
      "2026-06-19",
      "2026-06-26",
      "2026-07-03",
      "2026-07-10",
      "2026-07-17",
      "2026-07-24"
    ],
    "close": [
      24.28,
      45.49,
      36.0254,
      31.99,
      24.36,
      19.07,
      22.3,
      18.72,
      22.66,
      15.4899,
      13.78,
      14.43,
      14.57,
      21.76,
      25.05,
      35.03,
      36.1,
      29.25,
      30.11,
      36.35,
      21.75,
      20.71,
      25.57,
      17.32,
      15.04,
      13.795,
      9.7,
      7.86
    ],
    "trend": [
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
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