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        "label": "10w",
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "strategic-bullish-abc",
      "degree": "strategic",
      "pattern": "correction",
      "stage": "wave_c",
      "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 78,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 5.55; Wave B 4.41.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "A length 2.76; C length 1.71.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave C is 0.62\u00d7 Wave A.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 237,
          "date": "2026-01-16",
          "price": 5.55,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 46.05263157894737,
          "weeks": 24,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "5"
        },
        {
          "index": 246,
          "date": "2026-03-20",
          "price": 2.79,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -49.72972972972973,
          "weeks": 9,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "A"
        },
        {
          "index": 266,
          "date": "2026-08-07",
          "price": 4.41,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 58.064516129032256,
          "weeks": 20,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "B"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 2.7,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -38.775510204081634,
          "weeks": 9,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "C"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 2.7,
      "confirmation": 4.41,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
      "evidence_weight": 68
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "strategic-bearish-wave3",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 69,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 5.55; Wave 2 4.41.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 2.79; Wave 3 2.70.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 59% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.62\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 237,
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            "price": 5.55,
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            "weeks": 24,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
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          {
            "index": 246,
            "date": "2026-03-20",
            "price": 2.79,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -49.72972972972973,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 266,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 4.41,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 58.064516129032256,
            "weeks": 20,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 2.7,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -38.775510204081634,
            "weeks": 9,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 4.41,
        "confirmation": 2.7,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 32
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 23.106861443116443,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bullish-abc",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 78,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 5.55; Wave B 4.41.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 2.76; C length 1.71.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.62\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 237,
              "date": "2026-01-16",
              "price": 5.55,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 46.05263157894737,
              "weeks": 24,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 246,
              "date": "2026-03-20",
              "price": 2.79,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -49.72972972972973,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 266,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 4.41,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 58.064516129032256,
              "weeks": 20,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 2.7,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -38.775510204081634,
              "weeks": 9,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 2.7,
          "confirmation": 4.41,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 68
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 23.1% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 14.441788401947775,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 14.4% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 10.109251881363441,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 10.1% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 84,
      "changes": 1,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "High"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "abc_reset",
    "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 53,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "strategic-bullish-abc",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 237,
        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "price": 5.55,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 46.05263157894737,
        "weeks": 24,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "5"
      },
      {
        "index": 246,
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "price": 2.79,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -49.72972972972973,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "A"
      },
      {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 4.41,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 58.064516129032256,
        "weeks": 20,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "B"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 2.7,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -38.775510204081634,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "C"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Close remains below Fair Value, leaving valuation room if the turn holds."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": -21.213889699445577,
      "fair_value_gap": -39.523593749964995,
      "market_activity": -26.703473,
      "market_dynamics": -0.788251,
      "relative_strength": -41.815829,
      "roc30": -13.738019169329064,
      "hurst_alignment": 50,
      "hurst_risk": 50
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as a/b/c reset may be completing. Price is 21.2% below its 30-week trend. 0 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -9.999999999999995
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -36.32075471698113
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -8.47457627118644
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": -42.06008583690987
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 5.88,
      "low_52": 2.55,
      "position_52": 4.504504504504515,
      "drawdown": -54.08163265306123
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 67.39734952409823,
      "average_weekly_range": 10.123630586047842,
      "active_drawdown": -66.66666666666667
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": null,
      "resistance": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 4.41,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 18.23056300268097,
        "weeks": 2,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": null,
      "decisive_label": "Bullish structure weakens below",
      "trend": 3.427,
      "fair_value": 4.464551,
      "trend_gap": -21.213889699445577,
      "fair_value_gap": -39.523593749964995
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 266,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 4.41,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 18.23056300268097,
        "weeks": 2,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 2.7,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -38.775510204081634,
        "weeks": 9,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -38.775510204081634,
      "weeks": 9,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "21.2% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-41.8",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-26.7",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-0.8",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-13.7",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 6,
      "neutral": 1,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 86,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "bullish"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 29
    },
    "volume_ratio": 78.50210120073355,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 69,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 68,
          "positive_rate": 55.9,
          "median_return": 2.87,
          "bar_width": 14.350000000000001,
          "average_return": 2.54,
          "best_return": 30.65,
          "worst_return": -32.29
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 64,
          "positive_rate": 70.3,
          "median_return": 15.14,
          "bar_width": 75.7,
          "average_return": 15.04,
          "best_return": 76.11,
          "worst_return": -33.82
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 57,
          "positive_rate": 73.7,
          "median_return": 17.94,
          "bar_width": 89.7,
          "average_return": 32.38,
          "best_return": 177.22,
          "worst_return": -23.55
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "A/B/C reset may be completing is the highest-ranked admissible strategic count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close above 4.41, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 2.70; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 22,
      "constructive_count": 16,
      "constructive_percent": 73,
      "rising_cycle_count": 14,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 64,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 359,
          "positive_rate": 53.8,
          "median_return": 1.05,
          "average_return": 2.03,
          "median_excess_return": 0.15,
          "excess_observations": 359,
          "p10": -12.8,
          "p90": 17.22
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 141,
          "positive_rate": 55.3,
          "median_return": 3.6,
          "average_return": 9.12,
          "median_excess_return": 1.3,
          "excess_observations": 141,
          "p10": -16.74,
          "p90": 35.59
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 88,
          "positive_rate": 64.8,
          "median_return": 8.03,
          "average_return": 22.16,
          "median_excess_return": 4.66,
          "excess_observations": 88,
          "p10": -23.71,
          "p90": 75.92
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "QQQ",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": "2026-11-09",
      "earnings_weeks": 5,
      "options_available": true,
      "options_direction": "bullish",
      "options_conviction": 23.84,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 0.0,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [
        "Stored options pressure is bullish with 24/100 conviction."
      ],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 21,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 21.2% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 5% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 8,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 50,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 50/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 2,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 16,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has high recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Earnings are about 5 week(s) away."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
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      "2025-04-04",
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      "2025-05-30",
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      "2025-07-18",
      "2025-07-25",
      "2025-08-01",
      "2025-08-08",
      "2025-08-15",
      "2025-08-22",
      "2025-08-29",
      "2025-09-05",
      "2025-09-12",
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      "2025-10-03",
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      "2025-12-26",
      "2026-01-02",
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      "2026-01-16",
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      "2026-02-06",
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    "trend": [
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