{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "WMTI",
    "name": "REX WMT GROWTH & INCOME ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE"
  },
  "latest_week": "2026-07-31",
  "latest_close": 21.0,
  "latest_open": 20.607741,
  "latest_high": 21.61,
  "latest_low": 20.607741,
  "bar_count": 39,
  "analysis_bar_count": 39,
  "reversal_percent": 7.503290636430659,
  "model": {
    "version": "ewc-2.1.0",
    "as_of": "2026-07-31",
    "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes",
    "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "repainting_policy": "only the final active pivot is provisional; confirmed pivots are retained"
  },
  "pivots": [
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      "index": 14,
      "date": "2026-02-13",
      "price": 26.170898,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": null,
      "weeks": 0,
      "confirmed": true
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    {
      "index": 19,
      "date": "2026-03-20",
      "price": 23.107153,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -11.70668656459553,
      "weeks": 5,
      "confirmed": true
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    {
      "index": 27,
      "date": "2026-05-15",
      "price": 25.939507,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
      "weeks": 8,
      "confirmed": true
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    {
      "index": 38,
      "date": "2026-07-31",
      "price": 21.0,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
      "weeks": 11,
      "confirmed": false
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  "cycle": {
    "phase": "falling",
    "trend_bias": "bearish",
    "oscillator": -10.46582413986213,
    "slope": -2.1804589691323812,
    "dominant_period_weeks": 13,
    "period_basis": "median confirmed trough-to-trough and crest-to-crest spacing",
    "weeks_since_turn": 11,
    "estimated_weeks_to_next_turn": 0,
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        "date": "2025-11-07",
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        "date": "2025-11-14",
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        "date": "2025-11-21",
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      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-01-02",
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        "date": "2026-01-09",
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
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        "date": "2026-01-23",
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "value": -0.31469216463711663
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "value": 0.21414842613733426
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "value": 1.2093128514782725
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "value": 2.322451819477364
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "value": 3.7111036026328805
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "value": 4.514645504225459
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "value": 4.851605665213151
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": 4.964705958824016
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": -6.6413035494746655
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": -8.285365170729749
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -9.72038356948948
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
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  "hurst": {
    "status": "mixed",
    "phase": "troughing",
    "alignment_score": 50,
    "risk_score": 50,
    "trough_alignment": 0,
    "crest_alignment": 0,
    "nearest_trough_window": 19,
    "nearest_crest_window": 18,
    "method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "explanation": "Nominal cycles are starting bands, not fixed clocks. Each period adapts to the strongest nearby repeat in detrended weekly prices; projected turns are future intervals and require price confirmation.",
    "cycles": [
      {
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        "label": "10w",
        "estimated_period": 12,
        "period_range": [
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          16
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        "period_strength": 46,
        "phase": "troughing",
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        "slope": 0.466626882303963,
        "amplitude": 4.125,
        "weeks_since_trough": 4,
        "weeks_since_crest": 2,
        "projected_trough_window": 8,
        "projected_crest_window": 10,
        "trough_window": {
          "start": 4,
          "midpoint": 8,
          "end": 12
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        "crest_window": {
          "start": 6,
          "midpoint": 10,
          "end": 14
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        "fld": {
          "value": 23.149765000000002,
          "state": "crossed down",
          "weeks_since_cross": 10,
          "displacement": 6,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
        },
        "vtl": {
          "available": true,
          "value": 19.36961642857143,
          "state": "price above",
          "slope": -0.21566864285714285,
          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
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        "trough_indexes": [
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          20,
          34
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            "date": "2026-01-23",
            "value": 1.0
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            "date": "2026-01-30",
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            "value": -1.9113666590718323
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      {
        "period": 20,
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        "estimated_period": 20,
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        "period_strength": 0,
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        "amplitude": 4.865,
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        "weeks_since_crest": 2,
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        "projected_crest_window": 18,
        "trough_window": {
          "start": 14,
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          "end": 24
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        "crest_window": {
          "start": 13,
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        "fld": {
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          "state": "crossed down",
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          "displacement": 10,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
        },
        "vtl": {
          "available": false,
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            "date": "2026-07-31",
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      {
        "period": 40,
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        "estimated_period": 40,
        "period_range": [
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          50
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        "period_strength": 0,
        "phase": "warming",
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        "slope": 0.0,
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        "fld": {
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          "state": "crossed down",
          "weeks_since_cross": 9,
          "displacement": 20,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
        },
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      {
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          "displacement": 40,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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            "date": "2026-03-27",
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          {
            "date": "2026-04-03",
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          {
            "date": "2026-04-10",
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            "date": "2026-04-17",
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            "date": "2026-04-24",
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            "date": "2026-05-01",
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            "date": "2026-05-08",
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            "date": "2026-05-22",
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            "date": "2026-05-29",
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            "date": "2026-06-05",
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            "date": "2026-06-12",
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            "date": "2026-06-19",
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            "date": "2026-06-26",
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            "date": "2026-07-03",
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            "date": "2026-07-10",
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            "date": "2026-07-17",
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            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "value": null
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          {
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "value": null
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "composite": [
      {
        "date": "2025-11-07",
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      {
        "date": "2025-11-14",
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      {
        "date": "2025-11-21",
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        "date": "2025-11-28",
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        "date": "2025-12-05",
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        "date": "2025-12-12",
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        "date": "2025-12-19",
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        "date": "2025-12-26",
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        "date": "2026-01-02",
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        "date": "2026-01-09",
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
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        "date": "2026-01-23",
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
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        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "value": 1.54109770498201
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "value": 1.0136148651720145
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "value": 0.9554570160634854
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "value": 0.5500345026937956
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "value": 0.5053000196244087
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "value": -0.68528954271523
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "value": -0.12255042652442528
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "value": 0.6935526485240896
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "value": 1.1537141131170119
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "value": 1.3027673132595319
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "value": 1.3817591074383588
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "value": 1.3740622235558366
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": 1.3332342767293586
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "value": 1.3316128326927925
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "value": 0.31774710170570747
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": -0.8359323403424326
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": -1.2463445276623755
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": -1.2607804115871248
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": -1.5056908641924684
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": -1.7558504123948275
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": -2.1831834303754887
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -2.2143278901903085
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": -2.035817464838799
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": -2.204842366791965
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "value": -2.0854061094263567
      }
    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "correction",
      "stage": "wave_c",
      "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 78,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 26.17; Wave B 25.94.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "A length 3.06; C length 4.94.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave C is 1.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 14,
          "date": "2026-02-13",
          "price": 26.170898,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": null,
          "weeks": 0,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "5"
        },
        {
          "index": 19,
          "date": "2026-03-20",
          "price": 23.107153,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -11.70668656459553,
          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "A"
        },
        {
          "index": 27,
          "date": "2026-05-15",
          "price": 25.939507,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
          "weeks": 8,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "B"
        },
        {
          "index": 38,
          "date": "2026-07-31",
          "price": 21.0,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
          "weeks": 11,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "C"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 21.0,
      "confirmation": 25.939507,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
      "evidence_weight": 37
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bearish-wave3",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 3 declining",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 26.17; Wave 2 25.94.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 23.11; Wave 3 21.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 92% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.61\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 14,
            "date": "2026-02-13",
            "price": 26.170898,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": null,
            "weeks": 0,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 19,
            "date": "2026-03-20",
            "price": 23.107153,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -11.70668656459553,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 27,
            "date": "2026-05-15",
            "price": 25.939507,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
            "weeks": 8,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 38,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 21.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
            "weeks": 11,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 25.939507,
        "confirmation": 21.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 26
      },
      {
        "id": "tactical-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 78,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 26.17; Wave B 25.94.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 3.06; C length 4.94.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 1.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 14,
            "date": "2026-02-13",
            "price": 26.170898,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": null,
            "weeks": 0,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 19,
            "date": "2026-03-20",
            "price": 23.107153,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -11.70668656459553,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 27,
            "date": "2026-05-15",
            "price": 25.939507,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
            "weeks": 8,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 38,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 21.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
            "weeks": 11,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 21.0,
        "confirmation": 25.939507,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 37
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 12.005265018289055,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 12.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 7.503290636430659,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-abc",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 78,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 26.17; Wave B 25.94.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 3.06; C length 4.94.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 1.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 14,
              "date": "2026-02-13",
              "price": 26.170898,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": null,
              "weeks": 0,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 19,
              "date": "2026-03-20",
              "price": 23.107153,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -11.70668656459553,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-05-15",
              "price": 25.939507,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 38,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 21.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 21.0,
          "confirmation": 25.939507,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 37
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 7.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 5.252303445501461,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-abc",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 78,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 26.17; Wave B 25.94.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 3.06; C length 4.94.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 1.61\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 14,
              "date": "2026-02-13",
              "price": 26.170898,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": null,
              "weeks": 0,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 19,
              "date": "2026-03-20",
              "price": 23.107153,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -11.70668656459553,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-05-15",
              "price": 25.939507,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
              "weeks": 8,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 38,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 21.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
              "weeks": 11,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 21.0,
          "confirmation": 25.939507,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 37
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 5.3% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": null,
      "observations": 0,
      "label": "Unavailable"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "warming",
    "title": "Needs more weekly history",
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 20,
    "labels": [],
    "notes": [
      "At least 65 weekly bars gives the wave and cycle model enough context."
    ],
    "metrics": {}
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as needs more weekly history. Price is 11.5% below its 30-week trend. 0 of 6 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -0.4921657482093566
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -17.953834263463364
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -11.931015648432647
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": null
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 26.558883,
      "low_52": 20.038595,
      "position_52": 14.744824155006636,
      "drawdown": -20.93040961097649
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 29.55840470520125,
      "average_weekly_range": 6.212496647546344,
      "active_drawdown": -19.758198591427778
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": null,
      "resistance": {
        "index": 27,
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "price": 25.939507,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 27,
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "price": 25.939507,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Nearest confirmed structure level",
      "trend": 23.739062,
      "fair_value": 23.408876,
      "trend_gap": -11.53820652222906,
      "fair_value_gap": -10.290438549890219
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 27,
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "price": 25.939507,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 12.2574771543686,
        "weeks": 8,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 38,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 21.0,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
        "weeks": 11,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -19.042408940154488,
      "weeks": 11,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "11.5% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-52.6",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-1.7",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-8.0",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 5,
      "neutral": 1,
      "observed": 6,
      "agreement": 83,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "neutral"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 31,
      "history_score": 15,
      "indicator_coverage": 36,
      "structure_score": 50,
      "weekly_observations": 39,
      "confirmed_pivots": 3
    },
    "volume_ratio": 77.76609199627322,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "A/B/C reset may be completing is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close through 25.94, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 21.00; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 17,
      "constructive_count": 10,
      "constructive_percent": 59,
      "rising_cycle_count": 6,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 35,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 219,
          "positive_rate": 53.4,
          "median_return": 0.26,
          "average_return": 1.19,
          "median_excess_return": -0.69,
          "excess_observations": 219,
          "p10": -6.72,
          "p90": 9.02
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 90,
          "positive_rate": 55.6,
          "median_return": 0.98,
          "average_return": 1.85,
          "median_excess_return": -1.26,
          "excess_observations": 90,
          "p10": -11.14,
          "p90": 20.09
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 53,
          "positive_rate": 50.9,
          "median_return": 0.32,
          "average_return": 4.22,
          "median_excess_return": -6.15,
          "excess_observations": 53,
          "p10": -11.23,
          "p90": 18.43
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "SPY",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
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      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": true,
      "options_direction": "bullish",
      "options_conviction": 44.55,
      "expected_move": 3.65864605,
      "invalidation_distance": 0.0,
      "collision": true,
      "flags": [
        "The options-implied move is large enough to cross the Elliott invalidation level in one event-sized move.",
        "Stored options pressure is bullish with 45/100 conviction."
      ],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 29,
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      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
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          "score": 0,
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        },
        {
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          "score": 0,
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          "bar_width": 0,
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        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
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          "bar_width": 0,
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        {
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        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
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          "bar_width": 100,
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        },
        {
          "key": "event",
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          "score": 0,
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        "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
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      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
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