{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "PATX",
    "name": "Tradr 2X Long PATH Daily ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE"
  },
  "latest_week": "2026-07-24",
  "latest_close": 7.5,
  "latest_open": 9.2039,
  "latest_high": 10.24,
  "latest_low": 6.64,
  "bar_count": 28,
  "analysis_bar_count": 28,
  "reversal_percent": 16.0,
  "model": {
    "version": "ewc-2.1.0",
    "as_of": "2026-07-24",
    "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes",
    "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "repainting_policy": "only the final active pivot is provisional; confirmed pivots are retained"
  },
  "pivots": [
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      "index": 1,
      "date": "2026-01-23",
      "price": 18.0,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": null,
      "weeks": 0,
      "confirmed": true
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    {
      "index": 6,
      "date": "2026-02-27",
      "price": 8.94,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -50.333333333333336,
      "weeks": 5,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 9,
      "date": "2026-03-20",
      "price": 10.89,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 21.812080536912767,
      "weeks": 3,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 12,
      "date": "2026-04-10",
      "price": 6.38,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -41.41414141414142,
      "weeks": 3,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 19,
      "date": "2026-05-29",
      "price": 9.38,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 47.02194357366773,
      "weeks": 7,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 22,
      "date": "2026-06-19",
      "price": 7.06,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
      "weeks": 3,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 26,
      "date": "2026-07-17",
      "price": 9.55,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 35.26912181303118,
      "weeks": 4,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 27,
      "date": "2026-07-24",
      "price": 7.5,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -21.46596858638744,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": false
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  "cycle": {
    "phase": "rising",
    "trend_bias": "bearish",
    "oscillator": 3.237684311629274,
    "slope": 19.60953563390344,
    "dominant_period_weeks": 10,
    "period_basis": "median confirmed trough-to-trough and crest-to-crest spacing",
    "weeks_since_turn": 1,
    "estimated_weeks_to_next_turn": 4,
    "series": [
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
        "value": null
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "value": null
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
        "value": null
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "value": 0.0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "value": 0.0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-02-20",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "value": 0.0
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": -1.792196635907661
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": -4.788882709566076
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": -9.49246209124368
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": -14.576773719297606
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": -16.371851322274168
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": -11.831939767589603
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -5.876064045752869
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": 2.2141291106773204
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": 3.237684311629274
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  "hurst": {
    "status": "mixed",
    "phase": "rising",
    "alignment_score": 75,
    "risk_score": 25,
    "trough_alignment": 0,
    "crest_alignment": 0,
    "nearest_trough_window": 15,
    "nearest_crest_window": 19,
    "method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "explanation": "Nominal cycles are starting bands, not fixed clocks. Each period adapts to the strongest nearby repeat in detrended weekly prices; projected turns are future intervals and require price confirmation.",
    "cycles": [
      {
        "period": 10,
        "label": "10w",
        "estimated_period": 10,
        "period_range": [
          8,
          12
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        "period_strength": 0,
        "phase": "rising",
        "value": 0.2087924387993283,
        "slope": 0.06887964099523913,
        "amplitude": 9.59,
        "weeks_since_trough": 4,
        "weeks_since_crest": 1,
        "projected_trough_window": 6,
        "projected_crest_window": 9,
        "trough_window": {
          "start": 4,
          "midpoint": 6,
          "end": 8
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        "crest_window": {
          "start": 7,
          "midpoint": 9,
          "end": 11
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        "fld": {
          "value": 7.364599999999999,
          "state": "crossed up",
          "weeks_since_cross": 1,
          "displacement": 5,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
        },
        "vtl": {
          "available": true,
          "value": 6.843333333333334,
          "state": "price above",
          "slope": 0.08833333333333337,
          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
        },
        "trough_indexes": [
          12,
          17,
          23
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        "series": [
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            "date": "2026-01-16",
            "value": null
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            "date": "2026-04-17",
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            "date": "2026-04-24",
            "value": -0.9931986720400964
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            "date": "2026-05-01",
            "value": -0.7865341317340709
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            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "value": -0.6243342706497839
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            "date": "2026-05-15",
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            "date": "2026-05-22",
            "value": -0.4261594849864138
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            "date": "2026-05-29",
            "value": 0.42804726232177587
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          {
            "date": "2026-06-05",
            "value": 0.5446168999381333
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            "date": "2026-06-12",
            "value": 0.07448292937226636
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          {
            "date": "2026-06-19",
            "value": -0.49198053571674843
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            "date": "2026-06-26",
            "value": -0.6713330865099076
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            "date": "2026-07-03",
            "value": 0.13991279780408916
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            "date": "2026-07-10",
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            "date": "2026-07-17",
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            "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "estimated_period": 20,
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        "period_strength": 0,
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        "amplitude": 7.169,
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        "fld": {
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          "state": "crossed up",
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          "displacement": 10,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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        "fld": {
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 63,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 7.06; Wave 2 7.50.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 82% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 22,
          "date": "2026-06-19",
          "price": 7.06,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
          "weeks": 3,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 26,
          "date": "2026-07-17",
          "price": 9.55,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 35.26912181303118,
          "weeks": 4,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 27,
          "date": "2026-07-24",
          "price": 7.5,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -21.46596858638744,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 7.06,
      "confirmation": 9.55,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 22
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "strategic-bullish-abc",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 74,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 9.38; Wave B 9.03.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 2.32; C length 1.53.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.66\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 19,
            "date": "2026-05-29",
            "price": 9.38,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 47.02194357366773,
            "weeks": 7,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 22,
            "date": "2026-06-19",
            "price": 7.06,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 24,
            "date": "2026-07-03",
            "price": 9.03,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 27.90368271954674,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 27,
            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "price": 7.5,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -16.94352159468438,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 7.5,
        "confirmation": 9.03,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 56
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bullish-wave2",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 63,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 7.06; Wave 2 7.50.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 78% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 22,
            "date": "2026-06-19",
            "price": 7.06,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 24,
            "date": "2026-07-03",
            "price": 9.03,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 27.90368271954674,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 27,
            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "price": 7.5,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -16.94352159468438,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 7.06,
        "confirmation": 9.03,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 22
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 24.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bullish-abc",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "correction",
          "stage": "wave_c",
          "title": "A/B/C reset may be completing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 74,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 9.38; Wave B 9.03.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "A length 2.32; C length 1.53.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave C is 0.66\u00d7 Wave A.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 19,
              "date": "2026-05-29",
              "price": 9.38,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 47.02194357366773,
              "weeks": 7,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "5"
            },
            {
              "index": 22,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 7.06,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "A"
            },
            {
              "index": 24,
              "date": "2026-07-03",
              "price": 9.03,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 27.90368271954674,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "B"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 7.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -16.94352159468438,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "C"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 7.5,
          "confirmation": 9.03,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
          "evidence_weight": 56
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 24.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 16.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.06; Wave 2 7.50.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 82% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 22,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 7.06,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 26,
              "date": "2026-07-17",
              "price": 9.55,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 35.26912181303118,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 7.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -21.46596858638744,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 7.06,
          "confirmation": 9.55,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 22
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 16.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 11.2,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-wave2",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 63,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 7.06; Wave 2 7.50.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 82% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 22,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 7.06,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 26,
              "date": "2026-07-17",
              "price": 9.55,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 35.26912181303118,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 27,
              "date": "2026-07-24",
              "price": 7.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -21.46596858638744,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 7.06,
          "confirmation": 9.55,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements."
        },
        "candidate_count": 1,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 11.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": null,
      "observations": 0,
      "label": "Unavailable"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "warming",
    "title": "Needs more weekly history",
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 20,
    "labels": [],
    "notes": [
      "At least 65 weekly bars gives the wave and cycle model enough context."
    ],
    "metrics": {}
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as needs more weekly history. 1 of 3 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 2.3192360163710766
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -1.7038007863695923
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -58.333333333333336
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": null
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 24.88,
      "low_52": 5.96,
      "position_52": 8.13953488372093,
      "drawdown": -69.85530546623795
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 109.11703562827249,
      "average_weekly_range": 25.03323820693533,
      "active_drawdown": -58.333333333333336
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 22,
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "price": 7.06,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 26,
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "price": 9.55,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 35.26912181303118,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 22,
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "price": 7.06,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -24.733475479744147,
        "weeks": 3,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Nearest confirmed structure level",
      "trend": null,
      "fair_value": 9.550971,
      "trend_gap": null,
      "fair_value_gap": -21.473952753076105
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 26,
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "price": 9.55,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 35.26912181303118,
        "weeks": 4,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 27,
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "price": 7.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -21.46596858638744,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -21.46596858638744,
      "weeks": 1,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The 30-week trend line is not available."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "Rising",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is turning higher."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "+0.0",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        }
      ],
      "positive": 1,
      "negative": 0,
      "neutral": 2,
      "observed": 3,
      "agreement": 33,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "neutral"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 41,
      "history_score": 11,
      "indicator_coverage": 38,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 28,
      "confirmed_pivots": 7
    },
    "volume_ratio": 192.5346492330559,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "triggered",
      "label": "Triggered",
      "now": "Possible Wave 2 trough is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close through 9.55, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 7.06; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 17,
      "constructive_count": 8,
      "constructive_percent": 47,
      "rising_cycle_count": 7,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 41,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 0,
          "positive_rate": null,
          "median_return": null,
          "average_return": null,
          "median_excess_return": null,
          "excess_observations": 0,
          "p10": null,
          "p90": null
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "SPY",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": true,
      "options_direction": "bearish",
      "options_conviction": 43.34,
      "expected_move": 30.18472751,
      "invalidation_distance": 5.8666666666666725,
      "collision": true,
      "flags": [
        "The options-implied move is large enough to cross the Elliott invalidation level in one event-sized move.",
        "Stored options pressure is bearish with 43/100 conviction."
      ],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 14,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 0.0% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 8% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is rising."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 4,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 25,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 25/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 10,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
      "2026-01-16",
      "2026-01-23",
      "2026-01-30",
      "2026-02-06",
      "2026-02-13",
      "2026-02-20",
      "2026-02-27",
      "2026-03-06",
      "2026-03-13",
      "2026-03-20",
      "2026-03-27",
      "2026-04-03",
      "2026-04-10",
      "2026-04-17",
      "2026-04-24",
      "2026-05-01",
      "2026-05-08",
      "2026-05-15",
      "2026-05-22",
      "2026-05-29",
      "2026-06-05",
      "2026-06-12",
      "2026-06-19",
      "2026-06-26",
      "2026-07-03",
      "2026-07-10",
      "2026-07-17",
      "2026-07-24"
    ],
    "close": [
      17.0,
      18.0,
      12.85,
      13.4173,
      10.09,
      9.13,
      8.94,
      10.8599,
      10.07,
      10.89,
      8.43,
      9.3,
      6.38,
      7.82,
      7.63,
      8.09,
      8.18,
      7.34,
      8.29,
      9.38,
      8.52,
      7.43,
      7.06,
      7.33,
      9.03,
      8.92,
      9.55,
      7.5
    ],
    "trend": [
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null
    ],
    "sma30": [
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null
    ],
    "roc30": [
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
      null,
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