{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "0131V0",
    "name": "Hana 1Q U.S. Aerospace Tech ETF",
    "exchange": "KSC"
  },
  "latest_week": "2026-08-07",
  "latest_close": 11630.0,
  "latest_open": 10675.0,
  "latest_high": 11915.0,
  "latest_low": 10560.0,
  "bar_count": 37,
  "analysis_bar_count": 37,
  "reversal_percent": 16.0,
  "model": {
    "version": "ewc-2.1.0",
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes",
    "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "repainting_policy": "only the final active pivot is provisional; confirmed pivots are retained"
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      "date": "2025-11-28",
      "price": 10429.831055,
      "kind": "low",
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      "weeks": 0,
      "confirmed": true
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    {
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      "date": "2026-08-07",
      "price": 11630.0,
      "kind": "high",
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      "weeks": 36,
      "confirmed": false
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    "trend_bias": "bearish",
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    "slope": -10.569475345600399,
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    "period_basis": "median confirmed trough-to-trough and crest-to-crest spacing",
    "weeks_since_turn": 36,
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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    "risk_score": 75,
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    "crest_alignment": 0,
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    "method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "explanation": "Nominal cycles are starting bands, not fixed clocks. Each period adapts to the strongest nearby repeat in detrended weekly prices; projected turns are future intervals and require price confirmation.",
    "cycles": [
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        "amplitude": 5.584,
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        "weeks_since_crest": 9,
        "projected_trough_window": 11,
        "projected_crest_window": 3,
        "trough_window": {
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          "midpoint": 11,
          "end": 16
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        "crest_window": {
          "start": 0,
          "midpoint": 3,
          "end": 8
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        "fld": {
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          "state": "crossed down",
          "weeks_since_cross": 6,
          "displacement": 6,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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        "vtl": {
          "available": true,
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          "state": "price above",
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          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
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        "trough_window": {
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          "end": 23
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        "fld": {
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          "displacement": 10,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "available": true,
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          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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            "date": "2026-07-17",
            "value": null
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-07-24",
            "value": null
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "value": null
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "value": null
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "composite": [
      {
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "value": null
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-05",
        "value": null
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-12-12",
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      {
        "date": "2025-12-19",
        "value": null
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        "date": "2025-12-26",
        "value": null
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        "date": "2026-01-02",
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        "date": "2026-01-09",
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        "date": "2026-01-16",
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        "date": "2026-01-23",
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        "date": "2026-01-30",
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
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        "date": "2026-02-13",
        "value": -1.0
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        "date": "2026-02-20",
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
        "value": -0.9347794644734123
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-06",
        "value": -0.7356373341098761
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "value": -0.8853501920906486
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-20",
        "value": -0.873591126238982
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      {
        "date": "2026-03-27",
        "value": -1.1223711861323806
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        "date": "2026-04-03",
        "value": -1.0178739586741965
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
        "value": -0.9892649627130129
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "value": -0.4772702729382186
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "value": -0.5256876017265938
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "value": -1.0476372609351885
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": -0.745117491656231
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "value": 0.7122502951799353
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "value": 2.1060132808303313
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": 2.702004426943444
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": 2.900668142314481
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": 2.5903872628104763
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": 1.3985843514087353
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": -0.08188947989917227
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": -0.2103974296451228
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": -0.9499746660177862
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": -1.8242481805450996
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": -2.387186173761383
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "value": -2.679501108800625
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      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "value": -2.357672868537161
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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "tactical-bearish-wave4",
      "degree": "tactical",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave4",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 4 crest",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 80,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 16645.00; Wave 2 13465.00.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 11955.00; Wave 3 11475.00.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 11955.00; Wave 4 11630.00.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 32% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.42\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Retraced 8% of Wave 3.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 1w; Wave 4 lasted 3w.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 26,
          "date": "2026-05-29",
          "price": 16645.0,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 41.78023850085179,
          "weeks": 4,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 30,
          "date": "2026-06-26",
          "price": 11955.0,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -28.176629618504055,
          "weeks": 4,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 31,
          "date": "2026-07-03",
          "price": 13465.0,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 12.630698452530321,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 33,
          "date": "2026-07-17",
          "price": 11475.0,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -14.779056813962123,
          "weeks": 2,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "3"
        },
        {
          "index": 36,
          "date": "2026-08-07",
          "price": 11630.0,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 1.3507625272331154,
          "weeks": 3,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "4"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 13465.0,
      "confirmation": 11475.0,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 86
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "tactical-bearish-wave2",
        "degree": "tactical",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 13465.00; Wave 2 11630.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Retraced 8% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 31,
            "date": "2026-07-03",
            "price": 13465.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 12.630698452530321,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 33,
            "date": "2026-07-17",
            "price": 11475.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -14.779056813962123,
            "weeks": 2,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 36,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 11630.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 1.3507625272331154,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 13465.0,
        "confirmation": 11475.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 14
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 24.0,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 24.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 16.0,
        "primary": null,
        "candidate_count": 0,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 16.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 11.2,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-wave4",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave4",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 4 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 80,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 16645.00; Wave 2 13465.00.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 11955.00; Wave 3 11475.00.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 11955.00; Wave 4 11630.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 32% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.42\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 8% of Wave 3.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 1w; Wave 4 lasted 3w.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 26,
              "date": "2026-05-29",
              "price": 16645.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 41.78023850085179,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 30,
              "date": "2026-06-26",
              "price": 11955.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -28.176629618504055,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 31,
              "date": "2026-07-03",
              "price": 13465.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 12.630698452530321,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 33,
              "date": "2026-07-17",
              "price": 11475.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -14.779056813962123,
              "weeks": 2,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "3"
            },
            {
              "index": 36,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 11630.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 1.3507625272331154,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "4"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 13465.0,
          "confirmation": 11475.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 86
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 11.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": null,
      "observations": 0,
      "label": "Unavailable"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "warming",
    "title": "Needs more weekly history",
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 20,
    "labels": [],
    "notes": [
      "At least 65 weekly bars gives the wave and cycle model enough context."
    ],
    "metrics": {}
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as needs more weekly history. Price is 10.2% below its 30-week trend. 0 of 6 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -4.042904290429043
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -8.748528834837192
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": -1.469837783909246
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": null
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 16925.0,
      "low_52": 10100.153281,
      "position_52": 22.415839973973185,
      "drawdown": -31.285081240768093
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 50.323172779522466,
      "average_weekly_range": 6.746551380580099,
      "active_drawdown": -30.12916791829378
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 0,
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "price": 10429.831055,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": null,
        "weeks": 0,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": null,
      "decisive": {
        "index": 0,
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "price": 10429.831055,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": null,
        "weeks": 0,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Nearest confirmed structure level",
      "trend": 12946.55752,
      "fair_value": 12859.095281,
      "trend_gap": -10.169170591998423,
      "fair_value_gap": -9.558178504331124
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 0,
        "date": "2025-11-28",
        "price": 10429.831055,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": null,
        "weeks": 0,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 36,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 11630.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 11.507079440415723,
        "weeks": 36,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 11.507079440415723,
      "weeks": 36,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "10.2% below trend",
          "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-23.5",
          "explanation": "Participation is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-0.8",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-18.9",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is negative"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 0,
      "negative": 5,
      "neutral": 1,
      "observed": 6,
      "agreement": 83,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "neutral"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 27,
      "history_score": 14,
      "indicator_coverage": 42,
      "structure_score": 17,
      "weekly_observations": 37,
      "confirmed_pivots": 1
    },
    "volume_ratio": 10.860108198711071,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "triggered",
      "label": "Triggered",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 4 crest is the highest-ranked admissible tactical count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close through 11475.00, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 13465.00; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 10,
      "constructive_percent": 42,
      "rising_cycle_count": 1,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 4,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 25,
          "positive_rate": 60.0,
          "median_return": 1.4,
          "average_return": -0.44,
          "median_excess_return": -4.98,
          "excess_observations": 25,
          "p10": -13.73,
          "p90": 7.96
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 9,
          "positive_rate": 66.7,
          "median_return": 1.92,
          "average_return": 1.64,
          "median_excess_return": -30.89,
          "excess_observations": 9,
          "p10": -9.26,
          "p90": 10.95
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 4,
          "positive_rate": 75.0,
          "median_return": 0.46,
          "average_return": 2.22,
          "median_excess_return": -76.25,
          "excess_observations": 4,
          "p10": -0.54,
          "p90": 6.4
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "^KS11",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 15.778159931212382,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 32,
      "label": "Watch",
      "tone": "watch",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 10.2% below the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 22% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 75,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 10,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100.",
        "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
    "dates": [
      "2025-11-28",
      "2025-12-05",
      "2025-12-12",
      "2025-12-19",
      "2025-12-26",
      "2026-01-02",
      "2026-01-09",
      "2026-01-16",
      "2026-01-23",
      "2026-01-30",
      "2026-02-06",
      "2026-02-13",
      "2026-02-20",
      "2026-02-27",
      "2026-03-06",
      "2026-03-13",
      "2026-03-20",
      "2026-03-27",
      "2026-04-03",
      "2026-04-10",
      "2026-04-17",
      "2026-04-24",
      "2026-05-01",
      "2026-05-08",
      "2026-05-15",
      "2026-05-22",
      "2026-05-29",
      "2026-06-05",
      "2026-06-12",
      "2026-06-19",
      "2026-06-26",
      "2026-07-03",
      "2026-07-10",
      "2026-07-17",
      "2026-07-24",
      "2026-07-31",
      "2026-08-07"
    ],
    "close": [
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