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    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave2",
      "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "score": 58,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 12.39; Wave 2 11.88.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Retraced 27% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 269,
          "date": "2026-08-28",
          "price": 12.385765,
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          "weeks": 22,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
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        {
          "index": 274,
          "date": "2026-10-02",
          "price": 11.69,
          "kind": "low",
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          "weeks": 5,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 275,
          "date": "2026-10-09",
          "price": 11.88,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 1.6253207869974446,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "2"
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      ],
      "invalidation": 12.385765,
      "confirmation": 11.69,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 22
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bearish-abc",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "correction",
        "stage": "wave_c",
        "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing",
        "direction": "bearish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 10.42; Wave B 11.69.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave C moves in the direction of Wave A",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "A length 1.97; C length 0.19.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave C is 0.10\u00d7 Wave A.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 247,
            "date": "2026-03-27",
            "price": 10.418213,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -11.045744418251658,
            "weeks": 4,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "5"
          },
          {
            "index": 269,
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "price": 12.385765,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 18.885695656251215,
            "weeks": 22,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "A"
          },
          {
            "index": 274,
            "date": "2026-10-02",
            "price": 11.69,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -5.617456814334842,
            "weeks": 5,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "B"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 11.88,
            "kind": "high",
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            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "C"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 11.88,
        "confirmation": 11.69,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.",
        "evidence_weight": 22
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bullish-wave3",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave3",
        "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 69,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 8.85; Wave 2 10.42.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 11.71; Wave 3 11.88.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 45% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.51\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 196,
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            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 243,
            "date": "2026-02-27",
            "price": 11.711877,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 32.34665560150219,
            "weeks": 47,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 247,
            "date": "2026-03-27",
            "price": 10.418213,
            "kind": "low",
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            "weeks": 4,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 275,
            "date": "2026-10-09",
            "price": 11.88,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 14.031072315376937,
            "weeks": 28,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "3"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 10.418213,
        "confirmation": 11.88,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 56
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 8.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bullish-wave3",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave3",
          "title": "Possible Wave 3 advancing",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 69,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 8.85; Wave 2 10.42.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 11.71; Wave 3 11.88.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 45% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.51\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 196,
              "date": "2025-04-04",
              "price": 8.849394,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -9.040596265845364,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 243,
              "date": "2026-02-27",
              "price": 11.711877,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 32.34665560150219,
              "weeks": 47,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 247,
              "date": "2026-03-27",
              "price": 10.418213,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -11.045744418251658,
              "weeks": 4,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 11.88,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 14.031072315376937,
              "weeks": 28,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "3"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 10.418213,
          "confirmation": 11.88,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 56
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 5.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 58,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 12.39; Wave 2 11.88.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 27% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 269,
              "date": "2026-08-28",
              "price": 12.385765,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 18.885695656251215,
              "weeks": 22,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 274,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 11.69,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.617456814334842,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 11.88,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 1.6253207869974446,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 12.385765,
          "confirmation": 11.69,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 22
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 3.5,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bearish-wave2",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave2",
          "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest",
          "direction": "bearish",
          "score": 58,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 12.39; Wave 2 11.88.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 27% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 269,
              "date": "2026-08-28",
              "price": 12.385765,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 18.885695656251215,
              "weeks": 22,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 274,
              "date": "2026-10-02",
              "price": 11.69,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -5.617456814334842,
              "weeks": 5,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 275,
              "date": "2026-10-09",
              "price": 11.88,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 1.6253207869974446,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "2"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 12.385765,
          "confirmation": 11.69,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements."
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 68,
      "changes": 2,
      "observations": 9,
      "label": "Moderate"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "hurst_crest_risk",
    "title": "Hurst crest risk",
    "direction": "risk",
    "confidence": 79,
    "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.",
    "candidate_id": "primary-bearish-wave2",
    "labels": [
      {
        "index": 269,
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "price": 12.385765,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 18.885695656251215,
        "weeks": 22,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "0"
      },
      {
        "index": 274,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 11.69,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.617456814334842,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true,
        "label": "1"
      },
      {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 11.88,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 1.6253207869974446,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": false,
        "label": "2"
      }
    ],
    "notes": [
      "Hurst rhythm shows a falling stack.",
      "Hurst risk alignment is elevated.",
      "Market Dynamics is negative."
    ],
    "metrics": {
      "trend_gap": 0.8747316693927575,
      "fair_value_gap": 17.85236095083048,
      "market_activity": 0.796155,
      "market_dynamics": -0.314872,
      "relative_strength": -6.025561,
      "roc30": 8.912977888923626,
      "hurst_alignment": 0,
      "hurst_risk": 100
    }
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as hurst crest risk. Price is 0.9% above its 30-week trend. 3 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": -1.719015492574272
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": -1.9529357585401212
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 5.6873306155913514
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": 10.207465553905232
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 12.475157,
      "low_52": 10.369255,
      "position_52": 71.73861841624164,
      "drawdown": -4.770737554645594
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 12.28211812581899,
      "average_weekly_range": 2.816173763963697,
      "active_drawdown": -4.083437720641386
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 274,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 11.69,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.617456814334842,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 269,
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "price": 12.385765,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 18.885695656251215,
        "weeks": 22,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 269,
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "price": 12.385765,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 18.885695656251215,
        "weeks": 22,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above",
      "trend": 11.776983,
      "fair_value": 10.080409,
      "trend_gap": 0.8747316693927575,
      "fair_value_gap": 17.85236095083048
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 274,
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "price": 11.69,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -5.617456814334842,
        "weeks": 5,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 275,
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "price": 11.88,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 1.6253207869974446,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": 1.6253207869974446,
      "weeks": 1,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "0.9% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Falling Stack",
          "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-6.0",
          "explanation": "Underperforming its benchmark"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.8",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "-0.3",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+8.9",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 3,
      "negative": 4,
      "neutral": 0,
      "observed": 7,
      "agreement": 57,
      "direction": "defensive",
      "scenario_direction": "risk"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 100,
      "history_score": 100,
      "indicator_coverage": 100,
      "structure_score": 100,
      "weekly_observations": 276,
      "confirmed_pivots": 20
    },
    "volume_ratio": 202.52447887757478,
    "historical": {
      "available": true,
      "matches": 54,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 53,
          "positive_rate": 71.7,
          "median_return": 1.55,
          "bar_width": 7.75,
          "average_return": 1.5,
          "best_return": 9.35,
          "worst_return": -6.88
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 53,
          "positive_rate": 84.9,
          "median_return": 3.48,
          "bar_width": 17.4,
          "average_return": 3.76,
          "best_return": 11.23,
          "worst_return": -7.67
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 50,
          "positive_rate": 96.0,
          "median_return": 7.23,
          "bar_width": 36.150000000000006,
          "average_return": 7.55,
          "best_return": 18.55,
          "worst_return": -2.17
        }
      ],
      "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "watching",
      "label": "Watching",
      "now": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is falling stack.",
      "next": "A weekly close below 11.69, with a cycle-price cross and relative strength in the same direction.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 12.39; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 17,
      "constructive_count": 6,
      "constructive_percent": 35,
      "rising_cycle_count": 2,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 12,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 91,
          "positive_rate": 54.9,
          "median_return": 0.57,
          "average_return": 0.23,
          "median_excess_return": -0.45,
          "excess_observations": 91,
          "p10": -7.02,
          "p90": 9.42
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 49,
          "positive_rate": 63.3,
          "median_return": 4.07,
          "average_return": 1.55,
          "median_excess_return": -0.38,
          "excess_observations": 49,
          "p10": -12.66,
          "p90": 12.37
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 38,
          "positive_rate": 68.4,
          "median_return": 4.4,
          "average_return": 5.81,
          "median_excess_return": -4.2,
          "excess_observations": 38,
          "p10": -18.45,
          "p90": 28.98
        }
      ],
      "benchmark": "SPY",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 4.257281144781132,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 29,
      "label": "Contained",
      "tone": "contained",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 0.9% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "Price is 72% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 11,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 73,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 15,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 3,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 32,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.",
        "Hurst risk alignment is 100/100."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
  },
  "chart": {
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    "close": [
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