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0.5657158892898415 }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "value": 0.5315485404337377 }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "value": 0.5088086227586928 }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "value": 0.4936096180034955 }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "value": 0.4565541451384842 }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "value": 0.48827295531518494 }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "value": 0.5983981148890707 }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "value": 0.709376326282432 }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "value": 0.8225583237575131 }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "value": 0.9541148399869227 }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "value": 0.9820061246771354 }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "value": 1.056896870541688 }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "value": 1.2572954784839876 }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "value": 1.5792940956525396 }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "value": 1.8622127203108414 }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "value": 2.0568297442298604 }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "value": 2.215017684584066 }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "value": 2.3496494142388817 }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "value": 2.4676013455027834 }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "value": 2.565437902866877 }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "value": 2.5633561167193286 }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "value": 2.4795777276299518 }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "value": 2.4671221681694235 }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "value": 2.477153792367357 }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "value": 2.493665065735859 }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "value": 2.4396320917736176 }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "value": 2.2292749730332524 }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "value": 2.1187475882353564 }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "value": 2.0933130678322294 }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "value": 2.079651057621925 }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "value": 2.027136298375482 }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "value": 2.0302411066568764 }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "value": 2.041282658909333 }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "value": 2.066573022092066 }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "value": 2.0374363253652916 }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "value": 1.8981084352218769 }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "value": 1.8005304901270094 }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "value": 1.616234736844803 }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "value": 1.4411556150370892 }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "value": 1.3187501530210755 }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "value": 1.2296867903551707 }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "value": 1.123682825227173 }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "value": 1.0539087126608297 }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "value": 0.9347573967181481 }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "value": 0.8074937213164144 }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "value": 0.7172612064588456 }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "value": 0.8159445855292198 }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "value": 1.0561935389479253 }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "value": 1.2805371120346885 }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "value": 1.4112710025153403 }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "value": 1.5189794907658234 }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "value": 1.585893420399401 }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "value": 1.498175573389536 }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "value": 1.5349277111238149 }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "value": 1.4323673736390734 }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "value": 1.33725447666933 }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "value": 1.3587259860395764 }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "value": 1.2044643900721446 }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "value": 1.0274715932078078 }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "value": 0.9134457044602124 }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "value": 0.7086812040084939 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "value": 0.7107728212513276 }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "value": 0.6519618638027325 }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "value": 0.6747350563345086 } ] }, "structure": { "primary": { "id": "primary-bullish-wave5", "degree": "primary", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave5", "title": "Five-wave advance mature", "direction": "bullish", "score": 95, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 2.55; Wave 2 2.58.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 2.75; Wave 3 2.95.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 2.75; Wave 4 2.75.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave", "passed": true, "detail": "Motive lengths: 0.19, 0.36, 0.12.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress", "passed": false, "detail": "Wave 3 2.95; Wave 5 2.87.", "hard": false } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 86% of Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.88\u00d7 Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 54% of Wave 3.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 11w; Wave 4 lasted 4w.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 205, "date": "2025-11-21", "price": 2.554, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.196733481811438, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 212, "date": "2026-01-09", "price": 2.748, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 7.595927956147237, "weeks": 7, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 223, "date": "2026-03-27", "price": 2.582, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.040756914119372, "weeks": 11, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 242, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 2.866, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "invalidation": 2.75, "confirmation": 2.866, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 90 }, "alternates": [ { "id": "primary-bearish-wave2", "degree": "primary", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave2", "title": "Possible bearish Wave 2 crest", "direction": "bearish", "score": 63, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 2.95; Wave 2 2.87.", "hard": true } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 59% of Wave 1.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 242, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 2.866, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": false, "label": "2" } ], "invalidation": 2.946, "confirmation": 2.75, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 6 }, { "id": "primary-bearish-abc", "degree": "primary", "pattern": "correction", "stage": "wave_c", "title": "Bearish A/B/C rebound may be completing", "direction": "bearish", "score": 58, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave B protects the correction origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 2.58; Wave B 2.75.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave C progresses beyond Wave A", "passed": true, "detail": "A length 0.36; C length 0.12.", "hard": true } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave C is proportionate to Wave A", "passed": false, "detail": "Wave C is 0.32\u00d7 Wave A.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 223, "date": "2026-03-27", "price": 2.582, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.040756914119372, "weeks": 11, "confirmed": true, "label": "5" }, { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true, "label": "A" }, { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "B" }, { "index": 242, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 2.866, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": false, "label": "C" } ], "invalidation": 2.866, "confirmation": 2.75, "forming": true, "explanation": "A three-leg corrective interpretation whose Wave B and Wave C geometry is internally consistent.", "evidence_weight": 4 } ], "degrees": [ { "key": "strategic", "label": "Strategic", "reversal_percent": 8.0, "primary": null, "candidate_count": 0, "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 8.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold." }, { "key": "primary", "label": "Primary", "reversal_percent": 5.0, "primary": { "id": "primary-bullish-wave5", "degree": "primary", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave5", "title": "Five-wave advance mature", "direction": "bullish", "score": 95, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 2.55; Wave 2 2.58.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 2.75; Wave 3 2.95.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 2.75; Wave 4 2.75.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave", "passed": true, "detail": "Motive lengths: 0.19, 0.36, 0.12.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress", "passed": false, "detail": "Wave 3 2.95; Wave 5 2.87.", "hard": false } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 86% of Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.88\u00d7 Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 54% of Wave 3.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 11w; Wave 4 lasted 4w.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 205, "date": "2025-11-21", "price": 2.554, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.196733481811438, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 212, "date": "2026-01-09", "price": 2.748, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 7.595927956147237, "weeks": 7, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 223, "date": "2026-03-27", "price": 2.582, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.040756914119372, "weeks": 11, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 242, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 2.866, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "invalidation": 2.75, "confirmation": 2.866, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.", "evidence_weight": 90 }, "candidate_count": 3, "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 5.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold." }, { "key": "tactical", "label": "Tactical", "reversal_percent": 3.5, "primary": { "id": "tactical-bullish-wave5", "degree": "tactical", "pattern": "impulse", "stage": "wave5", "title": "Five-wave advance mature", "direction": "bullish", "score": 95, "rules": [ { "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin", "passed": true, "detail": "Origin 2.55; Wave 2 2.58.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 2.75; Wave 3 2.95.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 2.75; Wave 4 2.75.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 3 is not the shortest motive wave", "passed": true, "detail": "Motive lengths: 0.19, 0.36, 0.12.", "hard": true }, { "label": "Wave 5 makes motive progress", "passed": false, "detail": "Wave 3 2.95; Wave 5 2.87.", "hard": false } ], "guidelines": [ { "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 86% of Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 3 is 1.88\u00d7 Wave 1.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate", "passed": true, "detail": "Retraced 54% of Wave 3.", "hard": false }, { "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation", "passed": true, "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 11w; Wave 4 lasted 4w.", "hard": false } ], "labels": [ { "index": 205, "date": "2025-11-21", "price": 2.554, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.196733481811438, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 212, "date": "2026-01-09", "price": 2.748, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 7.595927956147237, "weeks": 7, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 223, "date": "2026-03-27", "price": 2.582, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.040756914119372, "weeks": 11, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 242, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 2.866, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "invalidation": 2.75, "confirmation": 2.866, "forming": true, "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements." }, "candidate_count": 3, "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 3.5% weekly closing-price reversal threshold." } ], "stability": { "score": 68, "changes": 2, "observations": 9, "label": "Moderate" }, "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration", "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities." }, "scenario": { "setup": "wave5_risk", "title": "Five-wave advance mature", "direction": "risk", "confidence": 95, "score_explanation": "Rules agreement plus independent cycle, trend and participation confirmation; it is not a probability.", "candidate_id": "primary-bullish-wave5", "labels": [ { "index": 205, "date": "2025-11-21", "price": 2.554, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -5.196733481811438, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 212, "date": "2026-01-09", "price": 2.748, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 7.595927956147237, "weeks": 7, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 223, "date": "2026-03-27", "price": 2.582, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.040756914119372, "weeks": 11, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 242, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 2.866, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "notes": [ "Hurst rhythm shows a falling stack.", "Hurst risk alignment is elevated.", "Market Dynamics is negative." ], "metrics": { "trend_gap": 3.98121807502685, "fair_value_gap": 30.22489921883237, "market_activity": 5.349216, "market_dynamics": -0.587482, "relative_strength": 6.34938, "roc30": 4.2940320232896605, "hurst_alignment": 25, "hurst_risk": 75 } }, "detail": { "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as five-wave advance mature. Price is 4.0% above its 30-week trend. 4 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.", "returns": [ { "weeks": 4, "label": "4-week return", "value": 1.2005649717514213 }, { "weeks": 13, "label": "13-week return", "value": 0.13976240391334743 }, { "weeks": 26, "label": "26-week return", "value": 8.807896735003805 }, { "weeks": 52, "label": "52-week return", "value": 28.290062667860344 } ], "range": { "high_52": 2.968, "low_52": 2.236, "position_52": 86.06557377049181, "drawdown": -3.436657681940696 }, "risk": { "annualised_volatility": 14.373194137129227, "average_weekly_range": 2.0054194264125025, "active_drawdown": -2.715546503733879 }, "levels": { "support": { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true }, "resistance": { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true }, "decisive": { "index": 235, "date": "2026-06-19", "price": 2.946, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 14.097598760650673, "weeks": 12, "confirmed": true }, "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above", "trend": 2.756267, "fair_value": 2.200808, "trend_gap": 3.98121807502685, "fair_value_gap": 30.22489921883237 }, "active_swing": { "from": { "index": 239, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 2.75, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -6.653088934148002, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true }, "to": { "index": 242, "date": "2026-08-07", "price": 2.866, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": false }, "move_percent": 4.218181818181822, "weeks": 3, "status": "Forming" }, "confirmation": { "rows": [ { "label": "Trend", "status": "positive", "value": "4.0% above trend", "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend." }, { "label": "Cycle pressure", "status": "negative", "value": "Falling", "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising." }, { "label": "Cycle alignment", "status": "negative", "value": "Falling Stack", "explanation": "Several cycle lengths are weakening together." }, { "label": "Relative strength", "status": "positive", "value": "+6.3", "explanation": "Outperforming its benchmark" }, { "label": "Market activity", "status": "positive", "value": "+5.3", "explanation": "Participation is supportive" }, { "label": "Market dynamics", "status": "negative", "value": "-0.6", "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is weak" }, { "label": "30-week momentum", "status": "positive", "value": "+4.3", "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive" } ], "positive": 4, "negative": 3, "neutral": 0, "observed": 7, "agreement": 57, "direction": "constructive", "scenario_direction": "risk" }, "evidence": { "score": 98, "history_score": 93, "indicator_coverage": 100, "structure_score": 100, "weekly_observations": 243, "confirmed_pivots": 20 }, "volume_ratio": 21.52494757250821, "historical": { "available": true, "matches": 59, "horizons": [ { "weeks": 4, "observations": 58, "positive_rate": 50.0, "median_return": 0.11, "bar_width": 0.55, "average_return": 0.22, "best_return": 9.3, "worst_return": -14.31 }, { "weeks": 13, "observations": 53, "positive_rate": 75.5, "median_return": 2.0, "bar_width": 10.0, "average_return": 4.32, "best_return": 30.57, "worst_return": -17.32 }, { "weeks": 26, "observations": 41, "positive_rate": 90.2, "median_return": 7.12, "bar_width": 35.6, "average_return": 6.53, "best_return": 27.84, "worst_return": -16.18 } ], "note": "Overlapping historical matches are descriptive context, not independent observations or a forecast." }, "lifecycle": { "state": "mature", "label": "Mature / manage risk", "now": "Five-wave advance mature is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is falling stack.", "next": "Watch for a confirmed weekly reversal, cycle rollover, or deterioration in relative strength and participation; a mature count is a risk-management state, not a fresh bullish trigger.", "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 2.75; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.", "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.", "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation." }, "peer_evidence": { "available": true, "peers": 22, "constructive_count": 6, "constructive_percent": 27, "rising_cycle_count": 8, "rising_cycle_percent": 36, "horizons": [ { "weeks": 4, "observations": 495, "positive_rate": 51.1, "median_return": 0.21, "average_return": 0.36, "median_excess_return": 0.19, "excess_observations": 495, "p10": -7.36, "p90": 8.08 }, { "weeks": 13, "observations": 186, "positive_rate": 55.4, "median_return": 2.14, "average_return": 1.86, "median_excess_return": 0.52, "excess_observations": 186, "p10": -10.55, "p90": 14.09 }, { "weeks": 26, "observations": 107, "positive_rate": 57.0, "median_return": 1.79, "average_return": 3.17, "median_excess_return": 1.47, "excess_observations": 107, "p10": -21.92, "p90": 25.42 } ], "benchmark": "^HSI", "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count." }, "event_positioning": { "earnings_date": null, "earnings_weeks": null, "options_available": false, "options_direction": null, "options_conviction": null, "expected_move": null, "invalidation_distance": 4.047452896022334, "collision": false, "flags": [], "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure." }, "downside_vulnerability": { "score": 57, "label": "Elevated vulnerability", "tone": "elevated", "components": [ { "key": "wave", "label": "Wave maturity", "score": 25, "maximum": 25, "bar_width": 100, "explanation": "A forming Wave 5 is mature structure: upside can continue, but reward-to-risk is usually less forgiving." }, { "key": "extension", "label": "Trend extension", "score": 0, "maximum": 20, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "Price is 4.0% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability." }, { "key": "range", "label": "Range position", "score": 7, "maximum": 15, "bar_width": 44, "explanation": "Price is 86% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range." }, { "key": "cycle", "label": "Cycle rollover", "score": 11, "maximum": 15, "bar_width": 73, "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling." }, { "key": "hurst", "label": "Multi-cycle risk", "score": 11, "maximum": 15, "bar_width": 75, "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100." }, { "key": "stability", "label": "Count instability", "score": 3, "maximum": 10, "bar_width": 32, "explanation": "The primary interpretation has moderate recent stability." }, { "key": "event", "label": "Event proximity", "score": 0, "maximum": 10, "bar_width": 0, "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available." } ], "warnings": [ "A forming Wave 5 is mature structure: upside can continue, but reward-to-risk is usually less forgiving.", "Medium-term cycle pressure is falling.", "Hurst risk alignment is 75/100." ], "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. 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