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"2026-07-17", "value": 0.5976592675745325 }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "value": 0.5978413946062142 } ] }, "scenario": { "setup": "wave5_risk", "title": "Five-wave advance mature", "direction": "risk", "confidence": 68, "labels": [ { "index": 321, "date": "2026-03-20", "price": 55.118, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -23.353546417000782, "weeks": 3, "confirmed": true, "label": "0" }, { "index": 325, "date": "2026-04-17", "price": 63.587002, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 15.365220073297282, "weeks": 4, "confirmed": true, "label": "1" }, { "index": 327, "date": "2026-05-01", "price": 56.93, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -10.469123862766795, "weeks": 2, "confirmed": true, "label": "2" }, { "index": 328, "date": "2026-05-08", "price": 62.011002, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.924999121728435, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": true, "label": "3" }, { "index": 338, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 44.463001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -28.298205857083232, "weeks": 10, "confirmed": true, "label": "4" }, { "index": 339, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 47.008999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 5.726104722441034, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false, "label": "5" } ], "notes": [ "Market Activity has fallen below zero.", "Market Dynamics is negative." ], "metrics": { "trend_gap": -18.288040460466167, "fair_value_gap": 78.82521013645936, "market_activity": -35.980641, "market_dynamics": -0.730333, "relative_strength": 4.778385, "roc30": 149.39782750290055, "hurst_alignment": 50, "hurst_risk": 50 } }, "detail": { "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as five-wave advance mature. Price is 18.3% below its 30-week trend. 2 of 7 available confirmation measures are constructive.", "returns": [ { "weeks": 4, "label": "4-week return", "value": -0.45317112424029843 }, { "weeks": 13, "label": "13-week return", "value": -20.25885635771474 }, { "weeks": 26, "label": "26-week return", "value": -39.800739148948225 }, { "weeks": 52, "label": "52-week return", "value": 149.39782750290055 } ], "range": { "high_52": 92.714996, "low_52": 18.849001, "position_52": 38.12308762645112, "drawdown": -49.29730784866776 }, "risk": { "annualised_volatility": 52.30883496740968, "average_weekly_range": 8.225944801092735, "active_drawdown": -39.800739148948225 }, "levels": { "support": { "index": 338, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 44.463001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -28.298205857083232, "weeks": 10, "confirmed": true }, "resistance": { "index": 328, "date": "2026-05-08", "price": 62.011002, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.924999121728435, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": true }, "decisive": { "index": 328, "date": "2026-05-08", "price": 62.011002, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 8.924999121728435, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": true }, "decisive_label": "Bearish structure weakens above", "trend": 57.530133, "fair_value": 26.28768, "trend_gap": -18.288040460466167, "fair_value_gap": 78.82521013645936 }, "active_swing": { "from": { "index": 338, "date": "2026-07-17", "price": 44.463001, "kind": "low", "move_percent": -28.298205857083232, "weeks": 10, "confirmed": true }, "to": { "index": 339, "date": "2026-07-24", "price": 47.008999, "kind": "high", "move_percent": 5.726104722441034, "weeks": 1, "confirmed": false }, "move_percent": 5.726104722441034, "weeks": 1, "status": "Forming" }, "confirmation": { "rows": [ { "label": "Trend", "status": "negative", "value": "18.3% below trend", "explanation": "Price remains below its 30-week trend." }, { "label": "Cycle pressure", "status": "negative", "value": "Falling", "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not 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